Pascoe Vale – Victoria 2022

ALP 22.3%

Incumbent MP
Lizzie Blandthorn, since 2014.

• Geography
• Redistribution
• History
• Candidates
• Assessment
• 2018 result
• Booth breakdown
• Results maps

Geography
Northern Melbourne. Pascoe Vale covers central parts of the City of Moreland, specifically the suburbs of Coburg, Coburg North, Pascoe Vale and Pascoe Vale South.

Redistribution
Pascoe Vale shifted south, losing Glenroy, Hadfield and Oak Park to Broadmeadows and gaining the remainder of Coburg and part of Brunswick West from Brunswick. These changes increased the Labor margin from 18.3% to 22.3%.

History

Pascoe Vale has existed in two incarnations, first for a single term in the 1950s and then again since 1985. In that time it has always been held by the ALP.

The original Pascoe Vale was created for the 1955 election, when it was won by the ALP’s Arthur Drakeford. He had previously held the seat of Essendon for one term in the 1940s. The seat was abolished after only one term.

Pascoe Vale was recreated in 1985, and was won by the ALP’s Cyril Edwards. He had previously been Member for Moonee Ponds and Ascot Vale, serving continuously from 1967 until his retirement at the 1988 election.

In 1988 Pascoe Vale was won by Deputy Mayor of Coburg, Kelvin Thomson. He served as Member for Pascoe Vale until he resigned in March 1996 to contest the federal seat of Wills. The federal election was held only four weeks before the Victorian state election, so no by-election was held. Thomson has served as Member for Wills ever since, and served as a shadow minister prior to the ALP winning government in 2007.

Pascoe Vale was won at the 1996 state election by Christine Campbell. Campbell served as a minister from 1999 to 2010, and held the seat until her retirement in 2014.

Labor’s Lizzie Blandthorn won Pascoe Vale in 2014, and she was re-elected in 2018.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Lizzie Blandthorn is running for the Western Metropolitan region of the Legislative Council.

• Madaleine Hah (Victorian Socialists)
• Tom Wright (Liberal)
• Richard Cimbaro (Family First)
• Elizabeth Adams (Animal Justice)
• Margee Glover (Reason)
• Sue Bolton (Independent)
• Anthony Cianflone (Labor)
• Angelica Panopoulos (Greens)

Assessment
Pascoe Vale has a long history as a safe Labor seat. It’s very likely the seat will stay in Labor hands in 2022, but there is a significant share of the vote that was cast either for independents or the Greens in 2018, and the shift to the south pushed the Greens into second place.

2018 result

2018 two-candidate-preferred result

2018 two-party-preferred result

Booth breakdown

Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north-west and south-west.

Labor won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote (against the independent in the north and the Greens in the south) in all three areas, ranging from 57.4% in the north-west to 62.8% in the south-west.

The Greens came third, with a primary vote ranging from 11.8% in the north-west to 31.1% in the east.

Election results in Pascoe Vale at the 2018 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, independent candidates, the Greens and the Liberal Party.

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