ALP 4.6%
Incumbent MP
Mary-Anne O’Neill, since 2009.
Geography
South-East Queensland. Kallangur covers southern parts of Moreton Bay LGA. It covers the suburbs of Petrie, Kallangur, Murrumba Downs, Dakabin, Kurwongbah and parts of Narangba.
History
Kallangur was first created at the 1992 election. It was won in 1992 by Ken Hayward. He had previously held the seat of Caboolture since 1986. He was appointed as a minister in the Goss Labor government in 1991, and served as a minister until the government lost power in 1996.
Hayward retired in 2009, and was succeeded by former union organiser Mary-Anne O’Neill.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Mary-Anne O’Neill is running for re-election. The LNP is again running 2009 candidate Trevor Ruthenberg.
- Rachel Doherty (Greens)
- Mary-Anne O’Neill (Labor)
- Trevor Ruthenberg (Liberal National)
- Michael Bates (Katter’s Australian Party)
Political situation
Kallangur has always been held by the ALP but with a margin of 4.5% could certainly be under threat from the LNP in 2012.
2009 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Mary-Anne O’Neill | ALP | 11,871 | 47.0 | -6.7 |
Trevor Ruthenberg | LNP | 10,717 | 39.4 | +6.0 |
Craig Graham | GRN | 2,193 | 8.7 | -1.5 |
Alan Revie | FF | 801 | 3.2 | +3.2 |
Mark McDowell | DSQ | 434 | 1.7 | +1.7 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Mary-Anne O’Neill | ALP | 12,904 | 54.6 | -6.4 |
Trevor Ruthenberg | LNP | 10,717 | 45.4 | +6.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Kallangur have been divided into three areas. Kallangur in the centre, and the remainder of the booths grouped into north and south.
The ALP won a majority of primary votes in Kallangur. The ALP polled a lower vote in the south and north but still outpolled the LNP.
Voter group | ALP % | LNP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
South | 43.8 | 42.1 | 9.0 | 9,010 | 35.7 |
Kallangur | 53.3 | 34.3 | 8.3 | 6,979 | 27.6 |
North | 44.7 | 42.2 | 8.1 | 4,188 | 16.6 |
Other votes | 45.9 | 39.4 | 9.2 | 5,077 | 20.1 |
Ian Moses is running as an Independent in Kallangur http://www.ianmoses.com.au/
My prediction: LNP gain
LNP to gain.