Bancroft – QLD 2017

BOth Chris WHiting and Kara THOmas ( ALP & LNP) have had teams out at intersection of Buckley and Uhlmann Road, BUrpengary East on last few weekends.

CHris WHiting has been a hard working MP and has been visible unlike his one term predecessor Reg GUlley who was the most invisible MP I have ever experienced. I did not set eyes on him from one election day till the next. Having had Vince Lester as my local member when I was living in CQ the reverse was the case with him the days on which the MP was not visible were the exception I found the lack of visibility of Reg Gulley (now LNP candidate for Murrumba) somewhat surprising. On the whole I have found my MLA’s up until Gulley had all been highly visible.

That’s strange, my relatives in the seat who are nom-partisan swing voters said the opposite about Reg Gulley. Hard working and nothing was too much trouble apparently.

LNP’s Kara THO\mas has placed large signs (Approx double normal Corflute size) on fence at intersection of Uhlman and BUckley.

NOt sure if fence is public land or not. bUT if it is then sign should not be more than 1.5 SQuare Metres .

SIgns not supposed to be displayed till 42 Days before election. An offence is committed if election is not held by 25 October 2017.

THe signs are clearly there to distract drivers and are therefore illegal.

However they are clearly indicative that LNP think election is imminent. I am still predicting in first 2 weeks of February. EIther 3 or 10 th February.

I’m predicting the election will be held on the same day as SA and TAS; 17 March 2018

John, big call there…. I think it will be before so nationally the LNP and ALP can see what happens in QLD and decide strategy etc from there. I know Anna will say it’s all her decision to which it may likely be but I am sure other people would influence her decision as well.

I drive from Bancroft to Toowoomba and back again up via Kilcoy back via Ipswich and after leaving Bancroft only sign that election was occurring was a single Bill BOard size sign for PHON candidate JIm Savage. CHances are that by election date Savage will have beeen savaged by PH.

LNP definitely are targeting the MOreton Bay REgional COUncil area seats.

Only evidence of election in TOowoomba was Country Cabinet meeting and Tim Nicholls visiting city No evidence of Party expenditure on campaigning in Toowoomba or Western BrIsbane seats.

Andrew Jackson, you do realize that Jim Savage is the one who got Pauline Hanson to come back to One Nation right?
He will likely become the leader of the party if Steve Dickson doesn’t get re-elected as Savage will win Lockyer.

YOung Nation is probably correct about JIm Savage and PH. However she does not like him. Probably thinks 4 COrners was something to do with him.

PHON has in fact been leaking like a sieve for 12 months.

I am surprised at how little of the leaks make their way into the press.

Can Young Nation produce a single quote that shows PH supporting Jim Savage in last 9 Months. My comments have been that she has bitten the hand s that fed her.

Andrew Jackson, How little has made it to the press???? The press report if Pauline or PHON dont charge their iPhone correctly or if there was a doubt on who paid for the adaptor to charge it with. There have been so many ill-made decisions from the two tired old parties in the last 10 years I have lost count. There have also been multiple suspicions, union dealings, self-interest first decision-making and we have had enough. I can say this because I am a voter – my whole life in fact and I did not think I would be here now defending our values and way of life. As you said I could have done research on you but you also could have on me. I defended our great country for 16 years and people have had enough of the old stereotype of a politician. They want people with a backbone who listen to them and make decisions based on them. And I can assure you my backbone is solid and my ears are open. This election will surprise you I think and that’s why the Premier has been playing the guessing game of when she is calling the election because she is nervous as well.

Shaun

IT is difficult to do research on someone who chooses to remain semi anonymous.

You have my full name . If the country needs people with a backbone it needs your full name.

I have no problems with your attack on major parties. THey are both as bad as each other but neither are as bad as the totalitarians on the right or the left.

I agree that PRemier is hedging her bets. BUt she has said all along that the Government will go full term. If she goes to GOvernor today she has been less than honest with electorate.

I doubt if any election result will surprise me but for what it is worth my prediction is a similar Parliament ion 2018 to the one ion 2017. UNfortunately the cross bench will be made up mainly of extremists rather than the current cross bench who could work with either Major Parties. Robbie Katter will still be there but Shane KNuth will lose in HIll and social-fascists or eco-fascists will make up rest of cross bench.

Give me your full name and I will do my research before further comment.

ON a more general matter Kara THomas LNP is porganiosing a Law and Order event in Deception Bay.

