LNP 11.2%
Incumbent MP
Stuart Robert, since 2007.
Geography
Fadden covers northern parts of the Gold Coast. The seat stretches as far south as Ernest, Labrador and Biggera Waters, and extends north to the Logan River.
Redistribution
Fadden lost Molendinar to Moncrieff. This slightly increased the LNP margin.
History
Fadden was created for the 1977 election as a seat straddling the southern fringe of Brisbane and the northern Gold Coast as a marginal Liberal seat. It has been won by the Liberal Party or the LNP at every election bar one, and has become much safer through the 1990s as it contracted into the Gold Coast.
Fadden was first won in 1977 by Liberal MP Donald Cameron. Cameron had previously won the marginal seat of Griffith in 1966, and held it until Fadden’s creation in 1977. Cameron held Fadden for two terms, losing it in 1983 to Labor candidate David Beddall. Cameron won the neighbouring seat of Moreton at a by-election eight months later and held it until his defeat in 1990.
Beddall moved to the new seat of Rankin in 1984, which he held until his retirement in 1998. Fadden returned to the Liberal Party, electing David Jull, who had previously held Bowman from 1975 to 1983. Jull was appointed to John Howard’s first ministry in 1996, but was forced to resign as a minister in 1997 due to his failure to prevent travel rorts by other MPs. He remained on the backbenches for the remainder of the Howard government, and retired in 2007.
The seat of Fadden was won in 2007 by Liberal candidate Stuart Robert, who has held the seat ever since.
Candidates
- Jake Welch (Liberal Democrats)
- Luz Stanton (Labor)
- Darren Eather (One Nation)
- Allan Barber (Conservative National)
- Scott Turner (Greens)
- Stuart Robert (Liberal National)
- Mara Krischker (United Australia)
Assessment
Fadden is a safe LNP seat.
2016 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Stuart Robert | Liberal National | 43,938 | 49.1 | -4.5 | 49.4 |
| Meaghan Scanlon | Labor | 23,369 | 26.1 | +3.9 | 26.0 |
| Brenden Ball | One Nation | 10,693 | 12.0 | +11.3 | 12.0 |
| Daniel Kwon | Greens | 6,871 | 7.7 | +2.7 | 7.6 |
| Lyn Rees | Family First | 3,450 | 3.9 | +2.2 | 3.8 |
| Sean Macnamara | Veterans Party | 1,083 | 1.2 | +1.2 | 1.2 |
| Informal | 4,243 | 4.5 |
2016 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Stuart Robert | Liberal National | 54,578 | 61.0 | -3.3 | 61.2 |
| Meaghan Scanlon | Labor | 34,826 | 39.0 | +3.3 | 38.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into four areas: central, north, south and west.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 53.6% in the south to 61.9% in the centre.
The One Nation primary vote ranged from 10.9% in the centre and south to 15.5% in the north.
| Voter group | ON prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| West | 12.4 | 59.7 | 18,236 | 21.2 |
| South | 10.9 | 53.6 | 10,906 | 12.7 |
| Central | 10.9 | 61.9 | 10,624 | 12.3 |
| North | 15.5 | 59.4 | 4,974 | 5.8 |
| Other votes | 12.2 | 61.2 | 13,608 | 15.8 |
| Pre-poll | 11.8 | 65.4 | 27,715 | 32.2 |
Election results in Fadden at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
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Labor’s candidate in Theodore at the 2017 state election, Luz Stanton has been preselected here in Fadden. Given the bad press, the current MP has been receiving, this seat could see an above-average swing.
Interestingly, I looked at Sportsbet and saw the odds and had to look twice as Labor was at $5:00. I just presumed every federal seat on the Gold Coast is ultra safe with the exception of Forde. Forde also mostly takes in Logan and takes only sparsely few areas in the Gold Coast.
The odds may not be so one sided for the LNP because the incumbent MP is getting some bad press for some of the scandals that have plagued him in this term of government. I expect the LNP to hold, but its only because the seat is so safe that the LNP retains this seat and not based on the Mp’s performance.
Yep posters going up again. Only time we hear from the MPs in 33 years in Fadden.
I no not want my vote to have a preference for Clive Palmer. How can I avoid this if I wish to vote for LNP.
cannot find a any preference info on internet. Senior voter
@Patricia King, you own your preferences, the how to vote cards are merely a suggestion.
The LNP will finish in the top 2 in Fadden, therefore you can number every other box however you like in that seat and those votes won’t be distributed.
What Stuart Robert and the LNP are suggesting is, if he is knocked out before the final two, he would like you to give your vote to the United Australia Party candidate second.
what really matters is who the minor parties are directing their preferences to. Hope this helps.