ALP 8.8%
Incumbent MP
Prue Car, since 2015.
Geography
North-Western Sydney. Londonderry covers parts of the City of Penrith and the City of Blacktown. The seat covers Londonderry, Castlereagh, Werrington, St Marys, Claremont Meadows, Colyton, Whalan, Willmot, Tregear and Shanes Park.
History
The electoral district of Londonderry was first created for the 1988 election. It has been won by the ALP at all but one election. Prior to 1988, the area covered by the seat of Londonderry was divided between seats centred on Penrith and the Hawkesbury area.
In 1988, Londonderry was won by former rugby league player Paul Gibson, running for the ALP. In 1999, following a redistribution which created more seats in the Blacktown area, Gibson moved to Blacktown, an even safer Labor seat. Gibson was re-elected in Blacktown in 2003 and 2007.
Gibson was succeedeed in Londonderry in 1999 by Jim Anderson, who had won the seat of St Marys in 1995. St Marys was abolished in 1999, and some of the area was transferred to Londonderry.
Anderson died on the day of the 2003 election, voiding the contest in Londonderry. A supplementary election was held two months later, which the ALP’s Allan Shearan won comfortably with no Liberal opposition.
Shearan was re-elected in 2007 with a margin of almost 7%.
In 2011, Shearan lost to Liberal candidate Bart Bassett with a 19% swing.
Following changes to the electorate’s boundaries, Bassett unsuccessfully challenged for Liberal preselection for the safer seat of Hawkesbury in 2014. Later in 2014, Bassett left the Liberal Party to sit on the crossbench after allegations at the Independent Commission Against Corruption that he had accepted donations from a prohibited donor.
Bassett did not run in 2015, and Labor candidate Prue Car was elected.
Candidates
- Belinda Hill (Liberal)
- David Bowen (Sustainable Australia)
- Prue Car (Labor)
- Charlie Pierce (Greens)
- Don Modarelli (Christian Democrats)
Assessment
Londonderry is a reasonably safe Labor seat.
2015 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Prue Car | Labor | 23,359 | 50.8 | +13.7 |
| Bernard Bratusa | Liberal | 16,523 | 36.0 | -10.8 |
| Maurice Girotto | Christian Democrats | 2,332 | 5.1 | +0.6 |
| Shane Gorman | Greens | 2,229 | 4.9 | -1.6 |
| Joe Arduca | No Land Tax | 1,503 | 3.3 | +3.3 |
| Informal | 2,607 | 5.4 |
2015 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Prue Car | Labor | 24,889 | 58.8 | +14.2 |
| Bernard Bratusa | Liberal | 17,420 | 41.2 | -14.2 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Londonderry have been split into four parts: east, north, south and west. The urban densely-populated part of the seat is covered by east, south and west. The “east” covers all of those booths in the City of Blacktown near Mount Druitt, while the ‘south’ is centred on St Marys.
Labor won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in three out of four areas, ranging from 55.4% in the west to 69.7% in the east. The Liberal Party polled 65.5% in the north.
| Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| South | 61.0 | 10,722 | 23.3 |
| East | 69.7 | 8,801 | 19.2 |
| West | 55.4 | 7,524 | 16.4 |
| North | 34.5 | 4,579 | 10.0 |
| Other votes | 58.2 | 9,136 | 19.9 |
| Pre-poll | 63.2 | 5,184 | 11.3 |
Two-party-preferred votes in Londonderry at the 2015 NSW state election
Belinda Hill, small business woman and candidate for Penrith Council is contesting Londonderry for the Libs.
Prue Car is one of Labor’s most impressive new talents and should easily retain her seat.
Prue Car is an absolute asset to the ALP. Fantastic local member who genuinely seems to care about the area.
Emma Husar, on the other hand, is a bully and a misandrist who’s clearly just in it for the perks. Plus, the way she parades her son with mild autism around for sympathy points is disgusting. I’d vote Liberal if it meant getting rid of her.
Labor hold.