Cook – Queensland 2024

ALP 6.3%

Incumbent MP
Cynthia Lui, since 2017.

Geography
Far North Queensland. Cook covers all of Cape York and extends to the northern fringe of Cairns. It includes the towns of Port Douglas, Mossman and Cooktown, as well as all of Cape York and the Torres Strait Islands.

History
A seat by the name of Cook has existed since 1876, except for one term in the 1950s. The seat was held by the ALP for most of the twentieth century.

The seat was first won by the ALP in 1915, when Henry Ryan won the seat. The Country Party’s James Kenny won the seat in 1929 and held it until 1935. The ALP’s Harold Collins won the seat in 1935. He held it until Cook was abolished at the 1950 election. He moved to the seat of Tablelands, which he held until 1957.

Cook was restored at the 1953 election, when it was won by the ALP’s Bunny Adair. He left the ALP to join the anti-communist Queensland Labor Partyin 1957. He then became an independent in 1963, and held the seat until 1969.

The ALP’s Bill Wood held the seat from 1969 to 1972, followed by Edwin Wallis-Smith, also from the ALP, from 1972 to 1974.

The Country Party’s Eric Deeral won the seat in 1974 and lost it in 1977.

Bob Scott won the seat back for the ALP in 1977 and held it until 1989. Steve Bredhauer held the seat from 1989 to 2004, serving as Minister for Transport from 1998 to 2004. Bredhauer was succeeded in 2004 by his electorate officer Jason O’Brien.

Jason O’Brien was re-elected in 2006 and 2009. In 2012, O’Brien was defeated by LNP candidate David Kempton.

Kempton lost in 2015 to Labor candidate Billy Gordon. After he was elected, accusations surfaced against Gordon about previous criminal offences committed in the 1980s, as well as accusations of domestic violence. These offences had not been disclosed to his party, and Gordon was expelled from the Labor caucus over the issue. Gordon sat on the crossbench as an independent for the remainder of his term.

Gordon retired in 2017, and Labor’s Cynthia Lui won the seat. Lui was re-elected in 2020.

Candidates

Assessment
Cook is a reasonably safe Labor seat.

2020 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Cynthia Lui Labor 10,363 40.0 -0.1
Ed (Nipper) Brown Liberal National 6,241 24.1 +6.4
Tanika Parker Katter’s Australian Party 4,458 17.2 +0.2
Brett (Beaver) Neal One Nation 1,717 6.6 -11.8
Deby Ruddell Greens 1,306 5.0 -1.7
Yodie Batzke Independent 1,000 3.9 +3.9
Desmond Tayley North Queensland First 624 2.4 +2.4
Stephen Goulmy United Australia 184 0.7 +0.7
Informal 1,167 4.3

2020 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Cynthia Lui Labor 14,567 56.3
Ed (Nipper) Brown Liberal National 11,326 43.7

Booth breakdown

Booths in Cook have been divided into three areas. Polling places in Port Douglas have been grouped together, and the remaining booths have been split into north and south.

Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two out of three areas, with 55.3% in the Port Douglas area and 74.7% in the north of the seat. The LNP polled 61.5% in the south.

Voter group KAP prim % ALP 2PP % Total votes % of votes
North 12.4 74.7 3,787 14.6
Port Douglas 13.4 55.3 2,240 8.7
South 26.5 38.5 1,790 6.9
Pre-poll 20.2 48.9 13,336 51.5
Other votes 11.0 69.4 4,740 18.3

Election results in Cook at the 2020 Queensland state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and Katter’s Australian Party.

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115 COMMENTS

  1. ABC elections page has it 56-44 LNP currently.

    That’s a comfortable win – Labor can’t turn a margin that big around

  2. Nobody is suggesting Labor will win, Mark. If KAP overtakes them into second place it could be quite interesting.

  3. Am I missing something?

    The KAP ALP gap is nearly 13%, and ON and Green combined barely hits 13%.

    So KAP would need literally every vote from both minor parties to preference them to overtake Labor. That’s obviously not going to happen.

  4. Even if the remaining votes to be counted are unfavourable for Labor, they’re likely to be unfavourable to KAP as well given what’s just happened in both Mirani and Mulgrave. In the former they’ve lost due to poor absent voting numbers and in the latter their ability to win from third has weakened significantly due to absents as well.

    It’s definitely an LNP win in Cook, all that matters now is the margin of victory.

  5. Mea culpa, I was thinking of earlier figures in the count. John, Mark and Laine are all absolutely correct that the KAP can’t make second place.

  6. You’d have to think Kempton would be a possibility for a ministerial role, given it ticks the NQ representation box, his previous parliamentary experience and the lack of such experience his other colleagues from this region have. One of the new Townsville-area MPs will probably get a gig too.

  7. Mr Kempton is 68 years old in current Australia it is difficult to.stay much past 70 in parliament anywhere.

  8. @Mick Quinlivan it’s just Leichhardt minus the Cairns metropolitan area. Not sure, but based on what I know last time it would’ve voted LNP and Warren Entsch had a swing to him up in Cape York.

  9. @Mick Quinlivan now that I think about it I actually did calculate the federal results here. It was 50.9% LNP vs Labor/KAP (Biboohra and Mareeba are in Kennedy). While 51% isn’t a lot it’s still something the LNP can work with.

  10. The final results are available here: https://results.elections.qld.gov.au/SGE2024/cook/preference
    Interestingly, at least to me, the LNP trailed in every round until the last.
    Someone smarter than me can probably find a handful of other such seats elsewhere in the state.

    Primary Votes:
    ALP – 33.34%
    LNP – 33.28%
    KAP – 18.91%
    (Green eliminated, preferences went mainly to ALP)

    Second Round:
    ALP – 37.32%
    LNP – 34.14%
    KAP – 20.52%
    (One Nation eliminated, preferences went mainly to KAP, but not enough to bridge the gap)

    Third Round:
    ALP – 38.67%
    LNP – 36.23%
    KAP – 25.10%
    (KAP eliminated, preferences went overwhelmingly to LNP by a factor of approximately 3 to 1)

    Final Round:
    LNP – 54.98%
    ALP – 45.02%

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