LNP 8.7%
Incumbent MP
Andrew Wallace, since 2016.
Geography
Sunshine Coast of Queensland. Fisher covers southern parts of the Sunshine Coast. The seat is centred on the town of Caloundra and includes the coast as far north as Alexandra Headland and inland towns including Landsborough and Maleny.
History
Fisher was created in the 1949 expansion of the House of Representatives, and has been won by Coalition parties at all but two federal elections, and was held by members of the same family for its first thirty-five years of existence.
The seat was won by Charles Adermann in 1949, after previously having served as Member for Maranoa since 1943. Adermann held the seat for over twenty years, serving as a minister in the Coalition government from 1958 to 1967. Adermann retired in 1972 and was succeeded by his son Evan Adermann.
Adermann held the seat from 1972 until the 1984 election, when he moved to the new seat of Fairfax. Adermann served as a minister in the Fraser government from 1975 until 1980, and served in Fairfax until his retirement in 1990.
Adermann was succeeded by Peter Slipper (NAT) in 1984, and was defeated by the ALP’s Michael Lavarch in 1987.
The Liberal Party first challenged in Fisher at the 1972 election when the senior Adermann retired, and started to regularly contest the seat in 1983. At the 1990 election, Lavarch was re-elected while the National Party was pushed into third place.
At the 1993 election, Fisher’s boundaries shifted and became notionally Liberal, and Lavarch shifted to the nearby seat of Dickson, where he won a special election a month after the general election due to the death of another candidate. Lavarch became Attorney-General and was defeated at the 1996 election.
In Fisher, the Liberal Party stood Slipper, the former National Party member for the seat, and won. Slipper’s margin exploded to over 70% in 1996 and stayed above 10% for the entirety of the Howard government, with Slipper serving as a Parliamentary Secretary from 1998 to 2004.
Slipper’s hold on Fisher was weakened in 2007 with a 7.9% swing. Slipper gained a 0.6% swing in 2010.
Slipper survived a push to replace him with Mal Brough prior to the 2010 election, but his relationship with the Coalition had begun to break down. After the 2010 election he was elected as Deputy Speaker with the support of the ALP, defeating the Coalition-endorsed candidate.
In November 2011, the sitting ALP Speaker resigned from the position, and Peter Slipper accepted the nomination and was elected as Speaker. Slipper was threatened with expulsion from the LNP, and resigned soon after being elected Speaker.
Slipper temporarily stepped aside as Speaker in May 2012, and resigned as Speaker in November 2012, following allegations of misuse of parliamentary entitlements.
At the 2013 election, the LNP’s Mal Brough was elected comfortably. Brough was a former minister in the Howard government and member for neighbouring seat of Longman from 1996 until his shock loss in 2007. Slipper ran for re-election as an independent, but came a distant seventh with 1.55% of the vote.
Brough returned to the ministry in September 2015, but was forced to step down in late December over his involvement in the Ashby affair. Brough retired in 2016, and was succeeded by LNP candidate Andrew Wallace. Wallace has been re-elected twice.
- Bronwen Bolitho (Family First)
- Denis Fricot (Trumpet of Patriots)
- Keryn Jones (Independent)
- Benjamin Kelly (One Nation)
- Morrison Lakey (Labor)
- Andrew Wallace (Liberal National)
- Renay Wells (Greens)
Assessment
Fisher is a reasonably safe LNP seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Andrew Wallace | Liberal National | 48,013 | 44.3 | -5.8 |
| Judene Andrews | Labor | 25,313 | 23.3 | +1.1 |
| Renay Wells | Greens | 14,981 | 13.8 | +1.4 |
| Sam Schriever | One Nation | 10,102 | 9.3 | +0.6 |
| Tony Richard Moore | United Australia | 7,355 | 6.8 | +3.3 |
| Vickie Breckenridge | Animal Justice | 2,730 | 2.5 | +2.5 |
| Informal | 3,530 | 3.2 | -1.7 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Andrew Wallace | Liberal National | 63,656 | 58.7 | -4.0 |
| Judene Andrews | Labor | 44,838 | 41.3 | +4.0 |
Booths have been divided into three parts. Most polling places lie near the coast. The largest cluster lie around the town of Caloundra. The remaining booths on the coast have been grouped as ‘Coast’, and the inland booths have also been grouped together.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 54.2% inland to 56.8% on the coast.
