Berowra – Australia 2019

LIB 16.4%

Incumbent MP
Julian Leeser, since 2016.

Geography
Northern Sydney. Berowra covers most of Hornsby Shire and northern parts of the Hills. Major suburbs include Berowra, Hornsby, Cherrybrook, Pennant Hills, and Dural. It also stretches as far north as Dangar Island and Wisemans Ferry.

History
Berowra was created at the 1969 election, and has always been safely retained by the Liberal Party.

The seat was first won in 1969 by Tom Hughes. Hughes had previously held the seat of Parkes since 1963, but its abolition in 1969 saw him move to Berowra. He was Attorney-General in John Gorton’s government, but was dropped from the cabinet when William McMahon became Prime Minister, and he retired at the 1972 election.

In 1972, the seat was won by Harry Edwards, a professor of economics at Macquarie University. Edwards held the seat for the next 21 years, retiring in 1993. He was replaced by Philip Ruddock, who had held other seats since 1973. Ruddock held the seat from 1993 until 2016, serving as a senior minister for the entirety of the Howard government. Ruddock has since gone on to be elected as Mayor of Hornsby.

Berowra was won in 2016 by Liberal candidate Julian Leeser.

Candidates

Assessment
Berowra is a safe Liberal seat.

2016 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Julian Leeser Liberal 53,678 57.1 -4.4
Josh Andrews Labor 18,693 19.9 +0.9
Emma Heyde Greens 10,815 11.5 +1.5
Leighton Thew Christian Democratic Party 5,213 5.5 +3.1
Mick Gallagher Independent 2,859 3.0 -0.6
Brendan Michael Clarke Science Party 1,933 2.1 +2.1
Roger Woodward Independent 826 0.9 +0.9
Informal 4,082 4.2

2016 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Julian Leeser Liberal 62,470 66.4 -2.6
Josh Andrews Labor 31,547 33.6 +2.6

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into four areas. Booths in the sparsely-populated north and west of the seat have been grouped as “north-west”. Booths at the southern end of the seat have been grouped as “south”. Those booths in the east of the seat have been split into “north-east” and “east”.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 56.4% in the north-east to 78.8% in the north-west.

The Greens primary vote ranged from 7.8% in the north-west to 15.8% in the north-east.

Voter group GRN prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
South 10.8 66.7 31,151 33.1
North-West 7.8 78.8 14,769 15.7
East 14.4 57.7 14,195 15.1
North-East 15.8 56.4 6,914 7.4
Other votes 11.4 67.4 12,946 13.8
Pre-poll 12.0 65.6 14,042 14.9

Election results in Berowra at the 2016 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.


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8 COMMENTS

  1. Brooklyn has gone Red !!. Actually it appears as if that silly booth on Dangar Island is no longer done. That was like a red 78, a lot of Greenies live on that island

  2. Yes Dangar Island booth was abolished last election, as was incidentally the Scotland Island booth in Mackellar. AEC abolished lots of booths across the country.

  4. It looks like UAP have moved some candidates around and Ignatius Tsiriplis is now their candidate for Werriwa.

  5. Big fan of Julian Leeser. Very active in the community and probably one of the best policy thinkers going around in parliament.

    Real talent for the Liberal Party and a future front bencher

  6. Agreed @Hawkeye, he has worked his safe seat hard the past 3 years.

    He should maintain his safe seat status and go on the opposition frontbench after the election.

  7. I’d say Julian Leeser will retain his seat. I think he’s fortunate to have a safe seat because of Phillip Ruddock good work which was his predecessor.

  8. Lots of signs for Leeser here, including some nearly impossible to read on walkways above the Pacific Motorway. All the more strange considering how safe this seat is.

    The swing against the Libs here should be negligible, perhaps no more then 2% on the TPP.

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