ALP 1.0%
Incumbent MP
Tarnya Smith (LNP), since 2012.
Geography
Brisbane. Mount Ommaney covers the southwestern Brisbane suburbs of Corinda, Darra, Oxley, Jindalee, Sinnamon Park, Mount Ommaney, Jamboree Heights, Middle Park, Westlake and Riverhills.
Redistribution
Mount Ommaney retained all of its existing territory, gaining a small area near Sherwood from Indooroopilly and an area on its southern border from Inala. These changes reversed the seat’s margin from 0.2% for the LNP to 1% for the ALP.
History
The seat of Mount Ommaney has existed since the 1992 election, and it has generally gone with the party of government.
The ALP’s Peter Pyke won the seat in 1992. He lost in 1995 to the Liberal Party’s Bob Harper.
Harper lost in 1998 to Labor candidate Julie Attwood. She was re-elected in 2001, 2004, 2006 and 2009.
Attwood retired in 2012, and her seat was won by LNP candidate Tarnya Smith with a 21.3% swing.
Smith was re-elected in 2015 by a very slim margin.
Candidates
- Jenny Mulkearns (Greens)
- Tarnya Smith (Liberal National)
- Ian Eugarde (One Nation)
- Jess Pugh (Labor)
Assessment
Mount Ommaney is a very marginal seat – Labor will be hoping to gain the seat, but the LNP have the advantage of incumbency, despite losing their slim majority.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Tarnya Smith | Liberal National | 13,264 | 46.2 | -11.1 | 45.0 |
| Jessica Pugh | Labor | 11,152 | 38.9 | +13.2 | 40.3 |
| Jenny Mulkearns | Greens | 3,161 | 11.0 | +1.2 | 11.1 |
| Kathleen Hewlett | Palmer United Party | 1,102 | 3.8 | +3.8 | 3.5 |
| Others | 0.1 | ||||
| Informal | 537 | 1.8 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Tarnya Smith | Liberal National | 13,902 | 50.2 | -16.3 | 49.0 |
| Jessica Pugh | Labor | 13,776 | 49.8 | +16.3 | 51.0 |
| Exhausted | 1,001 | 3.5 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Mount Ommaney have been divided into three areas: Corinda in the north-east, Oxley in the south-east and Jindalee in the west.
The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two out of three areas, winning almost 60% in Oxley and 54% in Corinda. The LNP polled a 52% majority in Jindalee, which makes up a majority of the ordinary votes.
The Greens vote ranged from 10.6% in Jindalee to 14.1% in Corinda.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Jindalee | 10.6 | 48.1 | 11,138 | 35.8 |
| Oxley | 11.5 | 59.6 | 7,073 | 22.7 |
| Corinda | 14.1 | 54.3 | 2,932 | 9.4 |
| Other votes | 10.4 | 47.6 | 10,006 | 32.1 |
Election results in Mount Ommaney at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Greens primary votes.
Labor are really gunning both for Mount Ommaney and Mansfield. LNP will be throwing in big resources trying to save them. This seat may be vulnerable for the LNP particularly if moderate Brisbane voters are turned off by preference deals with One Nation (even in the regions) or the potential to form government with them.
This seat will be one to watch out for on election night.
I think Mansfield is a concern but the LNP will be right in Mt Ommaney. It’s western suburbs and I think there are more people LNP inclined.
I agree with Political night watchman. I drive through the eastern side of the electorate on weekends and have only seen Labor information stalls.
This is certainly a seat to watch on November 25. For Labor to retain government they must win this seat and Mansfield.
LNP retain
For some reason I can’t comment in Mansfield so I will comment on both it and this seat here.
Both seats are marginal Labor, but with sitting LNP members. Both have One Nation candidate and without them I would say both LNP gains.
I think both seats are line ball and hard to call so I am going to split them one each. Mansfield to LNP and Mt Ommaney to Labor. How did I pick that? Well the Greens vote is higher in Mt Ommaney and I also suspect the ONP will be higher there thus cutting more off Tarnya’s primary than off Ian’s in Mansfield.
Sorry, Mansfield comments were locked but are now open.
Broadwater comments alos appear to be locked.
Labor retain.
Thanks. I might go check if any other seats have zero comments.
Mudgeeraba and Surfers Paradise also had no comments but they were open – they’re just boring seats!