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@Nimalan I’ll see what I can do with the maps. One map I’ve wanted to do for a while but never got to actually do was a map titled “What if the NSW state election was during COVID-19 and Gladys Berejiklian was Premier?”. The NSW Coalition was popular even in 2023 (though NSW Labor only got popular when Chris Minns came in) but Gladys has a massive personal appeal mostly courtesy of her response to the pandemic which even Minns said was “excellent”.
Another good one would be “Seats with the most comments on their Tally Room pages”. For 2022 you’d think surely a seat like Kooyong would have heaps of comments, while for 2025 I think at the moment it’s seats like Macnamara and Wills due to the Greens, Deakin and Menzies due to Labor, and Blair and Paterson due to the Coalition.
Thanks NP
i agree Macnamara and Wills for Greens, Deakin, Menzies, Sturt and Leichardt for Labor and Blair, Paterson, Lyons and Bullwinkle for Coalition.
@niamlan the coalition will get more then that il bet my ridiculous payout on it
@ John
np asked which seats were talked about the most on tallyroom not for me to make a prediction and that was my response.
@John yeah as Nimalan said I was talking about what seats have the most comments. It’s getting late now so the map will probably be tomorrow unless I feel like it tonight.
Just a note to myself. Will post the booths later tonight.
State seats
1. All of Keppell
2. 34% of Burdekin
3. 78% of Mirani
4. 80% of Rockhampton
Roughly 60/40 lnp capricornia
@Mick Quinlivan seems roughly in the ballpark.
@ NP
Give me 20 min and i will post the booths for you
i just want to respond to Issacs thread first
Booths
1. Allenstown
2. Alligator Creek
3. Bakers Creek
4. Berserker
5. Carwarral
6. Chelona
7. Clermont
8. Collinsville
9. Dysart
10. Emmaus College (Norman Gardens)
11. Emu Park
12. Eton
13. Farnbrorough
14. Finch Hatton
15. Frenchville
16. Glenden
17. Glenmore
18. Keppel Sands
19.Koumala
20. Lakes Creek
21. Marian
22. Middlemount
23. Mount Archer
24. Nebo
25. Norman Gardens
26. Rockhamption
27. Ooralea
28. Park Avenue
29. Parkhurst
30. Rockhamption City
32. Rockhamption south
33. Sarina Centra
34. Swaynesville
35. Taranganba
36. The Caves
37. Walkerston
39 West Rockhampton
40. Yeppoon
@Nimalan thanks, will calculate now.
Which seat should we do next? I think Dawson and Hinkler might be interesting since they contain cities that did completely opposite things at this election (Mackay swung massively to the LNP while Bundaberg swung to Labor). I’ll do the safest seats last (Gold Coast seats, Sunshine Coast seats, Groom, Kennedy, Maranoa, Wide Bay).
@ Nether Portal
Agree lets do Dawson and Hinkler as they have more recent history of being Labor held and often contained Labor state seats in recent time. I will get Dawson done for you today and Hinkler tommorow
State level TPP here (2024):
* LNP: 55.2%
* Labor/KAP: 44.8%
Labor did 1.4% better here on the state level in 2024 than on the federal level in 2022.
Note that because Mirani was LNP vs KAP, I’ve combined the KAP TCP in those booths with the Labor TPP everywhere else.
Hinkler
Is almost add Bundaberg and Hervey Bay
Some Noosa as well
No Noosa
Part Maryborough 32%
Part Burnett about 2/3
All Bundaberg
All Hervey bay
Np this for Capricornia over estimates alp vote
Do we have kap to alp percentages pref?
@ MQ
Post Hinkler in the Hinkler thread please
State figures over estimate alp vote maybe by 3%.
It appears qld ec posts 2pp for non classic seats later on do these sums can be revisited then
Say what were the figures for
Alp
Lnp
Minus Mirani?