Clarinda – Victoria 2014

ALP 12.4%

Incumbent MP
Hong Lim, since 1996.

Geography
Southeastern Melbourne. Clarinda covers the suburbs of Clarinda, Clayton South, Heatherton and Oakleigh and parts of Bentleigh East, Cheltenham, Clayton, Springvale and Springvale South. Clarinda covers parts of four local government areas: Glen Eira, Greater Dandenong, Kingston and Monash, with a majority of the electorate in the City of Kingston.

Map of Clarinda's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Clarinda’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Clarinda is a new name for the electorate of Clayton. Clayton/Clarinda shifted south, losing Clayton North and Huntingdale to Oakleigh, and gaining parts of a number of suburbs on its southern boundary from Mordialloc, and gaining a small area from Bentleigh. These changes cut the Labor margin from 15.3% to 12.4%.

History
Clarinda is a new name for the electorate previously named Clayton.

Clayton has existed since the 1985 election, and it has always been won by the ALP.

Gerard Vaughan won the seat in 1985, he had previously held the seat of Glenhuntly since 1979. Vaughan held the seat until 1996.

In 1996, Clayton was won by Hong Lim, also of the ALP. He has been re-elected in 1999, 2002, 2006 and 2010.

Candidates

  1. James Talbot-Kamoen (Greens)
  2. Hong Lim (Labor)
  3. James Marinis (Independent)
  4. Gandhi Bevinakoppa (Liberal)
  5. Melanie Vassiliou (Rise Up Australia)

Assessment
Clarinda is a safe Labor seat.

2010 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Hong Lim Labor 15,843 54.34 -7.85 52.66
Justin Scott Liberal 8,833 30.29 +6.54 32.82
Matthew Billman Greens 2,782 9.54 +0.13 8.55
Peter Bolling Democratic Labor 976 3.35 +3.35 2.93
Darren Reid Family First 723 2.48 -0.90 2.21
Sex Party 0.47
Other independents 0.36

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Hong Lim Labor 19,071 65.31 -4.96 62.40
Justin Scott Liberal 10,129 34.69 +4.96 37.60
Polling places in Clarinda at the 2010 Victorian state election. Central in green, East in yellow, North-West in red, South-West in blue. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Clarinda at the 2010 Victorian state election. Central in green, East in yellow, North-West in red, South-West in blue. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Clarinda have been divided into four parts: central, east, north-west and south-west.

The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from a slim 50.5 in the south-west to a massive 73.5% majority in the east.

The Greens came third, with a vote ranging from 7% in the east to 10.2% in the north-west.

Voter group GRN % ALP 2PP % Total % of votes
Central 7.77 67.33 9,078 24.02
East 7.03 73.51 6,881 18.21
North-West 10.23 55.00 6,638 17.57
South-West 8.36 50.48 6,580 17.41
Other votes 9.43 64.29 8,611 22.79
Two-party-preferred votes in Clarinda at the 2010 Victorian state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Clarinda at the 2010 Victorian state election.