ALP 9.9%
Incumbent MP
Anne Aly, since 2016.
Geography
Cowan covers parts of the northern suburbs of Perth. These include the suburbs of Alexander Heights, Ballajura, Girrawheen, Greenwood, Landsdale, Marangaroo, Mirrabooka, Nollamara, Balcatta, Wangara and part of Stirling.
Redistribution
Cowan shifted north, gaining Darch, Landsdale and Wangara from Pearce. Cowan lost Beechboro, Kiara, Lockridge and Noranda to Hasluck and also lost part of Stirling to Perth. These changes cut the Labor margin from 10.8% to 9.9%.
History
The seat was first created in 1984, and was first won by Carolyn Jakobsen of the ALP. Jakobsen held the seat until she was defeated by Richard Evans of the Liberal Party in 1993.
Evans was himself defeated in 1998 by wheelchair-bound Vietnam veteran and former state minister Graham Edwards, standing for the ALP. Edwards was a popular local member and held the seat until he retired at the 2007 election. The Liberals took the opportunity to win the seat off the ALP. Cowan was one of only two seats the Liberals gained in 2007.
The Liberal Party’s Luke Simpkins won the seat in 2007 after running for the first time in 2004, and was re-elected twice in 2010 and 2013, increasing his margin every time. Simpkins built up a substantial margin over nine years, but the redistribution before the 2016 election sliced his margin by 3%, and a further 5.2% swing to Labor saw him lose to Labor candidate Anne Aly. Aly was re-elected in 2019 and 2022.
- Felicia Adeniyi (Liberal)
- Anne Aly (Labor)
- Matt Count (Greens)
Assessment
Aly’s margin is certainly over-inflated, but she remains the favourite to win re-election in 2025.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Anne Aly | Labor | 46,712 | 46.9 | +9.0 | 45.8 |
| Vince Connelly | Liberal | 30,328 | 30.4 | -9.7 | 31.0 |
| Isabella Tripp | Greens | 9,829 | 9.9 | -1.2 | 10.0 |
| Tyler Walsh | One Nation | 2,839 | 2.8 | -1.8 | 2.9 |
| Claire Hand | United Australia | 2,423 | 2.4 | +0.2 | 2.5 |
| Sylvia Iradukunda | Australian Christians | 1,859 | 1.9 | +0.0 | 2.0 |
| Roland Laverack | Western Australia Party | 1,714 | 1.7 | +0.5 | 1.8 |
| Michael Anagno | Animal Justice | 1,775 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.4 |
| Micah Van Krieken | Liberal Democrats | 1,080 | 1.1 | +1.1 | 1.2 |
| Michael Calautti | Federation Party | 1,125 | 1.1 | +1.1 | 1.1 |
| Others | 0.4 | ||||
| Informal | 8,039 | 7.5 | +1.7 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Anne Aly | Labor | 60,625 | 60.8 | +10.0 | 59.9 |
| Vince Connelly | Liberal | 39,059 | 39.2 | -10.0 | 40.1 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north-west and south-west.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 59.7% in the south-west to 63.1% in the east.
| Voter group | GRN prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 11.4 | 59.7 | 17,555 | 19.2 |
| North-West | 10.4 | 61.4 | 13,388 | 14.6 |
| East | 9.6 | 63.1 | 12,694 | 13.9 |
| Pre-poll | 8.6 | 58.2 | 27,169 | 29.7 |
| Other votes | 10.7 | 59.4 | 20,649 | 22.6 |
Election results in Cowan at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.
Likely alp retain though I think this along with Pearce hasluck and swan will be softened up enough for a liberal challenge in 2028