LNP 0.1%
Incumbent MP
Peter Dowling, since 2009.
Geography
Redlands is mostly in Redland LGA, along with part of Logan City. The seat covers Sheldon, Mount Cotton, Carbrook, Victoria Point and Redland Bay, as well as a number of Moreton Bay Islands.
History
Redlands has existed since the 1972 election. The seat has alternated between the ALP and the National Party, and is now held by the Liberal National Party.
The seat was won in 1972 by the ALP’s Edgar Baldwin. He lost in 1974 to the Country Party’s John Goleby. He held the seat until 1985, when he was succeeded by the National Party’s Paul Clauson.
Clauson lost in 1989 to the ALP’s Darryl Briskey. Briskey moved to the seat of Cleveland in 1992, holding it until his retirement in 2006.
Briskey was succeeded by Labor candidate John Budd. He held the seat for one term, losing in 1995 to National candidate John Hegarty.
Hegarty held the seat for two terms, and in the 2001 landslide election lost to the ALP’s John English.
English held the seat until 2009, when he lost to Liberal National candidate Peter Dowling.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Peter Dowling is running for re-election. The ALP is running Peter Seage. The Greens are running David Keogh.
- Peter Seage (Labor)
- Peter Dowling (Liberal National)
- David Keogh (Greens)
Political situation
While Redlands is a very marginal seat, the LNP shouldn’t have much trouble retaining it in the context of a large swing to the party.
2009 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Peter Dowling | LNP | 11,356 | 44.7 | +9.9 |
John English | ALP | 10,923 | 43.0 | -6.7 |
Colin Nightingale | GRN | 1,330 | 5.2 | -1.9 |
Mark Edwards | IND | 1,066 | 4.2 | +4.2 |
Cameron Crook | DSQ | 435 | 1.7 | +1.7 |
Heather Steinberg | IND | 283 | 1.1 | +1.1 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Peter Dowling | LNP | 11,984 | 50.1 | +6.8 |
John English | ALP | 11,950 | 49.9 | -6.8 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Redlands have been divided into three areas: north, east and west. The LNP won a majority of the vote in the west, with a margin over the ALP of 12.4%. The LNP barely outpolled the ALP in the north, by 0.3%, whereas the ALP outpolled the LNP by 1.2% in the east.
Voter group | LNP % | ALP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
North | 44.9 | 44.6 | 5.0 | 9,470 | 37.3 |
East | 41.3 | 42.5 | 4.3 | 6,622 | 26.1 |
West | 50.8 | 38.4 | 6.1 | 3,321 | 13.1 |
Other votes | 44.9 | 43.7 | 6.1 | 5,980 | 23.5 |
Labor’s candidate is Peter Seage – a transport worker’s union delegate who fought hard during the Qantas negotiations.
http://www.couriermail.com.au/questnews/central/battlelines-are-entrenched/story-fn8m0qb4-1226196556408
Ahh yes Peter Seage – who represents a party that will happily sell off our public assets, railways, electricity, forests and who knows what next… but who fights hard for baggage handlers??
Agreed Mark, I hope Redlands voters never go back to the dark old days of supporting Labor here, they have an effective voice in Peter Dowling. On March 24 say NO to Labor and Peter Seage.
My prediction: LNP retain
hi i have voted with my cocience for 41 yrs labour , now due to the political riefs im no longer happy with either party’s so i will no longer vote . all the people i come in contact feel the same way. as a govt you have let australia down.
LNP retain, probably with a sophomore surge.
“Peter Seage Yes without a doubt the wrong airline fell over”
This grub makes these types of statements? about his own workplace that supports his living?
Who would vote for this clown?
I know who i will be voting for!!