Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the next Australian federal election. This guide will include comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2022 election, as well as maps and tables showing those results.
On this page you can find links to each individual profile for one third of all House of Representatives electorates, and the Senate contests in the six states and the two territories.
This guide is a work in progress. For now profiles have only been prepared for fifty electorates, as well as profiles for the eight Senate contests. Profiles for the 100 seats in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will be produced once the redistribution concludes in 2024.
This election guide is a big project over many months. If you appreciate this work please consider signing up as a patron of this website via Patreon.
Most of this guide is currently only available to those who donate $5 or more per month via Patreon. I have unlocked two House profiles and one Senate profile for everyone to read – scroll to the end of this page to find the list of unlocked profiles.
Table of contents:
Local electorate profiles
Profiles have been produced for 50 out of 150 House of Representatives electorates: those in Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, the Australian Capital Territory and the Northern Territory.
Profiles for electorates in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia will need to wait for the conclusions of redistributions in 2024.
You can use the following navigation to click through to each seat’s profile:
You can use the following map to click on any lower house seat, and then click through to the relevant guide where available.
Senate profiles
Profiles have been written for the Senate races in all six states and both territories.
- New South Wales
- Victoria
- Queensland
- Western Australia
- South Australia
- Tasmania
- Australian Capital Territory
- Northern Territory
Free samples
Most of this election guide is only available to people who chip in $5 or more per month via Patreon, but a small selection have been unlocked for free access:
Contact
If you have a correction or an update for a single electorate page, feel free to post a comment. You can also send an email by using this form.
If you’d like me to include a candidate name or website link in my election guide, please check out my candidate information policy.
@NP, I’m talking about Frydenburg being leader, which was a certainty until he lost his seat.
He is Yes to the Voice, so was Leeser and many Liberal MPs were ambivalent. It wouyldn’t have been a big ask to present a bipartisanship deal to the Party, that would’ve eventually split the coalition, but the Voice would’ve got up with Liberal support.
That guaranteed a 2nd Term generational change gets 2 more while the Liberals are picking up the pieces.
That’s more or less how Hawke won 4 terms, Liberal infighting and a coalition split, rather than good governance.
Unfortunately for Albo dutton is just performing one masterstroke after another
@Gympie Hawke lost six (6) referendums.
On the other hand, Fraser won a referendum and won 2 historic landslides in 75 and 77 and was still out the door in only 3 terms.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Albo called an election after Queensland is done. Waiting until May is political suicide.
1 thing I do know if albos somehow makes it into minority in 2025 dutton wins in 2028 or thereabouts and will likely have a bigger majority then Abbott. Dutton to be PM for about 10 years after that as he won’t squander his backbench like Abbott and Turnbull did.
2028 is too far into the future.Dutton may not be leader……
Also Mr Albanese may have decided to retire of his own choice..
@Mick as long as he gets close in 2025 they will keep him why change the Captain of the ship who keeps winning the battles? The only way Dutton stops being leader is if Labor keeps their majority.
Scart is right. If Frydenberg had become Leader he may have personally supported the voice. However, i dont think he would have been able to bind the party room to it. Best outcome he would have got was to allow all members to have the freedom to campaign as they saw fit. A bit like what happened with the Republic referendum in 1999. Even if the Voice was passed it may have had an impact on one electoral cycle albeit probably not much just in a few marginal seats. Something that is often lost is that shared social values do not necessarily guarantee electoral success in the right places. For example, once SSM had passed Labor did not suddenly win the 2019 election and all those voted No did not suddenly abandon the Labor party. Everyone who voted No in the voice referendum in the case of the Dunkley by-election did not suddenly turn up and vote for right wing parties.
An expanded parliament might actually help the coalition hold marginal seats, Because the coalition is the natural governing party of this country and marginal seat holders such as Luke Howarth (My former MP when I lived in QLD) keeps getting re-elected because he is active locally and popular. When you have more seats, there are more seats for popular incumbents to hold on, making it harder for the opposition to win them because the more seats means more campaigning and local visits.
It would cost much less money under the current boundaries to campaign to unseat incumbents than it would be under a 200, 250 or even 300 seat parliament.
If federal boundaries were reduced to state boundaries (which would naturally happen when parliament is expanded) you would have more Tim Manders, Sam O’Connors, Peter Wellingtons, Leon Bignells, etc. And since the coalition hold office longer, there will be more on their side of politics which would give them more time to build up their profiles.
I support an expanded parliament regardless, because it reduces the work load of MP’s and they are much more likely to respond to your emails directly and have a higher chance of getting a meeting with them in their office.
@Daniel T the Australian House of Representatives can only seat up to 172 MP’s
Caleb, well they can add more seats and do some reconstruction, It has been done before in other parliaments.
How do you think the German Bundestag manages when they got an extra 100-150 members due to overhang seats in 2021?
The thing about Germany is that federal elections over there use MMP (like in New Zealand) so they elect both constituency MPs and list MPs. German constituencies all elect only one member. There are 299 constituencies in Germany while there are 437 list seats, so the Bundestag has a total of 735 seats including 137 overhang and levelling seats.
Interestingly the state of Bavaria (the second-most populated state of Germany after North Rhine-Westphalia; Munich is the capital of Bavaria) is quite conservative, with the Christian Social Union (CSU; the main liberal conservative party in Bavaria, affiliated with the national Christian Democratic Union or CDU) having won every state election there since 1946. The only federal constituency seat in Bavaria not held by the CSU is Munich South, a Green seat which is one of the four seats in urban Munich. On the state level the CSU holds every constituency seat other than two constituency seats held by the centre-right Free Voters (FW) party and four constituency seats held by the left-wing Greens in Munich.