ALP 14.4%
Incumbent MP
Jay Weatherill, since 2002.
Geography
Northwestern Adelaide. Cheltenham covers the suburbs of Alberton, Albert Park, Athol Park, Cheltenham, Findon, Hendon, Pennington, Queenstown, Royal Park, Woodville, Woodville North, Woodville South, Woodville West and parts of Port Adelaide and Rosewater. Most of the electorate lies in the Charles Sturt council area, as well as a small part of the Port Adelaide Enfield area.
Redistribution
Cheltenham gained Beverley from Croydon, lost Athol Park to Croydon, lost part of Hendon to Lee and part of Queenstown to Port Adelaide.
History
Cheltenham has existed since the 2002 election. Cheltenham was a new name for Price, which had existed since 1985.
Murray De Laine won Price at the 1985 election. When the electorate was renamed Cheltenham, De Laine was challenged for Labor Party preselection by Jay Weatherill.
De Laine resigned from the ALP in 2001, and contested the seat as an independent, polling 9.7% and losing to Weatherill.
Weatherill was appointed to the ministry following the 2002 election, and served in the ministry through the 2006 and 2010 elections.
After the 2010 election, Weatherill challenged ALP deputy leader Kevin Foley unsuccessfully.
Weatherill replaced Mike Rann as Premier in 2011. He led Labor to a fourth term at the 2014 election.
Candidates
- Jay Weatherill (Labor)
- Steffi Medrow (Greens)
- Vincent Scali (Independent)
- Penny Pratt (Liberal)
- John Noonan (SA Best)
- Madeline McCaul (Dignity)
Assessment
Cheltenham is a safe Labor seat.
2014 election result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Jay Weatherill | Labor | 12,060 | 55.4 | -0.6 | 55.4 |
Jack Batty | Liberal | 6,414 | 29.5 | +5.1 | 29.4 |
Rebecca Galdies | Greens | 1,831 | 8.4 | +2.2 | 8.6 |
Alex Tennikoff | Family First | 1,470 | 6.8 | +1.3 | 6.6 |
Informal | 786 | 3.5 |
2014 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
Jay Weatherill | Labor | 13,993 | 64.3 | -1.8 | 64.4 |
Jack Batty | Liberal | 7,782 | 35.7 | +1.8 | 35.6 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Cheltenham have been divided into three parts: central, north and south.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 61.1% in the centre to 67.4% in the north.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
North | 67.4 | 7,230 | 35.3 |
Central | 61.1 | 5,355 | 26.2 |
South | 63.9 | 3,256 | 15.9 |
Other votes | 63.9 | 4,612 | 22.5 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Cheltenham at the 2014 SA state election
My prediction: Premier Weatherill will hold this easily.