Enoggera – Brisbane 2016

Council margin – LNP 14.2%
Mayoral margin – LNP 17.3%

Incumbent councillor
Andrew Wines, since 2008.

Geography
Northern Brisbane. Enoggera covers Gaythorne, Mitchelton, Newmarket, Wilston and parts of Ashgrove and Windsor.

Map of Enoggera's 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.
Map of Enoggera’s 2012 and 2016 boundaries. 2012 boundaries marked as red lines, 2016 boundaries marked as white area. Click to enlarge.

Redistribution
Enoggera shifted east, towards the Brisbane city centre, gaining Wilston from Central ward, and losing Ferny Grove and Upper Kedron to The Gap.These changes cut the LNP council margin from 15.6% to 14.2%, and the mayoral margin from 17.4% to 17.3%.

History
Labor’s Ann Bennison won Enoggera ward in 1994, winning re-election in 1997, 2000 and 2004.

In 2008, Bennison retired, with Labor defending a 9.2% margin. A 10% swing saw Liberal candidate Andrew Wines narrowly elected, and in 2012 he was re-elected with a 14.7% swing.

Candidates

Assessment
The Liberal Party’s narrow victory in Enoggera in 2008 helped give them a majority for the first time since the 1980s. If the 2012 swing was reversed, Labor could win Enoggera – if there is a uniform swing, winning Enoggera would give Labor half of the council seats.

2012 council result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Andrew Wines Liberal National 12,336 58.6 +12.3 57.2
Matt Siggins Labor 5,727 27.2 -15.1 27.9
Wally Guthrie Greens 2,336 11.1 -0.4 12.7
Paul Hudson Independent 670 3.2 +3.2 2.3
Informal 429 2.0

2012 council two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Andrew Wines Liberal National 12,624 65.6 +14.7 64.2
Matt Siggins Labor 6,636 34.5 -14.7 35.8
Exhausted 1,585

2012 mayoral result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 12,724 60.3 +3.8 59.6
Ray Smith Labor 5,453 25.9 -6.4 25.2
Andrew Bartlett Greens 2,442 11.6 +2.8 13.1
Rory Killen Independent 284 1.4 +1.4 1.3
Chris Carson Independent 190 0.9 +0.9 0.9
Informal 400 1.9

2012 mayoral two-party-preferred result

Candidate Party Votes % Swing Redist
Graham Quirk Liberal National 13,032 67.4 +5.0 67.3
Ray Smith Labor 6,303 32.6 -5.0 32.7
Exhausted 1,758
Polling places in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, East in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.
Polling places in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election. Central in green, East in blue, West in orange. Click to enlarge.

Booth breakdown
Booths in Enoggera have been split into central, east and west.

The LNP’s council majority was largest in the centre of the ward (67.9%), with the majority in the west at 61.5% and the lowest majority being 59.6% in the east.

Voter group GRN council primary LNP council 2PP Total votes % of votes
Central 13.0 67.9 6,550 28.4
West 10.4 61.5 6,155 26.7
East 14.4 59.6 3,592 15.6
Other votes 13.4 65.6 6,764 29.3
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Two-party-preferred votes for councillor in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.
Greens primary votes for councillor in Enoggera at the 2012 Brisbane City Council election.

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