LNP 14.3%
Incumbent MP
Vaughan Johnson, since 1989.
Geography
Western Queensland. Gregory covers a large amount of the Queensland outback, covering a small part of the Queensland-South Australia border. Gregory covers the local government areas of Barcaldine, Barcoo, Blackall-Tambo, Central Highlands, Longreach, Quilpie and Woorabinda, and parts of Isaac. The seat covers the towns of Blackwater, Emerald, Barcaldine, Longreach, Clermont, Aramac, Rolleston, Blackall and Quilpie.
History
The seat of Gregory has existed continuously since 1878. The seat has been held by the Country/National/Liberal National party since 1957.
Wally Rae held the seat for the Country Party from 1957 to 1974. Bill Glasson of the National Party then held the seat from 1974 to 1989.
Vaughan Johnson won the seat for the National Party in 1989. He has held the seat ever since.
Candidates
Sitting Liberal National MP Vaughan Johnson is running for re-election. Katter’s Australian Party is running Pauline Williams.
- Bruce Currie (Independent)
- Vaughan Johnson (Liberal National)
- Norman Weston (Greens)
- Jack O’Brien (Labor)
- Pauline Williams (Katter’s Australian Party)
Political situation
Gregory is a safe LNP seat.
2009 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Vaughan Johnson | LNP | 14,054 | 61.8 | +5.5 |
Fabian Webber | ALP | 7,619 | 33.5 | -1.2 |
Carla Dalton | GRN | 1,063 | 4.7 | +4.7 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Vaughan Johnson | LNP | 14,260 | 64.3 | +2.3 |
Fabian Webber | ALP | 7,932 | 35.7 | -2.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Gregory have been divided into three areas. Booths in Barcaldine, Barcoo, Blackall-Tambo, Longreach and Quilpie LGAs have been grouped together as ‘West’. The remaining booths have been divided into ‘central’ and ‘east’.
The LNP vote peaked at 69% in the west of the electorate, where the LNP outpolled the ALP by 41.6%. In the centre, the LNP outpolled the ALP by 23.6%, with 59% of the primary vote. In the east, the ALP polled 50%, compared to 45.2% for the LNP.
Voter group | LNP % | ALP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
Central | 59.1 | 35.5 | 5.4 | 8,741 | 38.4 |
West | 69.3 | 27.7 | 3.0 | 4,327 | 19.0 |
East | 45.2 | 50.0 | 4.8 | 2,534 | 11.1 |
Other votes | 66.5 | 28.8 | 4.7 | 7,134 | 31.4 |
My prediction: LNP retain
LNP retain. Another seat where KAP might finish second.
Vaughan Johnson will win this seat with a considerable margin. Should receive a Portfolio in the new Government with his experience and knowledge.