To provide the best experiences, we use technologies like cookies to store and/or access device information. Consenting to these technologies will allow us to process data such as browsing behavior or unique IDs on this site. Not consenting or withdrawing consent, may adversely affect certain features and functions.
The technical storage or access is strictly necessary for the legitimate purpose of enabling the use of a specific service explicitly requested by the subscriber or user, or for the sole purpose of carrying out the transmission of a communication over an electronic communications network.
The technical storage or access is necessary for the legitimate purpose of storing preferences that are not requested by the subscriber or user.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for statistical purposes.
The technical storage or access that is used exclusively for anonymous statistical purposes. Without a subpoena, voluntary compliance on the part of your Internet Service Provider, or additional records from a third party, information stored or retrieved for this purpose alone cannot usually be used to identify you.
The technical storage or access is required to create user profiles to send advertising, or to track the user on a website or across several websites for similar marketing purposes.
Unlock with Patreon
There are large recent residential developments in the northern part of this seat and cost of living and interest rates will be issues.
Husic will be lucky to win on first preferences this time,but no doubt will still be re elected.However residential development will make this seat less safe over time for the ALP.
Agree Sabena. Based on 2PP ALP for the win but he will lose votes. The Libs rarely provide a viable option for Chifley. It has forever been an ALP seat. Who knows what the conservative parties with rock up with on the day (UAP, PHON, LIB DEMS) , if they show at all. The previous GRN candidate is a newly elected Cumberland Councillor so he won’t be running.
This seat reminds me of Spence and Calwell – likely to take a haircut, maybe even enough to put it on the table in 2028 (if it’s a good cycle for the Liberals), probably more likely if Husic retires or something
ALP retain by 6-8% I’d say
The only way I see the Liberals ever being remotely competitive in this seat is if the boundaries change pretty dramatically.
Based on Blacktown and Mount Druitt? Provided they don’t pull a Fowler, I doubt Labor has anything to worry about.
classic labor seat this part of blacktown is solid fr labor results may vary but will never go liberal
Husic is well liked within his electorate. Whilst it was a soft stance, he did speak out fairly early ‘in support’ of Palestine. He is a local and an ALP Muslim poster boy. He is well protected. But what does that do for the electorate of Chifley? If voters are happy keep voting ALP but if they are complaining (which they are!) vote for the change you want.
For starters. In Blacktown, like most places in Sydney housing is an issue. Yet so is access to bulk billed GPs and that’s a Federal issue.
Husic is the kind of MP that is well positioned to reassure tribal ALP voters to keep the faith. The pro Palestine movement has left him alone. He’s from the right faction and has made some strongly pro business noises, but also has plenty of progressive positions (zero open hostility with Greens). He is well connected locally and a long term incumbent
If Husic is in any kind of danger, then Labor have already lost the election.
@blue if husic is any sort of danger labor are probabyly down to about 50 seats
I sense that the suburbs west of the M7 will swing hard away from Labor. There is more established housing and some suburbs are mostly public housing. Incomes and rates of uni degree attainment are lower. It is the rent and cost of living that is causing voter dissatisfaction.
In the new housing developments of Marsden Park and Melonba, whilst most people have a mortgage, they are not as deeply impacted as people in SW Sydney. It’s because median household incomes are high, even by Sydney standards, and a lot of them are white collar professionals.