ALP 10.9%
Incumbent MP
Ed Husic, since 2010.
Geography
Western Sydney. Chifley covers western parts of the City of Blacktown. Chifley covers parts of the suburb of Blacktown and the neighbouring suburbs of Doonside, Mount Druitt, Rooty Hill, Marayong, Quakers Hill and a number of other suburbs in the northwestern parts of Blacktown council area.
Redistribution
Small changes were made to Chifley – those parts of the seat south of the Great Western Highway, including Minchinbury, were transferred to McMahon. The eastern boundary in Blacktown was aligned with Reservoir Rd, Third Ave and the railway to Richmond.
History
Chifley was created for the 1969 election, and has always been a safe seat for the ALP. The seat was first won in 1969 by the ALP’s John Armitage, who had previously held the neighbouring seat of Mitchell for one term from 1961 to 1963.
Armitage held the seat until his retirement at the 1983 election, when he was succeeded by Russell Gorman. Gorman transferred to the new seat of Greenway at the 1984 election, and Chifley was won by Deputy Mayor of Blacktown Roger Price. Gorman held Greenway until his retirement in 1996, while Price has been re-elected in Chifley at every election from 1984 until 2007, and retired in 2010.
Ed Husic was elected in Chifley in 2010. Husic had previously ran for Greenway unsuccessfully in 2004. Husic was re-elected in 2013.
Candidates
- Josh Green (Christian Democratic Party)
- Mohit Kumar (Liberal)
- Ammar Khan (Independent)
- Eliza James (Greens)
- Ed Husic (Labor)
Assessment
Chifley is a safe Labor seat.
2013 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Ed Husic | Labor | 43,044 | 52.3 | +0.7 | 52.8 |
Isabelle White | Liberal | 26,479 | 32.2 | +1.9 | 31.7 |
Christopher Buttel | Palmer United Party | 3,361 | 4.1 | +4.1 | 4.1 |
Dave Vincent | Christian Democratic Party | 2,862 | 3.5 | -1.6 | 3.5 |
Ben Hammond | Greens | 2,198 | 2.7 | -5.8 | 2.7 |
Ammar Khan | Independent | 1,749 | 2.1 | +2.1 | 2.1 |
Elizabeth Power | One Nation | 1,402 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 1.7 |
Michael Wright | Democratic Labour Party | 810 | 1.0 | +1.0 | 1.0 |
Alex Norwick | Australia First | 396 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 0.5 |
Informal | 12,690 | 15.4 |
2013 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Ed Husic | Labor | 49,831 | 60.6 | -1.8 | 60.9 |
Isabelle White | Liberal | 32,470 | 39.5 | +1.8 | 39.1 |
Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas. Polling places have been split between those near Mount Druitt (south-west), near Blacktown (east), and those in the north-western part of the seat.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, with 58% in the east, and 64% in the other two areas.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
North-West | 64.1 | 22,608 | 29.8 |
East | 58.4 | 20,283 | 26.7 |
South-West | 64.1 | 11,569 | 15.2 |
Other votes | 58.5 | 21,504 | 28.3 |
My prediction: Easy Labor hold.