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Do we reckon Libs are in any trouble here? On first glance not really, Lib seat held with a Lib swing predicted. However the presence of a teal + retiring MP could muddy stuff maybe
I don’t think so personally, though I could be wrong. I wonder if Nola had any personal vote?
Lib retain no question teal has no hope here.
Libs will get a swing. The suburbanites of Bunbury who gave Marino a close shave will flip back rather strongly. On the other hand Sue Chapman has really been putting in work in terms of campaign infrastructure. I’m certain she’ll make the 2cp now. She’ll probably win the entire cape to cape region as those booths seems to march forever leftwards (swings to labor at the state election) and maybe do well enough in the heart of Bunbury and Busselton.
@Mostly – agreed. Labor doesn’t seem to take this seriously. Sue Chapman has put a lot of effort in but I would say the Liberals will hold with a swing to them surely.
Labor had a swing to it on the 2PP at the Our Lady of the Cape Primary in Dunsborough (Vasse), Cowaramup Primary, Augusta Community Resource Centre and the Margaret River EPP (Warren-Blackwood). I’d argue Chapman will do well in Dunsborough, Margaret River, and maybe some parts of Busselton, but Bunbury is not a tealish/independent area, as well as a lot of Busselton.