Council margin – LNP 17.4%
Mayoral margin – LNP 16.3%
Incumbent councillor
Matthew Bourke, since 2008.
Geography
South-western Brisbane. Jamboree covers suburbs along the southern shore of the Brisbane River from Seventeen Mile Rocks to the council boundary, including Jindalee, Mount Ommaney, Westlake, Riverhills and Sinnamon Park.
Redistribution
Jamboree’s western boundary was redrawn, with territory gained from Tennyson and Moorooka. The boundary with Forest Lake was aligned with the Centenary Highway and Ipswich Road. These changes cut the LNP margin from 19.1% to 17.4%.
History
Jamboree was held by Labor councillor Felicity Farmer by the year 2000, although it’s unclear how long she held the ward prior to that point.
Farmer was re-elected in 2004 with a 6.6% margin. In 2008, she lost Jamboree to Liberal candidate Matthew Bourke with a 7.8% swing. Bourke was left with a slim 1.5% margin.
In 2012, Bourke retained his marginal ward with a massive 25.3% swing after preferences, and he won a third term in 2016 despite a swing of 8%.
Candidates
- Rachel Hoppe (Labor)
- Sarah Hutton (Liberal National)
- Thomas McKie (Greens)
Assessment
Jamboree is very safe for the LNP.
2016 council result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Matthew Bourke | Liberal National | 15,088 | 64.1 | -3.6 | 62.0 |
| Matthew Johns | Labor | 5,763 | 24.5 | -1.6 | 25.6 |
| Dorotee Braun | Greens | 2,684 | 11.4 | +5.1 | 11.8 |
| Others | 0.6 | ||||
| Informal | 602 | 2.5 |
2016 council two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Matthew Bourke | Liberal National | 15,476 | 69.1 | -7.7 | 67.4 |
| Matthew Johns | Labor | 6,923 | 30.9 | +7.7 | 32.6 |
| Exhausted | 1,136 | 4.8 |
2016 mayoral result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Graham Quirk | Liberal National | 14,591 | 61.9 | -6.5 | 60.1 |
| Rod Harding | Labor | 6,035 | 25.6 | +3.3 | 27.0 |
| Ben Pennings | Greens | 1,997 | 8.5 | +1.1 | 8.8 |
| Jeffrey Hodges | Independent | 516 | 2.2 | +2.2 | 2.1 |
| Karel Boele | People Decide | 180 | 0.8 | +0.8 | 0.8 |
| Jim Eldridge | Independent | 138 | 0.6 | +0.6 | 0.6 |
| Jarrod Wirth | Independent | 107 | 0.5 | +0.5 | 0.5 |
| Informal | 643 | 2.7 |
2016 mayoral two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing | Redist |
| Graham Quirk | Liberal National | 14,992 | 68.1 | -5.3 | 66.3 |
| Rod Harding | Labor | 7,039 | 32.0 | +5.3 | 33.7 |
| Exhausted | 1,533 | 6.5 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Jamboree have been divided into three parts: north-east, north-west and south.
The LNP won sizeable majorities in the north-east and north-west, but Labor won a majority in the less populous south.
| Voter group | GRN council prim | LNP council 2PP | LNP mayoral 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| North-East | 13.0 | 67.7 | 66.7 | 8,133 | 31.3 |
| North-West | 10.6 | 70.3 | 68.7 | 6,829 | 26.3 |
| South | 13.8 | 43.8 | 49.3 | 2,275 | 8.8 |
| Other votes | 12.9 | 66.2 | 66.8 | 4,348 | 16.7 |
| Pre-poll | 9.2 | 72.0 | 69.7 | 4,388 | 16.9 |
Election results in Jamboree at the 2016 Brisbane City Council election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes for council and lord mayor, and Greens primary votes for council.
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LNP Councillor, Matthew Bourke has announced his retirement from politics. This race has just become much tighter. Expect Labor to pounce early in the new year with their candidate.
I find it hard to say how this race will go now. Seems to me like the Councillor and Mayoral votes tracked quite closely here in 2012 and 2016.