LNP 10.4%
Incumbent MP
Ros Bates, since 2009.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Mudgeeraba covers the Gold Coast suburbs of Merrimac, Worongary, Mudgeeraba, Reedy Creek, the Robina Town Centre, and parts of Carrara. Mudgeeraba covers southern parts of the Gold Coast hinterland.
Redistribution
Minor changes were made to Mudgeeraba’s northern border with Gaven. These changes cut the LNP margin from 11% to 10.4%.
History
The seat of Mudgeeraba was first created at the 2001 election. The seat was held by the ALP from 2001 to 2009, and has been held by the Liberal National Party since 2009.
Dianne Reilly won the seat for the ALP in 2001. She was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, but lost to the LNP’s Ros Bates in 2009.
Bates was re-elected in 2012 and 2015, and served as a minister from 2012 to 2013.
Candidates
- Paul Taylor (Labor)
- Jill Pead (Independent)
- Andrew Liddell (One Nation)
- Bill Sherwood (Independent)
- Rod Duncan (Greens)
- Ros Bates (Liberal National)
Assessment
Mudgeeraba is a safe LNP seat.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ros Bates | Liberal National | 14,846 | 50.6 | -11.1 | 50.4 |
| Georgi Leader | Labor | 8,117 | 27.7 | +9.9 | 28.0 |
| Roger Brisbane | Greens | 2,279 | 7.8 | +0.1 | 7.7 |
| Benedict Figueroa | Palmer United Party | 2,244 | 7.6 | +7.7 | 7.5 |
| Chris Petersen | Family First | 1,339 | 4.6 | -0.7 | 4.5 |
| Bill Sherwood | Independent | 525 | 1.8 | +1.8 | 1.8 |
| Informal | 819 | 2.7 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ros Bates | Liberal National | 16,151 | 61.0 | -15.0 | 60.4 |
| Georgi Leader | Labor | 10,337 | 39.0 | +15.0 | 39.6 |
| Exhausted | 2,862 | 9.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Mudgeeraba have been divided into three areas: north-east, south-east and west.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 55.2% in the west to 60.3% in the north-east.
| Voter group | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South-East | 59.8 | 10,706 | 39.2 |
| North-East | 60.3 | 4,771 | 17.5 |
| West | 55.2 | 1,662 | 6.1 |
| Other votes | 62.7 | 10,156 | 37.2 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Mudgeeraba at the 2015 QLD state election
LNP retain.