Churchlands – WA 2017

LIB 20.2%

Incumbent MP
Sean L’Estrange, since 2013.

Geography
Inner north of Perth. Churchlands covers the suburbs of Churchlands, Floreat, Glendalough, City Beach, Wembley Downs and Woodland. Churchlands covers parts of the Cambridge and Stirling council areas.

Redistribution
Churchlands lost Bold Park to Cottesloe and Perry Lakes to Nedlands. This change made little difference to the seat’s margin.

History
The seat of Churchlands has existed since 1996. The seat was held for an independent for most of that time, and by the Liberal Party since 2013.

Churchlands was first won in 1996 by independent MP Liz Constable. Constable had first been elected to parliament at the 1991 Floreat by-election. She was a former member of the Liberal Party who had resigned to run for the by-election.

Constable was re-elected to parliament in 1993, 1996, 2001, 2005 and 2008, and became a minister in the Liberal-led government after the 2008 election. Constable retired at the 2013 election.

Liberal candidate Sean L’Estrange was elected to represent Churchlands in 2013, and has served as a minister since early 2016.

Candidates

  • Sean L’Estrange (Liberal)
  • Jim Bivoltsis (Independent)
  • Paul Phillips (Australian Christians)
  • Joanna Gurak (Greens)
  • Jack Garber (Julie Matheson for WA)
  • Daljeet Gill (Micro Business Party)
  • Paul Lilburne (Labor)

Assessment
In the absence of a strong independent candidate, Churchlands is a safe Liberal seat.

2013 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Sean L’Estrange Liberal 13,366 59.0 +59.0 59.0
Patrick Ashforth Labor 3,543 15.6 -2.3 15.6
Wayne Monks Independent 1,828 8.1 +8.1 8.1
Cameron Pidgeon Greens 1,740 7.7 -7.1 7.7
Elizabeth Re Independent 1,072 4.7 +4.7 4.7
Jim Bivoltsis Independent 783 3.5 +3.5 3.5
Pat Seymour Australian Christians 327 1.4 +1.4 1.4
Informal 829 3.5

2013 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Sean L’Estrange Liberal 15,887 70.2 70.2
Patrick Ashforth Labor 6,756 29.8 29.8

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three parts: central, east and west.

The Liberal Party’s two-party-preferred vote ranged from 62% in the east to 75% in the west.

Voter group LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
Central 74.1 6,512 28.9
East 62.4 5,978 26.5
West 75.2 5,499 24.4
Other votes 67.8 3,446 15.3
Pre-poll 71.1 1,104 4.9

Two-party-preferred votes in Churchlands at the 2013 WA state election

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