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there is also the fact that both the greens and teals want to cancel the $30b expansion to gas project in WA and that would tank labors vote state and federally
@john March 5, 2025 at 12:43 pm:
Katter’s voters in Kennedy didn’t rate his performance during the 2010-’13 Parliament too highly. He only just staggered over the line with 29.36% PV, no doubt helped by 80.6% of Labor preferences and 23.04% of direct Green pregerences Labor and Green preferences
https://results.aec.gov.au/17496/Website/HouseDivisionDop-17496-167.htm
So, Labor and The Greens thought ol’ Bob had dome well, while he lost 13, 479 voters from his 2010 result though the Division expanded by 2,559 voters.
Most teals will reelected …. their reason to be is liberals are hopeless..Katter is the only certain coalition supporter in a hung parliament…and even he is unpredictable.
Support the party with the most seats not sure? If alp or lnp get an absolute majority they govern all bets are off…
Wilkie and Greens cannot back a lib – nat govt and keep their seats.
Rest in thre laps of thr Gods
@Mick Goodenough would back the Coalition. He won’t win thoigh
No
Moore either alp or liberal
Most likely liberal
@redistributed I don’t think that minority government will see things run into chaos. The Gillard government managed to get plenty of things through parliament. The biggest issue she faced was the white anting by her own party and Tony Abbott complaining about everything.
The other main “mistake” as far as the electorate saw from Gillard was bringing in policies that weren’t raised at the election such as the carbon tax and SRRT.
NSW currently has a minority ALP government with a large cross-bench and are no worse than if Labor had a lower house majority. They had no “deals” to get into government but had a big enough gap to the LNP (about 9 seats) that it just made sense to support them
@gympi this was because he was seen as being too close to KRudd after his return to power. labor and the greens also did this as a anyone but the lnp move as they usually do. also the lnp had a very good candidate in Noelene Ikin who some tipped would have beaten Katter in 2016 if she ran again but pulled out due to an aggressive brain tumour that ultimately killed her in early 2017.
@mick chaney will lose curtin and i think the libs are almost over the line in goldstein. and i think ryan is in troubl e in kooyong. all nsw teals will be reelected with a chance in Bradfield. Sharkie has already stated that she will negotiat first ith Peter Dutton as her constituents would expect her too.
the greens the only certainty for the greens is in elb as those qld seats are marginal. though the greens will never support the libs regardless. Wilkie has already stated he wont support anyone but will instead vote on legislation on its mmerits
Sharpie Mayo
Notional 2pp about 3% alp
@mick expect that to change. and thats a notional 2pp btw not exact
Is exact based on the same ballot she was elected in
mick look up the meaning of notional