Lara – Victoria 2010

ALP 17.9%

Incumbent MP
John Eren, since 2006. Previously Member for Geelong North 2002-2006.

Geography
Western fringe of Melbourne. Lara covers northern parts of the City of Greater Geelong and western parts of Wyndham Shire. Most of the seat’s population is based in one of two centres: Corio, on the northern edge of the Geelong urban area, and Werribee, on the western fringe of Melbourne.

History
Lara was created in 2002. It was considered a safe Labor seat, but was made much safer when Labor candidate Peter Loney won the seat with a 9.6% swing. Loney had previously held the seat of Geelong North since 1992, before it was abolished at the 2002 redistribution.

In 2006, Loney faced a preselection challenge from John Eren, a member of the Legislative Council whose seat had been abolished as part of the reforms to the upper house. Loney retired, and Eren was elected as the new Labor member for Lara.

Candidates

Political situation
Lara is a safe Labor seat.

2006 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
John Eren ALP 20,860 59.20 -5.77
Angelo Kakouros LIB 9,139 25.94 +0.38
Peter Haines FF 2,894 8.21 +8.21
Catherine Jones GRN 2,344 6.65 -0.06

2006 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
John Eren ALP 22,268 67.93 -4.41
Angelo Kakouros LIB 10,514 32.07 +4.41

Booth breakdown
Polling booths in Lara have been divided into three areas. Most booths are either in the Corio area or the Werribee area. The remainder have been grouped as “central”. The ALP’s margin varies from over 73% in Corio, to 66% in Werribee and under 59% in the centre of the seat.

 

Polling booths in Lara at the 2006 state election. Werribee in orange, Central in blue, Corio in green.
Voter group GRN % FF % ALP 2CP % Total votes % of votes
Corio 5.59 7.89 73.61 15,040 45.88
Central 7.18 7.32 58.94 7,101 21.66
Werribee 6.41 8.61 66.59 6,812 20.78
Other votes 8.85 9.55 64.66 3,829 11.68
Two-party-preferred votes in Lara at the 2006 state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in the Corio area of the seat of Lara at the 2006 state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in the Werribee area of the seat of Lara at the 2006 state election.

1 COMMENT

  1. Hopefully the Werribee part of this electorate will be redistruibuted back into Wyndham entirely, to combine with the overquota parts of Altona and Tarneit to make 3 new seats. Could actually help to bring a contest into the area as the Hoppers/Point Cook area could even produce a marginal seat in a very year for the Liberals. Will be interesting work either way

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