LNP 6.5%
Incumbent MP
Ted Sorensen, since 2009.
Geography
Central Queensland. Hervey Bay covers Fraser Island and areas on the eastern shore of Hervey Bay, including Point Vernon, Urraween, Pialba, Scarness, Torquay and Urangan.
Redistribution
Hervey Bay lost Dundowran Beach in its north-western corner to Maryborough.
History
The seat of Hervey Bay has existed since 1992. The seat was dominated by Labor until 2009 (barring One Nation’s win in 1998) but has been held by the LNP since then.
The seat was first won in 1992 by the ALP’s Bill Nunn. He had previously won the seat of Isis off the National Party in 1989.
Nunn was re-elected in 1992 and 1995 before losing in 1998 to One Nation’s David Dalgleish. Dalgleish left One Nation in 1999 to help form the City Country Alliance.
In 2001, Dalgleish was defeated by the ALP’s Andrew McNamara. McNamara was re-elected in 2004 and 2006, but was defeated in 2009 by former Hervey Bay mayor Ted Sorensen, running for the LNP. Sorensen was re-elected in 2012 and 2015.
Candidates
- Jenni Cameron (Greens)
- Adrian Tantari (Labor)
- Ted Sorensen (Liberal National)
- Damian Huxham (One Nation)
- Jannean Dean (Independent)
Assessment
Hervey Bay is a relatively safe LNP seat on paper, but is a strong area for One Nation.
2015 election result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ted Sorensen | Liberal National | 15,316 | 48.0 | -11.3 | 47.9 |
| Tony Gubbins | Labor | 10,088 | 31.6 | +10.4 | 31.6 |
| Lynette Pearsall | Palmer United Party | 3,469 | 10.9 | +10.9 | 10.8 |
| Jannean Dean | Independent | 1,216 | 3.8 | +3.8 | 3.8 |
| Kristen Lyons | Greens | 1,177 | 3.7 | +0.2 | 3.7 |
| Axel Beard | Family First | 669 | 2.1 | -1.7 | 2.1 |
| Informal | 768 | 2.3 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Ted Sorensen | Liberal National | 16,334 | 56.6 | -15.1 | 56.5 |
| Tony Gubbins | Labor | 12,517 | 43.4 | +15.1 | 43.5 |
| Exhausted | 3,084 | 9.7 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Hervey Bay have been divided into three areas: north-east, north-west and south.
The LNP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 54% in the north-east to 6o% in the south.
The Palmer United Party came third, with a vote ranging from 10.4% in the north-east to 12.3% in the south.
| Voter group | PUP prim % | LNP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North-West | 12.2 | 54.5 | 7,817 | 26.4 |
| North-East | 10.4 | 54.1 | 6,895 | 23.3 |
| South | 12.3 | 60.3 | 952 | 3.2 |
| Other votes | 10.2 | 58.6 | 13,976 | 47.2 |
Election results in Hervey Bay at the 2015 QLD state election
Click on the ‘visible layers’ box to toggle between two-party-preferred votes and Palmer United Party primary votes.
LNP retain but a solid One Nation vote.
ALP has put alot of effort in here. Also Huxham is one of Pauline’s favourites so has had multiple visits.
It was interesting Nicholls was there yesterday but didnt visit Maryborough. I can’t see a One Nation vote high enough to overcome Labor preferences. They can only win if LNP run third which I also can’t see happening. Just maybe One Nation preferencing Labor makes this a Labor gain….
But I just can’t quite see that happening. LNP retain hut marginal next election…
Sorenson is one of the most ordinary MPs in the House. Bruce Saunders has done more for Hervey Bay (parts of it in Maryborough seat) eg. Hospital upgrades, roads, schools than Sorenson has for his own electorate. He deserves to lose, but probably won’t.
I notice the local Channel 7 local news has been covering a lot of Nicolls at Hervey Bay and Bundaberg but not in Maryborough. He must be worried about Hervey Bay falling, is hopeful of winning Bundaberg and the LNP is running dead in Maryborough letting One Nation (sic) win with their preferences.