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Big announcement from the last two weeks that local journalist Tina Brown will be running with backing from the Teals
@Hawkeye I don’t rate her chances as particularly good tbh.
Liberal hold.
This seat is now a better prospect for an IND win than North Sydney was in 2022 – though of course that is after the Liberal primary has already taken an 8% hit so one wonders how much more there could be – another 5-7%? Could be enough to lose.
Although the 2PP margin is less than North Sydney was, the Labor primary vote is lower, therefore easier to get into second and watch the preferences flow home.
Could be one to watch. The cut of 2.3% 2PP margin via additional of the Hornsby booths may have moved this into an IND sweet spot.
I sense Julian Leeser will hold.
@Insider, interesting point. The narrower margin now could be because the trough following a hit to the Liberal primary vote. The ship has sailed for the teal candidate. Add to that, moderate liberals are probably fans of Leeser.
There are teal-ish areas along the eastern edge of the electorate i.e. along Pennant Hills Road and the Northern (Train) Line as well as the Pacific Motorway.
Julian Leeser will easily hold.
I saw in the AFR today that Heather Ruddock, the wife of Philip Ruddock, is openly endorsing Tina Brown – the teal candidate. Heather quit the Liberals last year after Philip lost preselection for the Hornsby mayoralty.
Interesting Labor votes best in.epping and hornsby