IN respect to Law and Order I have seen ALP’s CHris Whiting Once a month at most Burpengary East NEighbourhood watch meetings for about 8 YEars. I never saw Reg Gulley once from election day to election defeat.

BOundaries of Murrumba and Bancroft are/ were part of Burpengary East NEigbourhood district.
Andrew Jackson
apjackson@hotkey.net.au

Young Nation actually its was long time party stalwart Ian Nelson that brought Pauline back to the party. She soon stabbed him in the back along with a host of other loyal One nation stalwarts and embraced James Ashby. Jame’s record is questionable with his only claim to fame of selling his former bosses diary to Mal Brough. That is history and so are the three members James brought down including Mal, Peter and Wyatt Roy. Two potential leaders and another a former speaker.
The plane the backing etc etc and Jame’s Past will be a real vote loser for Pauline and her dancing in Federal parliament with Jame’s boyfriend didnt win her any votes in the regions either. 2016 was a good year for Pauline but her vote bucket is leaking and recent polling in Queensland look to Phon losing their only seat and with Jame’s fanciful statement of Morehead phoning him about preferences only enforces his lack of credibility. I have dealt many years with all parties in Queensland and that is certainly not the way the ALP operate up here. Seats like lockyer etc where Jim may have stood a chance will have the ALP preferencing the LNP before PHON ensuring a loss. James may have already delivered the killer blow for PHON’s candidates. I like Jim Savage though and wish him luck.

Kara Thomas had TIm Mander speaking at Deception Bay today.

Speech on Law and Order- Mild criticism of Magistrates and Judiciary ( but respectful criticism) Strong criticism of ALP government’s failures in Govt. All of which I agreed with. Gave plausible answer to why I should believe word of any LNP candidate says after Newman’s promises about Public Servants job security.

Maintains that he voted to repeal civil unions legislation. Does not seem to know difference between repeal and amend.

PCYC had 140 Chairs out filled by 21 individuals. All of them bar Mander Thomas and Caboolture NEWs appeared to be retired. Most of audience on side with him and my question only one that showed any deviance from LNP line.

Effectively audience was pro law and very pro order.

I suspect the audience was 95% LNP voters with one undecided LNP Preference.

Mander came over as likable bloke and Kara Thomas as an effective candidate. ONe member of audience made criticism of local member doing nothing- which I think is was unfair criticism.

Mander’s strong law and order line when in opposition was not evident when they were in government. HE cited Bikie laws of LNP action but failed to explain why mandatory sentencing or Birching was not re-introduced.

He probably would have persuaded me to preference him except for the fact that historically Liberals have been just as lily-livered as ALP when in government.

Received unrequested Postal Vote applications from both LNP and ALP in post today.COrresoppondence from both of them specific to Bancroft.

ECQ forms now being used by Libs rather than their own LNP branded forms. ECQ advised earlier in the year that they were tightening up this due to perceived rorting by an un-named political party.

Forms now returned to ECQ not Political parties.

IT would be better to ban all political party activity with respect to postal vote applications.

Clearly LNP have out campaigned ALP on Corflute placement. Signs on multiple fences. Too many fences to be actual LNP members so someone has approached householders. Have they paid householders?

No ALP, Green or PHON Corflutes seen and at this stage in Bancroft although in other electorates they are up.

Wow just saw the LNP candidate Thomas on Sky news. LNP obviously think this seat is in play, and the stuff I read here about all the LNP signs in the electorate they seems to be going very hard. Labor must be worried.

I find it amusing that the Greens are running a candidate. They never give up.
Strictly speaking this is a new electorate & Kara Thomas/LNP have been campaigning for a long time out there. Will be interesting to see what happens.

Kate I believe the Greens try to get their name on every ballot ever because they have a view that that helps the federal senate vote. I’d guess they would see less success if they abandoned non-city centre voters for 3 years only to come back when they want their senate vote.

