Council margin – LNP 1.8%
Mayoral margin – LNP 5.2%
Incumbent councillor
Sandy Landers, since 2019.
Geography
Outer northern Brisbane. Bracken Ridge covers the suburbs of Bald Hills, Bracken Ridge, Carseldine and Fitzgibbon. Its north-western border follows the Brisbane City Council boundary.
History
Bracken Ridge has been held by the Liberal (National) Party since at least 1997, when it was won by Carol Cashman.
Cashman was re-elected in 2000 and 2004, the last time with a 19.2% margin.
Cashman resigned in 2007, and Amanda Cooper was appointed to the casual vacancy. Cooper was defending a 14% margin after the redistribution, which was cut slightly to 13.9%.
In 2012, Cooper won re-election with a 7.7% swing. Cooper was elected to a third full term in 2016 despite an 11% swing to Labor.
Cooper retired in October 2019 to run for the overlapping state electorate of Aspley at the 2020 election, and was replaced by LNP councillor Sandy Landers. Landers was elected in 2020 despite a swing to Labor.
- Sandy Landers (Liberal National)
- Thomas Stephen (Labor)
- John Harbison (Greens)
Assessment
Bracken Ridge is a marginal LNP seat and could be in play, but Landers should also now benefit from having been an incumbent for a full council term, which could boost her position.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Sandy Landers | Liberal National | 11,798 | 50.0 | -6.6 |
| Cath Palmer | Labor | 8,850 | 37.5 | +2.9 |
| Kathryn Fry | Greens | 2,929 | 12.4 | +3.6 |
| Informal | 707 | 2.9 |
2020 council two-candidate-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Sandy Landers | Liberal National | 12,127 | 54.2 | -6.4 |
| Cath Palmer | Labor | 10,267 | 45.9 | +6.4 |
| Exhausted | 1,183 | 5.0 |
2020 mayoral result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Adrian Schrinner | Liberal National | 13,826 | 48.6 | -5.4 |
| Pat Condren | Labor | 9,710 | 34.2 | -1.6 |
| Kath Angus | Greens | 3,079 | 10.8 | +4.8 |
| Karagh-Mae Kelly | Animal Justice | 909 | 3.2 | +3.2 |
| Jeff Hodges | Motorists Party | 311 | 1.1 | +1.1 |
| Frank Jordan | Independent | 192 | 0.7 | +0.7 |
| John Dobinson | Independent | 159 | 0.6 | +0.6 |
| Jarrod Wirth | Independent | 139 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Ben Gorringe | Independent | 108 | 0.4 | +0.4 |
| Informal | 866 | 3.0 |
2020 mayoral two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Adrian Schrinner | Liberal National | 14,525 | 56.1 | -2.7 |
| Pat Condren | Labor | 11,378 | 43.9 | +2.7 |
| Exhausted | 2,530 | 8.9 |
Booths in Bracken Ridge have been split into three groups, divided between three main suburbs: Aspley in the south, Bald Hills in the north-west and Bracken Ridge in the north-east.
The Liberal National Party won a slim majority in Bracken Ridge, while the ALP won a slim majority in Aspley and Bald Hills. The LNP won much bigger majorities in the special votes.
The Greens council vote ranged from 13.6% in Bracken Ridge to 15.5% in Aspley.
| Voter group | GRN prim council | LNP 2PP council | LNP 2PP mayoral | Total votes | % of votes |
| Bracken Ridge | 13.6 | 50.5 | 50.5 | 3,435 | 14.6 |
| Aspley | 15.5 | 49.9 | 49.7 | 2,859 | 12.1 |
| Bald Hills | 14.9 | 49.7 | 49.6 | 1,155 | 4.9 |
| Postal | 11.7 | 58.0 | 57.6 | 5,582 | 23.7 |
| Pre-poll | 11.5 | 56.2 | 59.0 | 5,499 | 23.3 |
| Other votes | 11.1 | 53.5 | 41.8 | 5,047 | 21.4 |
Council election results in Bracken Ridge at the 2020 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party, Labor and the Greens.
Mayoral election results in Bracken Ridge at the 2020 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal National Party, Labor and the Greens.
Seems like 2020 was the anomaly here, perhaps due to having a new LNP incumbent.
The big LNP swing at this election looks like just returning to type.