Mount Druitt – NSW 2015

ALP 6.0%

Incumbent MP
Richard Amery, since 1991.

Geography
Mount Druitt covers western parts of the City of Blacktown, including the suburbs of Minchinbury, Rooty Hill, Mount Druitt, Marsden Park and Arndell Park.

Map of Mount Druitt's 2011 and 2015 boundaries. 2011 boundaries marked as red lines, 2015 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Mount Druitt’s 2011 and 2015 boundaries. 2011 boundaries marked as red lines, 2015 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Mount Druitt was only slightly changed, losing Emerton and Willmot to Londonderry and losing the south-eastern corner of the seat to Prospect, and gaining Dean Park from Riverstone. These changes cut the Labor margin from 6.7% to 6%.

History
The electoral district of Mount Druitt has existed continuously since 1991. It previously existed from 1971 to 1981. It has always been won by the ALP.

The seat was first won by Jim Southee in 1971. He had held the seat of Blacktown since 1962. He retired at the 1973 election.

Southee was succeeded in 1973 by Tony Johnson. He held the seat until its abolition in 1981, when he moved to the neighbouring seat of Riverstone. He retired in 1983.

The 1983 Riverstone-by-election was won by Richard Amery. He moved to Mount Druitt in 1991, and has held it ever since. He served as a minister in the Labor government from 1995 to 2003.

Candidates
Sitting Labor MP Richard Amery is not running for re-election.

Assessment
Mount Druitt is a safe Labor seat.

2011 election result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Richard Amery Labor 20,037 48.0 -16.0 47.3
Venus Priest Liberal 14,781 35.4 +15.8 36.0
Dave Vincent Christian Democrats 3,519 8.4 +1.1 8.4
Debbie Robertson Greens 3,380 8.1 +2.9 7.9
Others 0.4

2011 two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Richard Amery Labor 21,352 56.7 -18.6 56.0
Venus Priest Liberal 16,286 43.3 +18.6 44.0
Polling places in Mount Druitt at the 2011 NSW state election. North-East in green, North-West in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Mount Druitt at the 2011 NSW state election. North-East in green, North-West in blue, South in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Mount Druitt have been split into three parts: north-east, north-west and south.

The ALP’s two-party-preferred vote varied from 53% in the south to 63% in the north-west.

The Christian Democratic Party came third, with a vote ranging from 7.4% in the north-east to 10.5% in the south. The Greens came fourth, with their vote ranging from 7.4% in the south to 8.3% in the north-east.

Voter group ALP 2PP % CDP % GRN % Total % of votes
South 53.2 10.5 7.4 13,176 32.0
North-East 54.5 7.4 8.3 10,529 25.6
North-West 63.0 7.6 7.5 7,710 18.7
Other votes 56.0 7.4 8.5 9,761 23.7
Two-party-preferred votes in Mount Druitt at the 2011 NSW state election.
Two-party-preferred votes in Mount Druitt at the 2011 NSW state election.

Mountdruitt2 Mountdruitt3-redist

4 COMMENTS

  2. I think with Richard Amery retiring, possibly loss of 5% personal votes, the candidate that works hard will win – borderline possibly!

  3. This will go to Labor for sure but am suprised its a 6% held seat
    should be 30% at Mt Druitt Its like Brisbanes Inala or Melbournws Broadmeadow

    But then again last time Campbelltown Granville and Smithfield went to Libs
    Libs have Penrith too I think ?

    Imagine a top preference deal and a switched on opponant could rattle the ALP here

    But think ALP has it in the bag this time

  4. Well it’s only a 6% seat because of how badly Labor did in 2011. Before that it was held by 25%+ margins. Inala was held by a similar margin after the 2012 Queensland election.

Comments are closed.