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Labor retain. Catherine King is mega popular, as well as the continued demographic change making Ballarat more progressive and attractive to tree-changers.
Also, does anyone know if there were any pre-poll locations in 2022 that took in more than the Ballarat Showgrounds? They had around 25000 people vote at that single PPVC over the pre-poll period, so I’m curious to see if any other single pre-poll in 2022 took in more votes than Ballarat Showgrounds did.
Also just looked at the Voice results in 2023 and it said that 29751 people voted at the Ballarat PPVC for the Voice Referendum!!! Wow!
@James that would be one of the highest in the country for sure.
@NP – Disregard my comment on the Ballarat PPVC during the 2022 election 😭. Turns out the Mount Druitt Library PPVC in Chifley took in 29517 votes during the entire period, making it the largest prepoll in Australia during the 2022 election.
This seat is not in doubt. This is almost the reverse of Calare. Until Katherine King won this was a marginal seat.
During the dlp split years Labor could not win here. When Bracks was premier Bendigo Ballarat and Geelong were marginal. But now no more and their overflow helps Labor win other seats
Like the other regional centres in Victoria government jobs and the services industry has completely upended any primary industry or manufacturing which in turn is causing demographic shifts that are very much suiting Labor. The Geelong seats and Bendigo are no different. Safe Labor retain, 2-3% shift to the Liberals perhaps
At the state government this is more pronounced. The state seat of Polwarth never won by Labor… is trending labor’s way… within 2 elections that seat will be alp held or hyper marginal.
The DLP were once strong here it used to be a very Irish Catholic area.
Labor hold, possibly a small swing away from Labor.
@mick it’s because they are effectively satellite suburbs of Melbourne. Leftwing voters moved there as it’s close enough to the city.
https://vic.liberal.org.au/team/paula-doran