Bulleen – Victoria 2014

LIB 15.1%

Incumbent MP
Nicholas Kotsiras, since 1999.

Geography
Eastern Melbourne. Bulleen covers western parts of the City of Manningham, specifically the suburbs of Bulleen, Lower Templestowe and Templestowe and parts of Doncaster.

Map of Bulleen's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Bulleen’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Bulleen expanded to cover most of Doncaster, after the abolition of the seat of Doncaster, while losing a small area at the seat’s eastern edge to Warrandyte. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 14.7% to 15.1%.

History
Bulleen was first created before the 1985 election. It has always been held by the Liberal Party. Bulleen was first won in 1985 by David Perrin. He served as a shadow minister from 1988 to 1991, but did not serve as a minister in the Kennett government. Perrin lost preselection at the 1999 election to Nicholas Kotsiras.

Kotsiras was re-elected in 2002, 2006 and 2010.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal MP Nicholas Kotsiras is not running for re-election. Liberal candidate Matthew Guy has served as a Member of the Legislative Council for North Metropolitan region since 2006.

  1. Ben Cronly (Greens)
  2. Adam Rundell (Labor)
  3. Eleni Arapoglou (Australian Christians)
  4. Matthew Guy (Liberal)

Assessment
Bulleen is a safe Liberal seat.

2010 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Nicholas Kotsiras Liberal 18,849 59.52 +6.82 60.00
Ivan Reid Labor 8,533 26.95 -6.63 26.92
Fiona Mackenzie Greens 2,712 8.56 -0.12 8.76
Kevin Tan Family First 1,030 3.25 -1.79 3.04
Kelvin Eldridge Independent 542 1.71 +1.71 1.28

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Nicholas Kotsiras Liberal 20,509 64.68 +6.25 65.10
Ivan Reid Labor 11,199 35.32 -6.25 34.90
Polling places in Bulleen at the 2010 Victorian election. Central in orange, East in blue, West in green. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Bulleen at the 2010 Victorian election. Central in orange, East in blue, West in green. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Bulleen have been divided into three areas: central, east and west.

The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 59.4% in the west to 66.3% in the centre.

Voter group GRN % LIB 2PP % Total % of votes
East 8.24 65.24 10,596 26.81
Central 8.29 66.28 9,437 23.88
West 8.39 59.37 8,497 21.50
Other votes 9.96 68.08 10,994 27.82
Two-party-preferred votes in Bulleen at the 2010 Victorian election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Bulleen at the 2010 Victorian election.