ALP 13.7%
Incumbent MP
Julie Collins, since 2007.
Geography
Franklin covers the southern parts of Tasmania and the eastern suburbs of Hobart. The seat is divided into two parts, with each covering half of the voters in the electorate. Half live on the eastern shore of the Derwent River in Clarence and Brighton LGAs, while the other half lives to the south and west of Hobart in Kingborough and Huon Valley LGAs.
Franklin was created for the 1903 election. The seat was first held by William McWilliams, who was a member at various times of the minor Revenue Tariff party, the Free Traders, the Commonwealth Liberal Party and the Nationalists, before becoming the first leader of the Country Party in 1920. He lost his seat in 1922 to the Nationalist candidate. He won the seat back as an independent in 1928 and retained it at the 1929 election but died shortly after the declaration of the poll.
The by-election was won by Charles Frost of the ALP, who lost his seat in 1931 to the United Australia Party before winning it back in 1934. He went on to serve as Minister for Repatriation under John Curtin before he lost the seat to Charles Falkinder of the Liberal Party in 1946. Falkinder held the seat until his retirement in 1966, and Ray Sherry of the ALP won the seat in 1969. Sherry lost the seat to Bruce Goodluck in 1975. Goodluck held the seat for the Liberal Party until he was defeated by Harry Quick in 1993.
Quick held the seat until the 2007 election, and he announced his impending retirement in 2005. He caused controversy in 2006 by endorsing a Greens candidate, sitting MP Nick McKim, for the state seat of Franklin in the state election. The ALP originally preselected Electrical Trades Union official Kevin Harkins, Quick openly criticised Harkins and was seen to be supporting Liberal candidate Vanessa Goodwin. Harkins was eventually replaced as the ALP candidate by ALP state secretary Julie Collins, and Quick was expelled from the ALP, supposedly for not paying his membership fees.
Collins won Franklin at the 2007 election, and has since won five more terms. Collins has served as Minister for Housing and Homelessness since the 2022 federal election.
Assessment
Franklin is a safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Julie Collins | Labor | 26,147 | 36.7 | -7.3 |
| Kristy Maree Johnson | Liberal | 19,048 | 26.7 | -4.5 |
| Jade Darko | Greens | 12,370 | 17.4 | +1.1 |
| Chris Hannan | Jacqui Lambie Network | 4,215 | 5.9 | +5.9 |
| Anna Bateman | Local Party | 3,535 | 5.0 | +5.0 |
| Steve Hindley | One Nation | 2,033 | 2.9 | +2.9 |
| Duane Pitt | Liberal Democrats | 1,434 | 2.0 | +2.0 |
| Lisa Matthews | United Australia | 1,380 | 1.9 | -4.8 |
| Katrina Love | Animal Justice | 1,097 | 1.5 | +1.5 |
| Informal | 3,696 | 4.9 | +1.8 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Julie Collins | Labor | 45,392 | 63.7 | +1.5 |
| Kristy Maree Johnson | Liberal | 25,867 | 36.3 | -1.5 |
Booths have been divided into three areas, along local government boundaries: Clarence, to the east of Hobart; Kingborough to the south of Hobart; and Huon Valley in the south-west. While Huon Valley covers a large area stretching to the south-western corner of Tasmania, all of the polling places lay at the eastern edge of the council area.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 62.6% in Huon Valley to 66.8% in Clarence.
The Greens primary vote ranged from 16.1% in Clarence to 21.4% in Kingborough.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Clarence | 16.1 | 66.8 | 22,673 | 31.8 |
| Kingborough | 21.4 | 64.6 | 11,433 | 16.0 |
| Huon Valley | 19.4 | 62.6 | 7,259 | 10.2 |
| Pre-poll | 16.6 | 62.2 | 16,391 | 23.0 |
| Other votes | 15.9 | 60.1 | 13,503 | 18.9 |
Election results in Franklin at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
ABC reports that Bob Brown is urging people to vote for George – makes things interesting if they do
Liberal HTVC available yet?
@ maxim yes go back a few comments a link has already been posted
Does anyone know how will votes for Fitzgerald work if he has withdrawn due to ineligibility but still on the ballot? Would votes for him still count or not?
By “withdrawing” they just mean he won’t be campaigning. He’s still on the ballot as with any other candidate.
George’s stock just went up. He will be finishing at least 3rd on primary votes now
Cheers for the info Ben. Would be interesting to see how much of the Greens vote is picked up by either of the independents – especially George.
Though I also have another question: hypothetically, what would happen if an known ineligible candidate wins a seat during a federal election? Do the AEC decide to run a by-election like they did for the 2017/18 eligibility crisis?
It would need to be referred to the Court of Disputed Returns, but yes if it was in the House it would trigger a by-election.
@malben the high court would rule him ineligble and a by-election would be held.
@Maxim Collins 4 George 5. Collins retain looking likely
im gonna say Lbabor retain on a 4% margin v george if he makes the count but i think the libs will probably make the cut on onp and blomeleys preferenes.