Newland – SA 2014

ALP 2.6%

Incumbent MP
Tom Kenyon, since 2006.

Geography
North-eastern Adelaide. Newland covers the suburbs of Banksia Park, Fairview Park, Redwood Park, Ridgehaven, St Agnes and Tea Tree Gully, and parts of Highbury, Hope Valley, Houghton and Vista. The seat also stretches east towards the Adelaide Hills.

Map of Newland's 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Newland’s 2010 and 2014 boundaries. 2010 boundaries marked as red lines, 2014 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Newland shifted north, losing parts of Highbury and Vista and gaining Fairview Park. The ALP’s margin increased from 2.2% to 2.6%.

History
Newland has existed as an electorate since since the 1977 election, and has alternated between Labor and Liberal members.

John Klunder won the seat for the ALP in 1977. He lost to the Liberal Party’s Brian Billard in 1979, and won the seat back in 1982. In 1985, he shifted to the seat of Todd, which he held until 1993.

Dianne Gayler won Newland for the ALP in 1985, and held it for one term until 1989, when she lost to the Liberal Party’s Dorothy Kotz.

Kotz was the first Member for Newland to serve consecutive terms in the seat, and ended up serving four terms. Kotz served as a minister in the Liberal governments of the 1990s, and retired in 2006.

In 2006, a 12.5% swing to the ALP saw Tom Kenyon gain the seat. He was re-elected in 2010 despite a 4.6% swing back to the Liberal Party.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Tom Kenyon is running for re-election. The Liberal Party is running Glenn Docherty. The Greens are running Mark Nolan. Family First are running Kate Horan.

Assessment
Newland is a very marginal Labor seat and could be very vulnerable in 2014.

2010 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tom Kenyon ALP 8,886 42.8 -3.4
Trish Draper LIB 7,980 38.4 +4.3
Holden Ward GRN 1,585 7.6 +2.2
Dale Clegg FF 1,308 6.3 -0.7
Suren Krishnan RAH 463 2.2 +2.2
Ryan Haby IND 377 1.8 +1.8
Jim Zavros FLT 183 0.9 +0.9

2010 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Tom Kenyon ALP 10,841 52.2 -4.6
Trish Draper LIB 9,941 47.8 +4.6
Polling places in Newland at the 2010 state election. Central in blue, North in green, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Newland at the 2010 state election. Central in blue, North in green, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths have been divided into three areas: central, north and south.

The ALP won a majority in all three areas, ranging from 51.4% in the north to 53.9% in the south.

The Greens came third in all three areas, ranging from 8.6% in the north to 7% in the south. Family First came fourth, just behind the Greens, in all three areas.

Voter group FF % GRN % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of ordinary votes
Central 6.87 7.84 52.89 5,767 34.87
North 7.36 8.63 51.41 5,460 33.01
South 6.31 7.04 53.92 5,313 32.12
Other votes 6.53 8.49 51.80 4,241
Two-party-preferred votes in Newland at the 2010 state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Newland at the 2010 state election.

9 COMMENTS

  1. My electorate. Should be very interesting or maybe not! The Liberal candidate sent out several pamphlets late last year. Played the religious card straight way and introduced himself as a Christian family man! That lost him all of our household’s votes immediately. The sitting Labor Member is from the Catholic right (or not so right! as I call them)and has been bombarding the electorate with endless letters, his photo being viewed on a regular basis on the plastic cover of the local Murdoch suburban free rag! Poor Tom’s wiki page is very sad, the highlight being his opposition to same-sex couples having any form of relationship recognition. Though Tom was very brave and finally voted for the Domestic Partnership Bill which by following through, cost my same-sex partner and I of 28 years over $4000.00, to have set up via the legal establishment! Not forgetting the $10.00 fee from Revenue SA. You don’t want them gay couples to get too much recognition from the Government especially if you need a bit of a leg’s up from Family First-Last in the Upper House. So what a choice between the oldies! A fundie versus Rome! haven’t seen any of the other candidates at this stage. I suppose there will be the endless range of right-wing and even more far right-wing candidates, filtering their preferences to those conservatives, sorry Liberals. If only one could just vote a ‘1’ and give the nice Green the vote. Thank goodness for Mark Parnell standing in the Upper House. A very hard-working and caring MLC. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_Kenyon

  8. To all of those so-called ‘experts’, Newland is confirmed LABOR! Our household of 3 is SO pleased that our Green preferences will assist Newland to be on the Labor side of Parliament! All progressives MOVE into marginal seats where your votes have an effect! Shame on the Liberals for putting up so many fundamentalist ‘looney tunes’ as candidates! ALL REJECTED by the people of South Australia!

  9. All progressives could MOVE to conservative seats !!!!
    The conservative seats of Heysen, Kavel and Finniss received positive swings (and the 3 highest votes) for the Greens.

Comments are closed.