Wynnum Manly – Brisbane 2020

Council margin – ALP 11.6%
Mayoral margin – LNP 1.1%

Incumbent councillor
Peter Cumming, since 1994.

Geography
Eastern Brisbane. Wynnum Manly covers along the eastern coastline of Brisbane on the south side of the river, including Manly, Wynnum, Lota and Lytton.

Redistribution
Wynnum Manly slightly retracted, with Doboy gaining two small areas including part of Manly West. These changes did not change any margin in the ward.

History
Labor’s Peter Cumming won Wynnum Manly in 1994. He has been re-elected six times.

His margin was cut to 5.8% in 2004, when the LNP won the lord mayoralty, but managed to increase his margin to 9.1% in 2008.

In 2012, Cumming’s 9.1% margin was cut to 1.2%, but he recovered to an 11.6% margin in 2016.

Candidates

Assessment
Wynnum Manly is the second most safe Labor ward and is likely to stay that way.

2016 council result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Peter Cumming Labor 13,344 55.8 +13.0
Deirdre Thomson Liberal National 8,574 35.9 -6.9
Sonja Gerdsen Greens 1,990 8.3 +0.5
Informal 576 2.4

2016 council two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Peter Cumming Labor 14,138 61.6 +10.4
Deirdre Thomson Liberal National 8,827 38.4 -10.4
Exhausted 943 3.9

2016 mayoral result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Graham Quirk Liberal National 11,105 46.6 -8.5
Rod Harding Labor 10,127 42.5 +9.0
Ben Pennings Greens 1,540 6.5 -2.4
Jeffrey Hodges Independent 593 2.5 +2.5
Karel Boele People Decide 208 0.9 +0.9
Jim Eldridge Independent 144 0.6 +0.6
Jarrod Wirth Independent 115 0.5 +0.5
Informal 687 2.8

2016 mayoral two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing
Graham Quirk Liberal National 11,434 51.1 -9.4
Rod Harding Labor 10,925 48.9 +9.4
Exhausted 1,473 6.2

Booth breakdown


Booths in Wynnum Manly have been divided into three parts: north, south-east and south-west.

The ALP won a majority of the council two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 58.9% in the south-east to 66.3% in the south-west.

The LNP won a majority of the mayoral two-party-preferred vote in two areas: 50.2% in the north and 53.5% in the south-east, while Labor won 54.2% in the south-west.

Voter group LNP council 2PP LNP mayoral 2PP Total votes % of votes
South-East 58.9 53.5 5,325 22.9
North 61.3 50.2 4,491 19.3
South-West 66.3 45.8 4,006 17.2
Other votes 57.5 58.1 3,478 15.0
Pre-poll 63.2 49.2 5,959 25.6

Election results in Wynnum Manly at the 2016 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes for council and lord mayor.

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1 COMMENT

  1. Cr Peter Cumming is recontesting.

    Megan Piccardi is the LNP’s candidate. Whilst she’s a good pick for this ward, it’s safe Labor territory. Cumming will hold and will probably step down sometime in the next term.

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