Mirani – Queensland 2012 | The Tally Room

LNP 0.6%

Incumbent MP
Ted Malone, since 1994.

Geography
North Queensland. Mirani covers regional parts of Queensland from the southern edge of Mackay to the outskirts of Rockhampton. The seat covers parts of Isaac, Mackay and Rockhampton local government areas, and the towns of Mount Morgan, Dysart and Middlemount.

History
The seat of Mirani has existed since 1912. Apart from the period 1935-1947, the seat has always been held by MPs who belonged to the Country Party, National Party and Liberal National Party.

Jim Randell held the seat for the National Party from 1980 until 1994. His resignation triggered the 1994 Mirani by-election.

Ted Malone won the 1994 by-election for the National Party. He joined the merged Liberal National Party in 2008, and now serves as a shadow minister.

Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Ted Malone is running for re-election. The ALP is running Jim Pearce, who previously held the seat of Fitzroy.

Christine Carlisle (Greens)
Ted Malone (Liberal National)
Bevan Pidgeon (Katter’s Australian Party)
Mike Crouther (Family First)
Jim Pearce (Labor)

Political situation
Mirani is a very marginal LNP seat, but should be easily retained by Malone in 2012.

2009 result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Swing
Ted Malone	LNP	13,618	48.0	+2.8
Scott Murphy	ALP	13,215	46.5	-1.5
Christine Carlisle	GRN	1,566	5.5	+5.5

2009 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Swing
Ted Malone	LNP	13,965	50.6	+1.8
Scott Murphy	ALP	13,640	49.4	-1.8

Booth breakdown
Booths in Mirani have been divided into four areas. Booths in Rockhampton LGA have been grouped as ‘South’, those in Isaac LGA have been grouped as ‘Central’. Booths in Mackay LGA have been divided into two groups, with those closest to Mackay grouped as ‘Mackay’ with the remainder grouped as ‘North’.

The LNP outpolled the ALP in the north and in the Mackay area. In the south the ALP outpolled the LNP by 5.2%, and in the centre the ALP outpolled the LNP by well over 20%, winning over 60% of the primary vote.

mirani3 — Polling booths in Mirani at the 2009 state election. South in blue, Central in red, North in yellow, Mackay in green.

Voter group	LNP %	ALP %	GRN %	Total votes	% of votes
North	50.7	44.2	5.1	9,282	32.7
South	44.4	49.6	6.0	4,461	15.7
Mackay	49.7	43.9	6.4	4,365	15.4
Central	35.5	60.1	4.5	2,687	9.5
Other votes	50.1	44.3	5.6	7,604	26.8

mirani1-lnp — Liberal National primary votes in Mirani at the 2009 state election.

mirani2-alp — Labor primary votes in Mirani at the 2009 state election.

mirani4-lnp-mackay — Liberal National primary votes in the Mackay part of Mirani at the 2009 state election.

mirani5-alp-mackay — Labor primary votes in the Mackay part of Mirani at the 2009 state election.

6 COMMENTS

Anton Kreitzer December 7, 2011 at 7:28 pm

Where’s the 54% GRN booth (calculated from the 24% LNP and 22% ALP figures) in the southof the seat? Is it some sort of commune?
Phil December 8, 2011 at 10:05 am

Labor’s candidate is Jim Pearce – former Member for the now abolished seat of Fitzroy. That should make the competition a little harder, as he was rather popular.

http://www.dailymercury.com.au/story/2011/09/16/pearce-goes-in-to-bat-for-labor-in-mirani/
Geoff Robinson December 9, 2011 at 10:20 am

If Pearce had contested this in 2009 he would have won as Mirani includes the central Qld coalfields that were in Fitzroy but no chance this time.
phil December 10, 2011 at 9:17 pm

I agree Geoff, the LNP are taking Mirani a bit too easy. Malone has a real fight on his hands.
Anton Kreitzer February 24, 2012 at 11:30 am

My prediction: LNP retain
MDMConnell March 19, 2012 at 7:56 pm

LNP retain, with Pearce keeping the swing down below the average.

Comments are closed.