Baulkham Hills – NSW 2011

LIB 10.5%

Incumbent MP
Wayne Merton, since 1991. Previously Member for Carlingford 1988-1991.

Geography
North-western Sydney. Baulkham Hills covers southwestern parts of the Hills Shire, and small parts of the City of Parramatta. The seat covers the suburbs of Bella Vista, Baulkham Hills, Carlingford and North Rocks.

History
The seat of Baulkham Hills has existed since 1991. It has always been a safe Liberal seat. Prior to 1991, much of the same area had been covered by Carlingford from its creation in 1988 to its abolition in 1991.

Carlingford was won in 1988 by Liberal candidate Wayne Merton. Merton then won the new seat of Baulkham Hills in 1991, and has held it ever since. He served as a minister in the state Coalition government from 1992 to 1993.

While there have been two seats in the Hills since 1988, and they have both been solid Liberal seats, the boundaries of those seats have shifted. The other seat in the area was called The Hills until 2007, and had always been held by Liberal MPs.

Candidates

Political situation
Baulkham Hills is a safe Liberal seat.

2007 result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Wayne Merton LIB 23,153 51.5 +5.9
Tony Hay ALP 13,940 31.0 -5.3
Mark Rodowicz GRN 3,359 7.5 +0.7
Godwin Goh CDP 2,173 4.8 +0.4
Yan Li UNI 1,241 2.8 +2.8
Gregory Piol AAFI 1,046 2.3 +2.3

2007 two-candidate-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Wayne Merton LIB 24,870 60.5 +6.5
Tony Hay ALP 16,211 39.5 -6.5

Booth breakdown
Booths in Baulkham Hills have been divided into three areas: the north of the seat (including Bella Vista, Crestwood and Kellyville), the centre (including Baulkham Hills and Winston Hills) and the south (Northmead and North Rocks).

The Liberal Party’s margin varied from 57% in the south to 62% in the north.

Polling booths in Baulkham Hills at the 2007 state election. North in blue, Central in green, South in yellow. 
Voter group GRN % LIB 2CP % Total votes % of votes
Central 7.0 59.7 17,334 38.6
North 6.8 62.2 10,868 24.2
South 8.7 57.2 8,566 19.1
Other votes 8.2 62.3 8,154 18.2
Two-party-preferred votes in Baulkham Hills at the 2007 state election.
Greens primary votes in Baulkham Hills at the 2007 state election.

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