Logan – Queensland 2012

ALP 13.9%

Incumbent MP
John Mickel, since 1998.

Geography
South-East Queensland. The seat of Logan covers a series of suburbs in Logan City, specifically Browns Plains, Regents Park, Heritage Park, Park Ridge, Munruben and Logan Village.

History
The seat of Logan was first created in 1873. It was abolished in 1950, restored in 1960, abolished again in 1972, and restored finally in 1986. It has been held by ALP members since 1969.

When Logan was restored in 1986, Wayne Goss won the seat for the ALP. He had won the seat of Salisbury in 1983.

Goss became Leader of the Opposition in 1988 and in 1989 led the ALP to victory, becoming Premier of Queensland.

He was re-elected in 1992 and won another term by a slim margin in 1995. The ALP won a one-seat majority at the 1995 election, and lost this majority when the result in Mundingburra was overturned and the Liberal Party won the ensuing by-election in 1996. This resulted in the Goss government losing power.

Goss resigned as ALP leader and returned to the backbench. He retired in 1998.

John Mickel won Logan in 1998. He was appointed to the ministry in 2004 and served as a minister until 2009. He has served as Speaker of the Legislative Assembly since 2009.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP John Mickel is not running for re-election. The ALP is running Linus Power. Katter’s Australian Party is running Tony Karamatic. Mike Kelly is running as an independent.

Political situation
Logan would normally be considered safe and it is likely the Labor candidate will win the seat, but in current circumstances it could be vulnerable.

2009 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
John Mickel ALP 14,184 56.7 -4.8
Tristan McLindon LNP 7,917 31.7 +8.1
James Brown GRN 2,124 8.5 -0.8
Jenny Gear DSQ 777 3.1 +3.1

2009 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
John Mickel ALP 14,982 63.9 -7.2
Tristan McLindon LNP 8,453 36.1 +7.2

Booth breakdown
Booths in Logan have been divided into two areas: a cluster of urban booths in the north and scattered rural booths in the south.

The ALP won a majority of the vote in both areas, winning 51% in the south to 60.7% in the north.

Polling booths in Logan at the 2009 state election. North in blue, South in orange.

 

Voter group ALP % LNP % GRN % Total votes % of votes
North 60.7 28.5 8.0 12,467 49.9
South 51.4 36.1 9.2 7,340 29.4
Other votes 54.8 33.1 8.5 5,195 20.8
Labor primary votes in Logan at the 2009 state election.
Liberal National primary votes in Logan at the 2009 state election.

8 COMMENTS

  1. Here you go: someone obviously still thinks Queensland cops can operate the way they did in the 80’s.

    http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/lnp-candidate-for-logan-peter-anderson-barr-quits-after-smear-campaign/story-fnbt5t29-1226255703063

    It won’t matter anyway: Logan had a 21% margin in 2006 (it already got its “Labor aren’t landslide-popular anymore” swing then), was held by a former premier and was a Labor seat all through the Bjelke-Petersen years. No way do the LNP have a chance.

  2. Troy Aggett Is the newest candidate running for Logan, As an ex Federal Police Officer i will stand for law and order, Health and education, I will fight for the forgotten ageing community,

    One Nation is committed to representing the people first and policy second.

    Its Time for Logan to take its voice to parliament and I Personally will take that message on your behalf.

Comments are closed.