Bennee I regard the Greens as a threat to mankind but respect their standing of candidate’s where they have no hope of winning. Senator Jack Kane wrote in his autobiography that the DLP standing in seats all over the country resulted in a few thousand votes here and a few hundred there enabled a Senate team to be victorious.. IN most other states the Upper House is elected on a similar basis to Senate so standing in lower house seats enables Upper House victories to exist. The other advantage for any party standing is to keep their members and supporters happy and well trained in campaigning. The Greens will be last on my ballot paper with Ashby Hanson 2nd last. Some of their candidates are delusional and think they are going to win but most are just well intentioned individuals who in fact are contributing to the likes of Lee Rhiannon and Pauline Hanson being elected in the Senate. IN 1951 49.44 of Australians voted to ban the Communists Party and in Queensland, WA & Tasmania a majority of the Electorate favored banning this totalitarian party. If majority would not ban Coms during Korean War we are going to be stuck with Greens contesting LA seats. Remember that Parliamentary democracy is the worst system of government in the world except all of the rest.. Joe is right the LIbs at least thank this seat is in play Kara Thomas Liberal candidate was on ABC news tonight with Tim Nicholls so presumably Nicholls was in the electorate today. Amazing how campaigning is so stage managed today that no one other than a few supporters know where the leaders will be ahead of time. Too risky that protesters will outnumber supporters.

Independent Barry Grant, LNP and ALP candidates all think that electors have a right to a e-mail address . Simone Dejun Green’s candidate and Ashby-Hanson Candidate Chris BOULIS have declined to release either phone number or e-mail address. NO doubt they want your vote but dealing with electors is tiresome bothersome and beneath their status. Not a good start for an potential MP.

Seems to be the part of a pattern PHON and Greens reluctant to identify themselves.

This is probably a statewide decision to prevent candidates answering surveys from lobby groups. Far too risky for Ashby _Hanson One Nation to have another candidate to did-endorse over traditional marriage.

Surveys from Australian Family Association, FAVA and ACL will have to go to Party HQ for a single answer with no seat by seat candidate input .

Lack of a mobile phone often indicates a lack of preparation because most candidates use a mobile phone for election and then bury the phone in bottom drawer after election. Exceptions to this of course are front benchers who do not want to be contactable.

I hope those candidates who want to be uncontactable will not complain when they are not invited to Candidates Forums.
Andrew Jackson
apjackson@hotkey.net.au

Andrew, I think you’re reading too much into what is more likely to be a decision in the way they have sent in their party nominations. Both the Greens and One Nation have given email addresses for all of their candidates on their websites (all pretty standard firstname.lastname at party dot com), and in this day and age I highly doubt anyone who wants to contact candidates will be relying solely on ECQ.

Faiilure to fill in AEC forms properly has resulted in S44 fiasco. IF a Canndidtate or a political party can not use the info on their own website to fill in an ECQ form are they diligent enough to be MP’s.

I do agree that it appears that One nation and THE Greens are the least likely to have filled in the e-mail and phone number on the ECQ forms.

Each of these candidates/ Parties have provided this info tom ECQ but have opted to have ECQ not release the info.

I have already used the info to contact Barry Grant the Independent and have received a prompt reply.

Let me assure you that some media outlets did rely solely on AEC released data to contact candidates in 2013 election. MTRaditional media ouitlets regard minor party candidates as adistrraction and will use any excuse to keep them out of race.

It shows up candidates who want to just stand and not be contacted by the local media.

PHON run a highly centralized party and campaign. The structure of the patty is like National Geographic or RACQ. Ordinary members are kept from having too much say in the running of the organization. I will say this that Greens candidate Simone Dejun has released her campaign e-mail to those who she thinks are supporters but She and Ashby-Hanson candidate would prefer that electors NOT bother them during this busy time.

Centralist parties are terrified that candidates will not answer with standard party line. I have played a part in responding to candidate surveys for both DLP and KAP. The fact that Simon Dejun did not respond to FAVA survey in 2015 may have been because the Survey distributors could not contact her. This will certainly be an excuse that PHON and Greens candidates will be able to use in 2017.

ANdrew Jackson
apjackson@hotkey.net.au

I have been around for a long time and would advise voters not to take much notice of all the comments above. In 1988 Queensland was the cheapest and best State to live in, in Australia. We probably had the best hospital system in the world. Everything got built when it needed to be built and the State had no debt. 25 years of Labour has totally taped our State and made it the worst State in Australia to live in. If you people think Labour is so great then first of all you need to read the book “Australia’s Secret War”. A vote for One Nation and some of the Independant’s is the only way we can force honesty back into our Parliment

Labor retain but one to watch on Election Night. I expect this to become a bellwether in elections where there is a state wide mood towards one party, which is not this one I don’t think.

Again, agree with Feel the Bern. Labor retain, but PHON preferences to the LNP candidate will reduce the margin to around 3% I predict.

LNP gain

Also agree on a good swing to the LNP here. I think Labor win but it will be a margin of only about 2%.

LNP will probably consider asking this candidate to run in Longman.