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Labor hold (I mean, there is no other real outcome that is as likely) but a swing away from Labor stemming from cost of living and Palestine, but the swing generated from the latter will be muted as their candidate is Basem Abdo who is Palestinian himself and Labor’s recent shift in UN position will improve their stance on this issue.
But without Vamvakinou there is nothing but a swing against them as she has a big personal vote in the electorate.
@ Tommo9
Victorian Socialists are likely to do well due Palestine that may take votes from UAP last time and flow back to Labor in preferences.
This seat had VIC’s largest election-day polling place at Greenvale Primary School, with 3042 votes cast on polling day.