Kalamunda – WA 2017

LIB 10.0%

Incumbent MP
John Day, since 2008. Previously Member for Darling Range 1993-2008.

Geography
Eastern Perth. Kalamunda covers suburbs between Canning Mills and Parkerville, including Kalamunda, Gooseberry Hill, Lesmurdie, Walliston, Carmel and Darlington. Most of the seat is in Kalamunda local government area, on the Darling Range, along with parts in the Gosnells and Mundaring council areas.

Redistribution
Kalamunda shifted north, gaining Glen Forrest and Parkerville from Swan Hills, and losing part of Maddington to Thornlie and a small area to Forrestfield.

History
Kalamunda was created as a new seat in 2008. A previous seat with the same name existed from 1974 to 1989. The seat and its neighbour, Darling Range, have occasionally replaced each other in redistributions and on a number of occasions have had members switch from one seat to the other. Both seats have been won at every election by the Liberal Party for over 50 years.

Ian Thompson moved to Kalamunda in 1974 after Darling Range was abolished. He had been elected to Darling Range in 1971. Darling Range was restored in 1977, but Thompson held Kalamunda until it was abolished in 1989. He then moved to Darling Range and held it for one term, although he finished his term as an independent after resigning from the Liberal Party in 1990.

In 1993, Thompson was succeeded as Member for Darling Range by John Day. Day held Darling Range for fifteen years, being re-elected in 1996, 2001 and 2005.

In 2008, Kalamunda was restored as a seat name, taking over a large part of the former seat of Darling Range. Day moved to Kalamunda and was re-elected. He has served as a minister in the Barnett government since 2008.

Candidates

  • Matthew Hughes (Labor)
  • Lee-Anne Miles (Greens)
  • Murray Bowyer (Julie Matheson for WA)
  • Evazelia Colyvas (Micro Business Party)
  • John Day (Liberal)
  • Brady Williams (Australian Christians)
  • Ray Gould (One Nation)

Assessment
Kalamunda is held by a sizeable Liberal margin, but the seat could be vulnerable if the ALP is on track to form government.

2013 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
John Day Liberal 9,624 47.5 -0.1 49.3
Mick Wainwright Labor 4,480 22.1 -9.4 23.9
Geoff Stallard Independent 2,780 13.7 +13.7 11.1
Toni Warden Greens 1,658 8.2 -6.6 9.2
Greg Ross Independent 1,120 5.5 +5.5 3.3
Hannah Williams Australian Christians 612 3.0 -1.1 2.7
Family First 0.6
Informal 1,213 5.6

2013 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
John Day Liberal 12,241 60.5 +4.2 60.0
Mick Wainwright Labor 8,008 39.5 -4.2 40.0

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.

The Liberal Party’s two-party-preferred majority ranged from 54% in the north to 63% in the south.

Independent candidate Geoff Stallard polled over 20% in the south and 16% in the centre, but wasn’t a candidate in most of the north, so received very few votes there.

Voter group IND % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 2.4 53.9 7,311 32.6
Central 16.4 62.4 5,175 23.1
South 21.3 63.0 5,080 22.7
Other votes 7.9 63.3 3,889 17.3
Pre-poll 7.0 64.3 970 4.3

Election results in Kalamunda at the 2013 WA state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and independent primary votes.

2 COMMENTS

  1. Despite its only largish margin, this will be a more likely Liberal hold than the likes of Southern River, Wanneroo, Joondalup and Bunbury, Liberal seats higher up on the pendulum, to name a few. The Liberal vote held steady last time, and a lot of Labor votes went to an independent (Geoff Stallard).

    Kalamunda/Darling Range have always been Liberal seats, and I can’t see that changing.

  2. Stallard ran for Labor three times in the old Darling Range (he came within 0.3% of winning in 2001 – John Day was luckier than quite a few Court govt ministers there). Most of his votes in 2013 would’ve come from Labor, and should go back there.

    Kalamunda was pretty much 50-50 when it was created (based on figures from the 2005 election, which Labor won with about 52% 2pp), and it hasn’t changed much – the Labor areas in the south have been swapped for strong Greens areas in the north. Day should hang on, being the sitting member, but it might get pretty close.

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