ALP 10.7% vs ON
Incumbent MP
Shannon Fentiman, since 2015.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Waterford covers suburbs in the City of Logan on the southern fringe of the Brisbane region, specifically Loganlea, Waterford, Meadowbrook, Bethania, Edens Landing, Tanah Merah, Loganholme and parts of Kingston, Slacks Creek and Beenleigh.
History
The seat of Waterford has existed since 1992, and has been won by Labor at all but one election.
Tom Barton won Waterford for the ALP at the 1992 election. He was appointed as a minister in 1995, serving until the fall of the Goss government in 1996. He again served as a minister from 1998 until his retirement in 2006.
Evan Moorhead was elected in Waterford in 2006, and was re-elected in 2009.
In 2012, Moorhead was defeated by LNP candidate Mike Latter. Latter lost to Labor’s Shannon Fentiman in 2015.
Candidates
- Andrew Caswell (Liberal National)
- Lachlan Smart (Greens)
- Shannon Fentiman (Labor)
- Kim Miller (One Nation)
- Ben Olsen (Civil Liberties & Motorists)
- Lanai Carter (Independent)
Assessment
Waterford is a safe Labor seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Shannon Fentiman | Labor | 12,501 | 47.7 | -4.5 |
| Kim Miller | One Nation | 5,423 | 20.7 | +20.7 |
| Felicity Westguard | Liberal National | 5,248 | 20.0 | -11.6 |
| Kirsty Petersen | Greens | 1,918 | 7.3 | -0.8 |
| Lee Mckenzie Mckinnon | Independent | 1,113 | 4.2 | +4.2 |
| Informal | 1,681 | 6.0 |
2017 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Shannon Fentiman | Labor | 15,918 | 60.7 | -2.4 |
| Kim Miller | One Nation | 10,285 | 39.3 | +39.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Waterford have been divided into three areas: east, north and south-west.
Labor won a majority of the two-candidate-preferred vote against One Nation in all three areas, ranging from 60.3% in the east to 65.8% in the north.
The LNP came third, with a primary vote ranging from 16.3% in the south-west to 20.4% in the north.
| Voter group | LNP prim | ALP 2CP | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-West | 16.3 | 62.4 | 5,622 | 21.5 |
| East | 19.8 | 60.3 | 5,462 | 20.8 |
| North | 20.4 | 65.8 | 4,455 | 17.0 |
| Pre-poll | 22.5 | 54.7 | 5,280 | 20.2 |
| Other votes | 21.5 | 61.2 | 5,384 | 20.5 |
Election results in Waterford at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-candidate-preferred votes (Labor vs One Nation) and LNP primary votes.
Will be interesting to see if the ONP vote holds up in this seat like Jordan and Logan or if it goes back to a 2PP contest with LNP. That’s all the excitement here as it’s safe ALP country here.
Prediction (August 2020): ALP Retain
Tanah Merah and the rest of Loganholme should be in Macalister, its the missing piece that unites its two halves.
Prediction: ALP Retain
ALP retain
ALP