ALP 16.2%
Incumbent MP
Colin Brooks, since 2006.
Geography
Northern Melbourne. Bundoora covers parts of Banyule, Darebin and Whittlesea councils, and the suburbs of Bundoora, Greensborough, Kingsbury, Macleod and Watsonia and parts of Mill Park and Yallambie.
Redistribution
Bundoora expanded slightly to the east, gaining Greensborough from Eltham and Macleod from Ivanhoe. These changes reduced the Labor margin from 17.4% to 16.2%.
History
The electoral district of Bundoora was first created prior to the 1976 election, and has always been held by the ALP.
The seat was first won in 1976 by John Cain Jr, son of the former Labor Premier. Cain was elected Labor leader in 1981, and led the party to victory at the 1982 election. Cain won re-election in 1985 and 1988. Cain resigned as Premier in 1990, and retired at the 1992 election.
In 1992, Bundoora was won by the ALP’s Sherryl Garbutt. Garbutt had been elected in the 1989 Greensborough by-election, but that seat was abolished in the redistribution before the 1992 election.
Garbutt was promoted to the Labor frontbench after their 1992 election loss, and became a minister in the Bracks government in 1999.
She retired at the 2006 election. Justin Madden, the former footballer who served as a Minister in the Legislative Council, was originally preselected to fill the seat, with his upper house seat slated to be abolished by Legislative Council reforms. Madden found another upper house seat, and the ALP preselected former Banyule councillor Colin Brooks, who won the seat in 2006.
Colin Brooks has been re-elected three times.
- Julie O’Brien (Greens)
- Sahil Tomar (Liberal)
- Eric Koelmeyer (Independent)
- Colin Brooks (Labor)
- Ethan Jones (Family First)
- Andrew Lu (Freedom Party)
- Bella Holgate (Animal Justice)
Assessment
Bundoora is a safe Labor seat.
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Colin Brooks | Labor | 19,716 | 56.2 | +3.5 | 55.3 |
Jenny Mulholland | Liberal | 9,958 | 28.4 | -5.0 | 29.9 |
Clement Stanyon | Greens | 2,790 | 7.9 | -2.2 | 8.0 |
Rodney Whitfield | Animal Justice | 1,011 | 2.9 | +2.9 | 2.5 |
Bryce Baker | Reason | 818 | 2.3 | +2.3 | 2.0 |
Jacob Andrewartha | Socialists | 805 | 2.3 | +2.3 | 2.0 |
Others | 0.3 | ||||
Informal | 2,226 | 6.0 | +1.4 |
2018 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Colin Brooks | Labor | 23,722 | 67.4 | +5.2 | 66.2 |
Jenny Mulholland | Liberal | 11,462 | 32.6 | -5.2 | 33.8 |
Booths have been divided into three areas: east, north and west.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 66.2% in the east to 71.1% in the west.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
East | 66.2 | 8,744 | 21.5 |
West | 71.1 | 6,872 | 16.9 |
North | 69.8 | 4,123 | 10.1 |
Pre-poll | 63.0 | 15,304 | 37.6 |
Other votes | 64.7 | 5,628 | 13.8 |
Election results in Bundoora at the 2018 Victorian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
Cain’s old seat, Could this see an Anti-Dan swing this election? Personally doubt there will be too much if so considering the Liberals problems. But this was close when Cain retired in the 1990’s.
For one, 1992 was a landslide victory for the Coalition. Secondly, the boundaries of Bundoora were much more favourable to the Liberals than they are now. It did not extend north of the Metropolitan Ring Road and instead included areas now in the northeast of Ivanhoe district. So if the 1990s are anything to go by (that is, the Liberals failing to win the electorate in a landslide election on more favourable boundaries) the Liberals don’t have a hope here.
I expect the biggest anti-Dan swings in the growth corridors and outer suburbs especially in western and northern metro Melbourne. It’s where there were the largest anti-Labor swings happened at the federal election. There may be a negligible swing in Bundoora.