ALP 6.9%
Incumbent MP
Allan Shearan, since 2003.
Geography
North-Western Sydney. Londonderry covers parts of the City of Penrith, the City of Blacktown and the City of Hawkesbury. The seat comes close to Mount Druitt, St Marys and Penrith, and covers Cambridge Park, Richmond, Kurrajong and Londonderry itself.
History
The electoral district of Londonderry was first created for the 1988 election. It has always been won by the ALP. Prior to 1988, the area covered by the seat of Londonderry was divided between seats centred on Penrith and the Hawkesbury area.
In 1988, Londonderry was won by former rugby league player Paul Gibson, running for the ALP. In 1999, following a redistribution which created more seats in the Blacktown area, Gibson moved to Blacktown, an even safer Labor seat. Gibson was re-elected in Blacktown in 2003 and 2007.
Gibson was succeedeed in Londonderry in 1999 by Jim Anderson, who had won the seat of St Marys in 1995. St Marys was abolished in 1999, and some of the area was transferred to Londonderry.
Anderson died on the day of the 2003 election, voiding the contest in Londonderry. A supplementary election was held two months later, which the ALP’s Allan Shearan won comfortably with no Liberal opposition.
Shearan was re-elected in 2007 with a margin of almost 7%.
Candidates
- Bart Bassett (Liberal)
- Steven Said (Family First)
- Caroline Fraser (Christian Democratic Party)
- Allan Shearan (Labor)
- Peta Holmes (Greens)
Political situation
Londonderry’s 7% margin will certainly be within the range of the Liberal Party, considering the massive swing they managed in the neighbouring seat of Penrith at the 2010 by-election.
2007 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Allan Shearan | ALP | 19,288 | 47.5 | +0.8 |
| Bart Bassett | LIB | 13,957 | 34.4 | +26.0 |
| Joel Macrae | GRN | 2,708 | 6.7 | -0.8 |
| John Phillips | CDP | 2,694 | 6.6 | +2.5 |
| Ross Dedman | AAFI | 1,936 | 4.8 | -0.6 |
2007 two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Allan Shearan | ALP | 20,936 | 56.9 | -3.9 |
| Bart Bassett | LIB | 15,834 | 43.1 | +3.9 |
Booth breakdown
The seat of Londonderry includes substantial areas in both Hawkesbury and Penrith council areas, along with a small part of Blacktown. Booths in Hawkesbury have been grouped together. The cluster of booths at the southern end of the seat have been broken into southeast (close to Mount Druitt) and southwest (close to Penrith). The more sparsely-populated areas in the City of Penrith are grouped as “Central”.
The ALP won massive majorities at the southern end of the seat, over 74% in the southeast and over 64% in the southwest. Despite winning a 7% margin across the seat, the ALP didn’t win a majority in either Hawkesbury or in the centre of the seat.
| Voter group | GRN % | ALP 2CP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| Hawkesbury | 9.3 | 43.2 | 10,368 | 25.5 |
| Southwest | 5.5 | 64.6 | 9,753 | 24.0 |
| Southeast | 4.5 | 74.3 | 7,408 | 18.3 |
| Central | 5.5 | 46.8 | 5,933 | 14.6 |
| Other votes | 7.7 | 56.7 | 7,121 | 17.5 |
It is my understanding that Allan Shearan is running again for the ALP.
What’s the reason for the high Labor vote in the south? Where the more trashy areas of this electorate are?
Morgieb, I think the south of the seat covers part of the Mount Druitt public housing estate, so no surprise they rack up thumping majorities there.
Londonderry is a very odd seat: the low-rent public housing areas in the south and the more affluent semi-rural Hawkesbury area have nothing in common and are seperated by a whole lot of nothing. Looks like a seat made up of all the odds and ends that they couldn’t fit in Hawkesbury, Riverstone, Penrith and Mount Druitt.
Paul Gibson contested The Hills in the late 1970s and I think he was on Labor’s Hawkesbury electorate council thus he was able to get the support of ALP members in Windsor and Richmond who suddenly to their surprise found themselves in a safe Labor seat.
The Liberals will pick this up and comfortably.
My prediction: Liberal gain, 15-20% swing.
Yeah i’m sure the old libs will look after those dumb enough to vote for them…Reminds me of 1988…Land slid to Nick, two and a half years later just hung on ,by 1995 gone…I’m sure this will be like all Lib Govt’s, “do nothing, make nothing…Is Any one who can tell me one thing the lib’s built other then the M2 during (great little mess)in there 8 years they were in control last time????
Antony’s guide lists further candidates Steven Said for Family First, and Caroline Fraser for the CDP.
JM
Apart from the M2, there was most of Olypic park built by 1996, The Olypic Stadium, most of the facilities in Homebush, the Railway track to Homebush
Actually the Liberals did many times more in their 8 years,then the ALP in 15
And unlike the ALP, What they did was actually good, unlike the Xcity Tunnel (still being sued), M5 (who would have through a major road should have more than 2 lanes?)
On polling day I will travel from Bellevue Hill to this electorate to hand out how-to-vote cards.
I am told by those campaigning in the electorate that the voters are not waiting for Labor with baseball bats, but with machine guns.
JM – The libs built the M2 and M5 – both with tolls, and both not connecting to other links to the cities. ie leaving big gaps in the infrastructure.
They also extended the M4 by a couple of kms between Prospect and Mays Hill, and added another toll, and again failed to link the Concord end with the city.
Half arsed infrastructure and incomplete.
John Howard built the M7 – the only National road with a toll, and again failed to finish the job, leaving a gap between Pennant Hills and North Rocks.
Anthony – yes, that’s why the ALP will win in a landslide…..haven’t done anything so can’t be accused!
Amazing to see that this seat reaches out into three different Federal electorates (the marginal seats of Lindsay and Macquarie along with solidly Labor Chifley).
Surely no other state seat goes into so many federal seats
given the south parts of the seat this may be very close….like the federal result transposed
I think a few state seats cover many Federal… Auburn is across the bondary of three from memory
I spent some time handing out HTWs for Bart Bassett at one of the booths in the southern part of the electorate. The vibe was very positive for the Liberals. Many people were only taking our HTVs. ALP people were very downbeat. And we outnumbered them susbstantially.