Taylor – SA 2014

ALP 12.6%

Incumbent MP
Leesa Vlahos, since 2010.

Geography
Northern fringe of Adelaide. The electorate includes parts of the Salisbury area, and rural areas north of Salisbury. Most of the population lies in Salisbury council area, along with sparsely-populated parts of Mallala and Playford council areas.

Map of Taylor's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Taylor’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Taylor lost Elizabeth South to Little Para and lost rural northern parts of the electorate to Goyder, while gaining areas along the coast from Port Adelaide and Edinburgh North from Napier. This increased the ALP’s margin from 11.2% to 12.6%.

History
The electorate of Taylor has existed since the 1993 election. Taylor has always been held by the ALP.

Taylor was first won in 1993 by the outgoing Premier, Lynn Arnold. Arnold had held the seat of Ramsay since 1985, and before that held Salisbury from 1979 to 1985.

Arnold had served as a minister from 1982 until his election as Premier in 1992. His predecessor, John Bannon, resigned after the collapse of the State Bank of South Australia.

Arnold lost the 1993 election in a landslide, and in 1994 resigned from Parliament.

The 1994 by-election was won by Trish White, running for the ALP. White was promoted to the Labor frontbench in 1995, and became a minister when the Rann Labor government was former after the 2002 election. She served as a minister until 2005, and was re-elected in Taylor in 2006.

White retired in 2010, and the ALP’s Leesa Vlahos won Taylor.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Leesa Vlahos is running for re-election. The Liberal Party is running Alex Hyde. The Greens are running Kirsten Wahlstrom. Family First are running Lenny Jessiman.

Assessment
Taylor is a very safe Labor seat.

2010 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Leesa Vlahos ALP 11,755 53.5 -13.4
Cassandra Ludwi LIB 6,580 29.9 +11.5
Paul Coombe FF 2,324 10.6 +2.2
Kirsten Wahlstrom GRN 1,326 6.0 +2.1

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Leesa Vlahos ALP 13,429 61.1 -15.4
Cassandra Ludwig LIB 8,556 38.9 +15.4
Polling places in Taylor at the 2010 state election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Taylor at the 2010 state election. Central in green, North in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas: central, north and south. Central and South cover the densely populated part of the electorate, with North covering the rest of the area.

The ALP won a majority in all three areas, ranging from 60.1% in the north to 66.6% in central.

Family First came third, ranging from 9.6% in central to 11.9% in the south.

Voter group FF % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of ordinary votes
Central 9.64 66.57 5,268 39.90
South 11.94 65.87 4,480 33.93
North 10.27 60.12 3,455 26.17
Other votes 11.04 57.69 3,895
Two-party-preferred votes in Taylor at the 2010 state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Taylor at the 2010 state election.
Family First primary votes in Taylor at the 2010 state election.
Family First primary votes in Taylor at the 2010 state election.

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