The Greens vote came third, with a primary vote ranging from 16% in Caloundra to 17.4% inland.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ON prim | LNP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| Caloundra | 16.0 | 10.8 | 54.6 | 13,722 | 12.6 |
| Inland | 17.4 | 12.8 | 54.2 | 13,530 | 12.5 |
| Coast | 16.7 | 9.1 | 56.8 | 7,110 | 6.6 |
| Pre-poll | 12.3 | 8.4 | 60.2 | 53,133 | 49.0 |
| Other votes | 13.0 | 8.6 | 60.9 | 20,999 | 19.4 |
Election results in Fisher at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party, Labor, Greens and One Nation.
The Greens won the primary vote in Maleny oddly. Why did the Greens do so well in Maleny? I remember visiting it years and years ago on a day trip, It definitely was a retiree haven. Allot of retired individuals who moved from Brisbane.
Maleny is a hippie town that has a strong alternative culture.
Maleny has a large hippy population and I believe a hippy commune nearby, and has always had a history of anti-vaccine and anti-establishment sentiment. I believe several years ago there was community uproar over a decision to bring a Woolies to the suburb to replace a local farmers market. Not to mention that retirees from Brisbane who flock here aren’t typical boomers but rather environmentally friendly, financially comfortable “granola” progressives.
There’s a Group called “Voices for Fisher” trying to find an independent much like what Fairfax Matters and McPherson Independents are doing
@caleb won’t happen different times and this is not like the North shore or se Melbourne wealthy suburbs
I think they could do well around Noosa in Fairfax like how they did well around Coffs in Cowper but not in the other areas so this won’t be a teal seat nor will Cowper or Fairfax.
@Nether Portal Isn’t Noosa in Wide Bay though?
@Scart oh wait yes it is sorry but it will be in Fairfax next redistribution. A teal wouldn’t ever win Wide Bay either.
Fisher contains
1. 100% of Caloundra
2. 100% of Kawana
3. 20% of Buderim
4. 58% of Glass House
5. 26% of Maroochydore
6. 5% of Nicklin
Booths will be tonight as i will be busy today
@Nimalan thanks.
Booths in Fisher
1. Aroona
2. Baringa
3. Beerburrum
4. Beerwah
5. Buddina
6. Caloundra
7. Conondale
8. Currmundi
9. Currimundi West
10. Eudlo
11. Glass House Mountains
12. Glenview
13. Golden Beach
14. Landsborough
15. Maleny
16. Meridan Plains
17. Mooloolah
19 Palm View
20. Palmwoods
21. Peachester
22. Pelican Waters
23. Sippy Downs (joint booth)
24. Warana
24. Witta
25. Woombye (joint)
@Nimalan thanks, will calculate now.
State TPP here in 2024:
* LNP: 56.4%
* Labor: 43.6%
Labor did 2.3% better here on the state level in 2024 than on the federal level in 2022. Much of this can be attributed to the LNP’s underperformance in the seat of Caloundra.
Overall having now analysed both Sunshine Coast seats (Fairfax and Fisher) it’s clear that while Labor are performing better on the state level in the Sunshine Coast, the gap is much smaller than the gap in Moreton Bay.
Voices of have been pushing pretty hard here and in Fairfax. Lots of events and meetings happening. I wouldn’t be surprised if they run in both.
@LNPinsider – a former Sunshine Coast councilor, director of the Environmental Legacy Foundation, and a small business owner, Keryn Jones, was chosen as the teal candidate for Fisher.
On those booths, a Teal could win Fisher with tactical voting from Labor and Greens and a large-ish field to dilute the LNP vote.
Spoke to a few people up that way. I would say the candidate here is higher profile and seemingly a better chance than the Fairfax candidate.
I just looked at the Voices of Fisher website. All of these ‘Voices of ….’ sites say we are going to serve the community and listen etc. But have the policy depth of an old handkerchief. They actually have to believe in something !! They seem to be disgruntled Labor and Greens supporters who are tired of losing. The Teals – Steggall, Daniel, Ryan, Spender, Chaney – at least had a platform you could agree or disagree with. Some of the Voices people are just new playmates for the pixies who live at the bottom of the garden.
I doubt a Voices or teal candidate would win in Fisher or anywhere on the Sunny or Gold Coasts.
Part of why the sitting teal MPs won last election was that they were running in small-l or moderate liberal seats and provided an alternative with a fighting chance that either Labor, Greens or disgruntled Liberal voters could vote for. Fisher is quite conservative. Also, the sitting teal MPs had well-funded, well-resourced concerted campaigns.
Steggall, Scamps, Spender and Ryan all built on the campaigns of previous independents who had fairly similar platforms – so they were not exactly starting from scratch. On the Gold and Sunny coasts they are starting from scratch.