Ballarat – Australia 2025

ALP 13.0%

Incumbent MP
Catherine King, since 2001.

Geography
Western Victoria. The seat of Ballarat covers the urban Ballarat area, the Ballarat council area, and the neighbouring Hepburn council area and parts of the Moorabool and Golden Plains council areas.

Redistribution
Ballarat was only slightly changed, losing a small area to Corio.

History
Ballarat is an original federation electorate, having existed since 1901. Throughout it’s entire history it has changed hands between the ALP and the Liberal Party (and its predecessors). The seat was officially named ‘Ballaarat’ until 1977.

Ballaarat was first won in 1901 by Alfred Deakin. Deakin had been a member of the Victorian colonial parliament since 1879, and was a prominent leader of the federation movement.

Deakin first served Attorney-General in Edmund Barton’s Protectionist government, and in 1903 became Prime Minister.

Deakin led the Protectionist party for the remainder of the decade, and served as Prime Minister from 1903 to 1904, and again at the head of a Protectionist minority government from 1905 to 1908. In 1908, the ALP (with a larger number of seats than the Protectionists) withdrew their support from Deakin’s government, and formed government themselves.

In 1909, Deakin’s protectionists merged with the Anti-Socialist Party to form the Commonwealth Liberal Party, with Deakin as the party’s leader. He became Prime Minister for a third time when Parliament returned in 1909.

Deakin’s Liberals lost power at the 1910 election. Deakin retired as Liberal leader before the 1913 election, and retired from Ballaarat that same year.

Ballaarat was won in 1913 by state Labor MP Charles McGrath. McGrath was re-elected in 1914 and 1917, but at the 1919 election he lost Ballaarat to Nationalist candidate Edwin Kerby by one vote. The result was declared void, and McGrath won back the seat at a 1920 by-election.

McGrath continued to serve as a Labor MP throughout the 1920s. In 1931 he was one of a number of Labor MPs to walk out and join Joseph Lyons’ new United Australia Party, and was re-elected that year as a UAP member.

McGrath retired in 1934, and the United Australia Party’s Archibald Fisken won the seat. Fisken held the seat for one term, and retired in 1937.

In 1937, Ballaarat was won by the ALP’s Reg Pollard. Pollard was a former state MP and state minister. He served as a minister in the Chifley government from 1946 to 1949, when the Chifley government was defeated. In 1949, Pollard moved to the new seat of Lalor, which he held until 1966.

Ballaarat was won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Alan Pittard. Pittard only held the seat for one term, losing in 1951 to the ALP’s Robert Joshua. Joshua was a fierce anti-communist, and left the ALP in 1955 as part of the split that led to the creation of the Democratic Labor Party.

Joshua came third in Ballaarat in 1955 with 23%, with both the Liberal and Labor candidates polling 38%. With the assistance of Joshua’s preferences, the seat was won by Liberal candidate Dudley Erwin.

Erwin held the seat for the next two decades, often coming second on primary votes and winning with preferences from the Democratic Labor Party who regularly polled strongly in Ballaarat.

Erwin retired in 1975, and was succeeded by Liberal candidate Jim Short. Short was re-elected to the renamed ‘Ballarat’ in 1977, but lost in 1980 to the ALP’s John Mildren. Short was elected to the Senate in 1984. He served as Assistant Treasurer at the beginning of the Howard government in 1996, but was forced to resign in late 1996 due to a conflict of interest, and he resigned from the Senate in 1997.

Mildren held Ballarat for the ALP for a decade, winning re-election in 1983, 1984 and 1987, before losing in 1990 to the Liberal Party’s Michael Ronaldson.

Ronaldson served as a shadow minister from 1993 to 1996, and as a Parliamentary Secretary then a whip in the Howard government. He retired from Ballarat in 2001, reportedly due to ill health. He later was preselected as the lead Senate candidate for the Liberal Party in Victoria in 2004, and was elected to the Senate at that year’s election. He served as a Senator for Victoria from 2005 to 2016.

After Ronaldson’s retirement in 2001, Ballarat was won by ALP candidate Catherine King. She has been re-elected seven times, and has served as federal Minister for Infrastructure, Transport, Regional Development and Local Government since the 2022 election.

Candidates

Assessment
Ballarat is a safe Labor seat.

2022 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Catherine King Labor 43,171 44.7 -2.2 44.7
Ben Green Liberal 26,142 27.1 -4.6 27.1
John Barnes Greens 14,076 14.6 +5.6 14.6
Terri Pryse-Smith United Australia 3,693 3.8 -0.8 3.8
Rosalie Taxis One Nation 3,476 3.6 +3.6 3.6
Julia McGrath Liberal Democrats 3,216 3.3 +3.3 3.3
Alex Graham Independent 2,044 2.1 +0.9 2.1
Kerryn Sedgman Federation Party 682 0.7 +0.7 0.7
Informal 5,109 5.0 +0.8

2022 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Catherine King Labor 60,770 63.0 +2.7 63.0
Ben Green Liberal 35,730 37.0 -2.7 37.0

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into five areas. Polling places in the Ballarat urban area have been split into Ballarat south and Ballarat north. Remaining rural booths have been split into east, north and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all five areas, ranging from 55.1% in the east to 69.4% in southern Ballarat.

The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 12.2% in the east to 18.4% in southern Ballarat.

Voter group GRN prim ALP 2PP Total votes % of votes
Ballarat South 18.4 69.4 12,712 13.2
Ballarat North 16.2 66.0 11,243 11.7
North 16.1 63.7 9,245 9.6
South 12.8 58.5 7,043 7.3
East 12.2 55.1 2,187 2.3
Pre-poll 13.2 60.8 37,734 39.2
Other votes 14.0 63.6 16,110 16.7

Election results in Ballarat at the 2022 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal Party and the Greens.

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11 COMMENTS

  1. Labor retain. Catherine King is mega popular, as well as the continued demographic change making Ballarat more progressive and attractive to tree-changers.

    Also, does anyone know if there were any pre-poll locations in 2022 that took in more than the Ballarat Showgrounds? They had around 25000 people vote at that single PPVC over the pre-poll period, so I’m curious to see if any other single pre-poll in 2022 took in more votes than Ballarat Showgrounds did.

  2. Also just looked at the Voice results in 2023 and it said that 29751 people voted at the Ballarat PPVC for the Voice Referendum!!! Wow!

  3. @NP – Disregard my comment on the Ballarat PPVC during the 2022 election 😭. Turns out the Mount Druitt Library PPVC in Chifley took in 29517 votes during the entire period, making it the largest prepoll in Australia during the 2022 election.

  4. This seat is not in doubt. This is almost the reverse of Calare. Until Katherine King won this was a marginal seat.
    During the dlp split years Labor could not win here. When Bracks was premier Bendigo Ballarat and Geelong were marginal. But now no more and their overflow helps Labor win other seats

  5. Like the other regional centres in Victoria government jobs and the services industry has completely upended any primary industry or manufacturing which in turn is causing demographic shifts that are very much suiting Labor. The Geelong seats and Bendigo are no different. Safe Labor retain, 2-3% shift to the Liberals perhaps

  6. At the state government this is more pronounced. The state seat of Polwarth never won by Labor… is trending labor’s way… within 2 elections that seat will be alp held or hyper marginal.

  7. @mick it’s because they are effectively satellite suburbs of Melbourne. Leftwing voters moved there as it’s close enough to the city.

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