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Greens are surprisingly close to overtaking Labor both here and Fisher 3PP. It’s trivial if they can’t bring down the LNP vote but perhaps an anti nuclear campaign against O’Brien could cut through.
Having said that, not sure the Sunshine Coast Greens are organised enough to mount a winnable seat campaign, and QLD Greens will have other priorities. But if they are looking for LNP held target seats to telegraph publicly then running against O’Brien could be the ticket.
Same goes for McPherson on the Gold Coast if Karen Andrews becomes enough of a target as immigration spokesperson.
@ John
The only issue is that in mortgage belt parts of the Sunshine coast, Mountain Creek, Sippy Downs, Baringa, Nirimba etc its hard to see the Greens outpolling Labor there. However, they certainly could could do that along the Beach.
Fairfax contains
1. 80% or Buderim
2. 74% of Maroochydore
3. 84% of Nicklin
4. All of Ninderry
Booths to follow
Booths/ suburbs
1. Bli Bli
2. Buderim
3. Burnside
4. Coolum Beach
5. Cotton Tree (Maroochydore)
6. Didililibah
7. Eumundi
8. Forest Glen
9. Kenilworth
10. Kulun
11. Kureelpa
12. Mapleton
13. Maroochydore
14.Moolololaba
15. Mountain Creek
16. Midjimba
17 Nambour
18. North Arm
19. Pacific Paradise
20. Peregian Springs
21. Sippy Downs (Joint booths)
22. Woombye
23. Yandina
Greens always poll well with youth, but to win seats they need big Schools, Hospitals and Universities in their target electorates.
That occurs in Griffith, Ryan, Brisbane and Melbourne, not so much in Fairfax.
@Nimalan thanks.
State level TPP here (2024):
* LNP: 58.6%
* Labor: 41.4%
Labor did 0.4% better on the state level here in 2024 than on the federal level in 2022. Much less than the bigger differences seen in Moreton Bay, but still fractionally better.
Thanks N
I suspect labor did slightly better as they had a sitting MP in Nicklin we may see that in Fisher with Caloundra and in the Gold Coast seats with Gaven.
@Nimalan, no worries. Interestingly in Nicklin, Labor did better on the state level everywhere except Kureelpa, but only did slightly better in Kenilworth. Kenilworth and Kureelpa are both semi-rural suburbs in the Sunshine Coast Hinterland and thus tend to vote LNP. But unlike Maleny the Greens vote isn’t that high there, though One Nation polls better than in other parts of the electorate out there.