LIB 16.3%
Incumbent MP
Adrian Pederick, since 2006.
Geography
Regional South Australia. Hammond covers areas to the south-east of Adelaide, along the Murray River including Karoonda, Karte, Mantung, Mindarie, Monarto, Murray Bridge, Mypolonga, Pinnaroo, Purnong, Strathalbyn, Tailem Bend, Wanbi, Wellington, Cambrai, Palmer, Tungkillo, Mannum, Walker Flat, Harrogate, Karoonda, Lamerbo and Pinnaroo.
Redistribution
Hammond lost Goolwa to Finniss and gained: Cambrai, Palmer, Tungkillo, Mannum and Walker Flat from Schubert; Harrogate from Kavel; and Karoonda, Lamerbo and Pinnaroo from Chaffey. These changes increased the Liberal margin from 14.6% to 16.3%.
History
The electorate of Hammond has existed since the 1997 election. The seat has been won by the Liberal Party at three out of four elections, with an ex-Liberal independent winning the seat in 2002.
Peter Lewis won Hammond for the Liberal Party in 1997. He had held a seat in the Hammond area under the names of Mallee, Murray-Mallee and Ridley from 1979 to 1997.
Peter Lewis was expelled from the Liberal Party in 2000, and moved to the crossbenches as an independent MP.
Lewis was re-elected as an independent in 2002, and was placed in the balance of power with the power to decide which party would form government. Lewis shocked most observers by supporting Labor leader Mike Rann to form a Labor government. Lewis was elected as Speaker of the House of Assembly.
Lewis resigned as Speaker at the 2005 election, and in 2006 chose to contest the Legislative Council election rather than Hammond, and lost his bid for election.
Adrian Pederick regained Hammond for the Liberal Party at the 2006 election, and was re-elected in 2010 and 2014.
Candidates
- Simon Hope (Greens)
- Adrian Pederick (Liberal)
- Mat O’Brien (Labor)
- Kelly Gladigau (SA Best)
- Declan Paton (Conservatives)
Assessment
Hammond would normally be considered a safe Liberal seat. The seat is a strong area for the Nick Xenophon Team (ranked 11th at the 2016 federal election) so SA Best could pose a threat.
2014 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Adrian Pederick | Liberal | 11,469 | 55.1 | -5.0 | 56.9 |
| Lou Bailey | Labor | 5,314 | 25.5 | +1.2 | 23.9 |
| Daniel Gutteridge | Family First | 1,654 | 7.9 | +0.6 | 9.0 |
| Damien Pyne | Greens | 1,458 | 7.0 | -1.4 | 6.6 |
| Rachel Titley | Nationals | 912 | 4.4 | +4.4 | 3.6 |
| Informal | 697 | 3.2 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Adrian Pederick | Liberal | 13,444 | 64.6 | -3.1 | 66.3 |
| Lou Bailey | Labor | 7,363 | 35.4 | +3.1 | 33.7 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Hammond have been divided into four parts: Murray Bridge, east, north and west.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 61.9% in Murray Bridge to 74.8% in the west.
| Voter group | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Murray Bridge | 61.9 | 6,402 | 31.0 |
| West | 74.8 | 3,000 | 14.5 |
| North | 65.3 | 2,793 | 13.5 |
| East | 67.9 | 1,718 | 8.3 |
| Other votes | 67.2 | 6,725 | 32.6 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Hammond at the 2014 SA state election
My prediction: Given the state of the polls, Hammond is once again a key seat. Likely Liberal hold.