Adelaide – SA 2022

LIB 1.0%

Incumbent MP
Rachel Sanderson, since 2010.

Geography
Central Adelaide. The electorate covers the Adelaide city centre, as well as the suburbs of North Adelaide, Ovingham, Fitzroy, Thorngate, Medindie, Medindie Gardens, Gilberton, Walkerville and parts of Prospect, Nailsworth and Collinswood. Adelaide covers the entirety of the City of Adelaide, a majority of both Prospect and Walkerville council areas, and small parts of Charles Sturt local government area.

Redistribution
No change.

History

The electorate of Adelaide has existed since early in the 20th century. The seat was dominated by the ALP prior to 1989. Since 1989, the Liberal Party has held the seat for four out of six terms.

The seat of Adelaide was held by the ALP continuously from 1944 until 1989.

In 1989, the Liberal Party’s Michael Armitage won the seat. Armitage served as a minister from 1993, and retired in 2002.

In 2002, the ALP’s Jane Lomax-Smith, a former Lord Mayor of Adelaide, defeated the new Liberal candidate. Lomax-Smith was re-elected in 2006, and over her two terms served in a variety of ministerial roles.

The Liberal Party’s Rachel Sanderson defeated Lomax-Smith in 2010, and she was re-elected in 2014 and 2018.

Candidates

Assessment
Adelaide is a very marginal seat.

2018 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Rachel Sanderson Liberal 10,226 47.2 -2.1
Jo Chapley Labor 7,750 35.8 +0.5
Robert Simms Greens 2,739 12.6 +0.7
Betty-Jean Price Dignity 946 4.4 +1.1
Informal 487 2.2

2018 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Rachel Sanderson Liberal 11,043 51.0 -2.0
Jo Chapley Labor 10,618 49.0 +2.0

Booth breakdown

Booths in Adelaide have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The Liberal Party won 53% of the two-party-preferred vote in the north and 54.3% in the centre. Labor won 60.6% in the south.

Voter group GRN prim % LIB 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 10.0 53.0 7,999 33.8
South 20.3 39.4 4,228 17.9
Central 10.8 54.3 3,521 14.9
Other votes 11.9 54.6 5,913 25.0

Election results in Adelaide at the 2018 South Australian state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens.

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5 COMMENTS

  1. Greens candidate is no longer Karina Natt. A last minute candidate change isn’t a good sign for them in their most winnable seat, and it probably hurts Labor’s chances too.

  2. Honestly, having been involved with Natt professionally I believe it is a good thing for the Greens, but immense shame about the timing. Not the first time I have viewed Natt walk out on something she committed to. Feel sorry for the candidate who hasn’t had a decent run at it.

  3. Draft boundaries for the 2026 state election are due to be released in a little over a week if they stick to the proposed redistribution timetable. Snuck up on me as I had heard nothing about it until a few weeks ago. I do wish the eastern states in particular would adopt SA’s policy of a redistribution after every state election as they have much faster growth rates and some areas fall out of quota very quickly.

  4. The Liberals aren’t winning this back with David Speirs. He’s too conservative and isn’t really in-touch. The Liberals need a new leader in SA because at this point they’ll lose to Peter Malinauskas’ popular Labor government in a landslide.

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