ALP 7.8%
Incumbent MP
Di Farmer, since 2009.
Geography
Eastern Brisbane. Bulimba covers Brisbane suburbs on the southern side of the Brisbane river, including Bulimba, Hawthorne, Balmoral, Morningside, Cannon Hill, Murarrie and parts of Carina and Camp Hill.
History
The seat of Bulimba has existed continuously since 1873. The seat has been held by Labor MPs continuously since the 1930s.
Pat Purcell won the seat at the 1992 election. He was appointed as Minister for Public Works, Housing and Racing in 2005. He resigned from the ministry in 2007. He retired at the 2009 election.
Former public servant Di Farmer was elected as Labor Member for Bulimba at the 2009 state election.
Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Di Farmer is running for re-election. The LNP is running Aaron Dillaway.
- Di Farmer (Labor)
- Aaron Dillaway (Liberal National)
- Justin Bennett (Greens)
Political situation
With a long history of Labor victories in Bulimba and a margin of 7.8%, this seat would normally be considered relatively safe, but in the current environment it is vulnerable to the LNP.
2009 result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Di Farmer | ALP | 13,131 | 47.7 | -9.6 |
Paul Walker | LNP | 10,197 | 37.1 | +7.3 |
Angela Dean | GRN | 3,202 | 11.6 | +0.2 |
Angela Wright | DSQ | 976 | 3.5 | +3.5 |
2009 two-candidate-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Di Farmer | ALP | 14,968 | 57.8 | -8.3 |
Paul Walker | LNP | 10,940 | 42.2 | +8.3 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Bulimba have been divided into three areas: Morningside in the north-west, Norman Park in the south-west, and the booths in the east of the seat.
The ALP won more votes than the LNP in all three areas, with the margin varying from 4.4% to 19.9%.
Voter group | ALP % | LNP % | GRN % | Total votes | % of votes |
Morningside | 44.0 | 39.6 | 12.1 | 9,304 | 33.8 |
Norman Park | 48.0 | 36.9 | 11.8 | 8,000 | 29.1 |
East | 54.3 | 34.4 | 8.6 | 3,432 | 12.5 |
Other votes | 49.2 | 35.2 | 12.4 | 6,770 | 24.6 |
Is gentrification the politcal story here?
Di Farmer is endorsed as the Labor candidate again, regularly campaigning. Labor is worried about this one and heavily resourcing.
Aaron Dillaway was initially the candidate for Ashgrove before Campbell Newman announced his intentions. He was then parachuted into Bulimba. Dillaway lives in Kedron which isn’t close to Ashgrove or Bulimba. Political careerist with no local connection.
Considering this is Dillaway’s first run, I doubt you can call him a political careerist James.
Gentrification is the story of this seat…
I agree Zach, also have a look at how many MP’s (on both sides of politics) don’t actually live within the electorates they represent. The Member for Kallangur proudly lives outside the electorate, yet she’s had 3 years to move into the seat if she wanted to. So it’s clearly rife on both sides, the days are gone of only standing in a seat you live in or are close to.
Hold up, didn’t Di Farmer seek preselection for Woodridge in 2000 whilst still living in Hawthorne but lost miserably to the corrupt Mike Kaiser. She’s nothing but a hack, a bad one at that…..
It was alleged Pat Purcell assaulted those public servants. Those allegations were later withdrawn after he annouced he would step down, which demonstrates the political nature of the allegations. I suggest you amend the history before defamation proceedings are commenced.
Problem is Tony, mud sticks when thrown in enough volume.
Do we only have 2 candidates? I strongly disagree with labour’s expansion of CSG mining in Queensland, especially in our Scenic Rim, I am not confident the liberals will keep election promises to stop mining going ahead there! Very, very disappointed this is a 2 man race in our electorate!
My prediction: Toss-up, the way things are looking, Bulimba may have its first non-Labor MP since 1932.
James, Aaron does not live in Kedron. He does however live in the seat of Stafford. He was raised on this side of town. Di is a good local member, but inaffective as she has no pull. I will vote on party lines this time as we need a change.
Justin Bennett is running here for the Greens.
Kevin Rudd is apparently going to get wheeled out here, so it looks like a seat Labor’s definitely worried about.
Wheeled out? Kevin Rudd lives in the electorate of Bulimba, and is the federal member for the seat. Given he lives here, and works here, yes he is likely to be around his local campaign…
Another seat where the leakage of Labor votes to the Greens might prove the difference.
LNP gain tipped without much confidence.
cut out preference voting. It is crap. Most people voted for aaron dillaway but di farmer won because of preference votes. PREFERENCE VOTES. We are now second class, down there with the other crap suburbs like inala and woodridge that had a labor victory.
77 seats out of 89, and still you want another one. Some people are never satisfied.
It is called ‘fascism’, Bird of paradox, and Queensland now has it! Sarah will be parading around in her jackboots this morning!
Have Labor definitely won this?
LNP have a 3.5% gap on first preferences, which I’d have thought would be hard to close without a strong Green flow to Labor. Did the Greens direct to Labor in this seat??
According to the latest figures from the ABC’s website, the LNP has a 48-vote lead here with 90.6% of votes counted.
According to the ABC news this evening (6pm), the LNP have won the seat by 85 votes. Di Farmer is reported to have stated that she will seek a recount. Considering the fact that party officials were presenet at the count and pre sumably endorsed the count, a recount appears pointless,
In 2009 the LNP won a seat on recount with about 30mins to go before the cut off. They found a stray pile despite all that scrutiny that was enough for the win.
ALP have officially conceded this seat now.