ALP 13.6%
Incumbent MP
Ed Husic, since 2010.
Geography
Western Sydney. Chifley covers western parts of the City of Blacktown. Chifley covers the suburbs of Doonside, Mount Druitt, Rooty Hill, Marayong, Quakers Hill and a number of other suburbs in the northwestern parts of Blacktown council area.
Redistribution
Chifley lost the south-eastern corner of the electorate to McMahon. This area covered Bungarribee and the remainder of Blacktown. These changes slightly increased the Labor margin from 13.5% to 13.6%.
History
Chifley was created for the 1969 election, and has always been a safe seat for the ALP. The seat was first won in 1969 by the ALP’s John Armitage, who had previously held the neighbouring seat of Mitchell for one term from 1961 to 1963.
Armitage held the seat until his retirement at the 1983 election, when he was succeeded by Russell Gorman. Gorman transferred to the new seat of Greenway at the 1984 election, and Chifley was won by Deputy Mayor of Blacktown Roger Price. Gorman held Greenway until his retirement in 1996, while Price has been re-elected in Chifley at every election from 1984 until 2007, and retired in 2010.
Ed Husic was elected in Chifley in 2010. Husic had previously ran for Greenway unsuccessfully in 2004. Husic has been re-elected four times, and has served as Minister for Industry and Science since the 2022 election.
Assessment
Chifley is a safe Labor seat.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ed Husic | Labor | 51,236 | 52.7 | -1.6 | 53.0 |
| Jugandeep Singh | Liberal | 24,046 | 24.7 | -3.2 | 24.6 |
| Amit Batish | One Nation | 6,034 | 6.2 | +6.2 | 6.2 |
| Sujan Selventhiran | Greens | 5,622 | 5.8 | +0.7 | 5.7 |
| Zvetanka Raskov | United Australia | 5,149 | 5.3 | +0.8 | 5.3 |
| Ben Roughley | Liberal Democrats | 3,263 | 3.4 | +3.4 | 3.3 |
| Ammar Khan | Independent | 1,839 | 1.9 | +0.2 | 1.9 |
| Informal | 9,471 | 8.9 | -0.8 |
2022 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ed Husic | Labor | 61,682 | 63.5 | +1.1 | 63.6 |
| Jugandeep Singh | Liberal | 35,507 | 36.5 | -1.1 | 36.4 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 61.8% in the north to 66.4% in the south-west.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| North | 61.8 | 16,439 | 18.8 |
| South-West | 66.4 | 14,721 | 16.8 |
| East | 63.6 | 12,664 | 14.4 |
| Pre-poll | 63.9 | 32,764 | 37.4 |
| Other votes | 62.0 | 11,071 | 12.6 |
Election results in Chifley at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
There are large recent residential developments in the northern part of this seat and cost of living and interest rates will be issues.
Husic will be lucky to win on first preferences this time,but no doubt will still be re elected.However residential development will make this seat less safe over time for the ALP.
Agree Sabena. Based on 2PP ALP for the win but he will lose votes. The Libs rarely provide a viable option for Chifley. It has forever been an ALP seat. Who knows what the conservative parties with rock up with on the day (UAP, PHON, LIB DEMS) , if they show at all. The previous GRN candidate is a newly elected Cumberland Councillor so he won’t be running.
This seat reminds me of Spence and Calwell – likely to take a haircut, maybe even enough to put it on the table in 2028 (if it’s a good cycle for the Liberals), probably more likely if Husic retires or something
ALP retain by 6-8% I’d say
The only way I see the Liberals ever being remotely competitive in this seat is if the boundaries change pretty dramatically.
Based on Blacktown and Mount Druitt? Provided they don’t pull a Fowler, I doubt Labor has anything to worry about.
classic labor seat this part of blacktown is solid fr labor results may vary but will never go liberal
Husic is well liked within his electorate. Whilst it was a soft stance, he did speak out fairly early ‘in support’ of Palestine. He is a local and an ALP Muslim poster boy. He is well protected. But what does that do for the electorate of Chifley? If voters are happy keep voting ALP but if they are complaining (which they are!) vote for the change you want.
For starters. In Blacktown, like most places in Sydney housing is an issue. Yet so is access to bulk billed GPs and that’s a Federal issue.
Husic is the kind of MP that is well positioned to reassure tribal ALP voters to keep the faith. The pro Palestine movement has left him alone. He’s from the right faction and has made some strongly pro business noises, but also has plenty of progressive positions (zero open hostility with Greens). He is well connected locally and a long term incumbent
If Husic is in any kind of danger, then Labor have already lost the election.
@blue if husic is any sort of danger labor are probabyly down to about 50 seats
I sense that the suburbs west of the M7 will swing hard away from Labor. There is more established housing and some suburbs are mostly public housing. Incomes and rates of uni degree attainment are lower. It is the rent and cost of living that is causing voter dissatisfaction.
In the new housing developments of Marsden Park and Melonba, whilst most people have a mortgage, they are not as deeply impacted as people in SW Sydney. It’s because median household incomes are high, even by Sydney standards, and a lot of them are white collar professionals.
Leigh Burns is no longer PHON. I noticed a few weeks ago that her socials had disappeared.
She is now running as an independent. As is the Greenway candidate.
What’s the go? Is it a PHON issue or just a ploy to get LIB votes.
@Votante
“In the new housing developments of Marsden Park and Melonba, whilst most people have a mortgage, they are not as deeply impacted as people in SW Sydney. It’s because median household incomes are high, even by Sydney standards, and a lot of them are white collar professionals.”
I’m not entirely convinced of the soundness of this argument, at least insofar as it relates to voter behaviour. You need to be earning a lot to pay off a $1.2 million home while also raising children. Also, given when these suburbs were developed, many would have bought at the peak of prices and when interest rates were at an all-time low, but only shortly before they began increasing.
Robert Stuckey is One Nation.
He was, but he’s an independent now.
I am running as an Independent for Chifley and left PHON for ethical reasons. NONE of my preferences will go to Liberal, Labor, Greens or Teals. I am here to stay. I’ll be here for the next Federal Election and the next and the next.
Ed Husic (Labor)
Sukhjinder Singh (Greens)
Ryan Archer (Trumpet of Patriots)
Leigh Burns (Independent) [ex-PHON]
Tony Nikolic (PHON) [Did announce People First on 01/04 April fools? lol] [2022 UAP]
X Robert Stuckey (Independent) X [Now Greenway]
Rohan Laxmanalal (Animal Justice Party)
This party is really building in the community. Senate candidate is also a local.
@Nicholas, I agree that you do need a high income (or a lottery win) to buy a freestanding house in Marsden Park and Melonba. You can get a 3-bedder for under 1.1 million but the downside is that it’s far from the CBD.
According to the 2021 census, the median household incomes in Marsden Park and Melonba were well-above that of Greater Sydney’s. Those who had mortgages there at the time had the benefit of near-zero interest rates and buying before the real estate boom beginning mid-2021 (yes, during lockdowns).
There’s more mortgage stress and mortgage arears in SW Sydney. I believe the worst are Liverpool, Campbelltown and Camden LGAs. On average, people are feeling the pinch more than in Marsden Park. This is not to say that it’s all rosy for everyone in Marsden Park.