LIB 3.2%
Incumbent MP
Fiona Martin, since 2019.
Geography
Inner Western Sydney. Reid covers suburbs along the southern shore of Parramatta River from Drummoyne to Homebush Bay. It covers the City of Canada Bay and parts of Auburn, Burwood and Strathfield council areas. Major suburbs are Drummoyne, Five Dock, Croydon, Homebush, Strathfield and Burwood.
History
The seat of Reid was created for the 1922 election, while Lowe was created as part of the expansion of the Parliament in 1949. Reid had been held by either the ALP or Jack Lang’s Labor breakaway parties for its entire history, while Lowe had a history of alternating between the ALP and Liberal Party. Since the two seats were effectively merged in 2010, Reid has gone to the party of government.
The seat of Reid was first won in 1922 by Labor candidate Percy Coleman. Coleman was re-elected in 1925, 1928 and 1929, but at the 1931 election he was defeated by Joseph Gander, candidate for Jack Lang’s breakaway NSW Labor Party. Gander was re-elected as a Lang Labor candidate in 1934 before rejoining the ALP when Jack Lang reconciled with the federal ALP.
Gander was re-elected as an official ALP candidate in 1937, but in 1940 Jack Lang again split away from the ALP, but with less of his former supporters in NSW following him. Gander followed Lang out of the ALP, but lost at the 1940 election to official ALP candidate Charles Morgan.
Morgan held the seat until the 1946 election, when Jack Lang himself ran in Reid and defeated Morgan. Lang was a former NSW Premier who had led a breakaway Labor party in NSW on a number of occasions.
The 1949 election saw the creation of the new seat of Blaxland, and Lang ran in that seat unsuccessfully. Morgan regained Reid in 1949, holding it until 1958.
Charles Morgan was defeated for ALP preselection by Tom Uren before the 1958 election. Morgan ran as an independent, but was defeated comfortably by Uren.
Uren served as Minister for Urban and Regional Development in the Whitlam government. He served as a Deputy Leader of the ALP from 1976 to 1977, and became the leading figure in the ALP’s left in the late 1970s. He opposed Bob Hawke’s leadership and thus was excluded from Cabinet when Hawke was elected Prime Minister in 1983. He served as a junior minister for four years before moving to the backbench in 1987.
Uren retired at the 1990 election, and was succeeded by Laurie Ferguson, who had been the state member for Granville since 1984. Ferguson has held Reid since 1990.
Lowe was first created for the 1949 election, when it was won by William McMahon (LIB). McMahon was elevated to Robert Menzies’ ministry in 1951, serving in a variety of portfolios over the next fifteen years. Upon Menzies’ retirement in 1966 McMahon became Treasurer in Harold Holt’s cabinet.
When Harold Holt disappeared in December 1967 McMahon was the presumptive successor, but Country Party leader John McEwen refused to serve with McMahon as Prime Minister. McMahon withdrew and Senator John Gorton was elected leader and moved to the House of Representatives.
McMahon served as Gorton’s Foreign Minister, but challenged Gorton for the leadership following the 1969 election unsuccessfully. In 1971 McEwen retired and Gorton’s leadership was undermined by the resignation of Malcolm Fraser from the cabinet. Gorton called a party meeting, and the ballot was tied between Gorton and McMahon, which led to Gorton’s resignation and McMahon’s election as leader and Prime Minister.
McMahon led the Coalition into the 1972 election, and was defeated by Gough Whitlam’s Labor Party. McMahon served in Billy Snedden’s shadow cabinet up to the 1974 election, and then served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1982.
Lowe had been marginal for most elections during McMahon’s service, particularly since the 1961 election. He had only held the seat with a 1.1% margin at the 1980 election, and a swing of 9.4% swing saw Labor candidate Michael Maher win the seat at the 1982 by-election, one year before Bob Hawke defeated Malcolm Fraser at the 1983 election. Maher was a state MP for Drummoyne from 1973 until the 1982 by-election.
Maher was reelected in 1983 and 1984, but was defeated in 1987 by Bob Woods (LIB). Woods was reelected in 1990, and defeated in 1993 by Mary Easson (ALP). Woods was appointed to the Senate in 1994 and served as a Parliamentary Secretary in the Howard government’s first year before resigning from the Senate in 1997 following allegations of abuse of parliamentary privilege.
Easson only held Lowe for one term, losing her seat in the 1996 landslide to Liberal candidate Paul Zammit, who had been a state MP for first Burwood and then Strathfield from 1984 until 1996. Zammit resigned from the Liberal Party in protest at aircraft noise in 1998 and contested the 1998 election as an independent, polling 15%. The seat was won in 1998 by the ALP’s John Murphy, who held the seat until 2010.
In 2010, John Murphy was re-elected in the redrawn seat of Reid, while former Member for Reid Laurie Ferguson moved to the seat of Werriwa.
Murphy lost to Liberal candidate Craig Laundy in 2013 with a 3.5% swing. Laundy was re-elected in 2016, and retired in 2019.
Liberal candidate Fiona Martin won Reid in 2019.
Assessment
Reid is a very marginal seat, although Martin as a first-term MP will likely benefit from a new personal vote.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Fiona Martin | Liberal | 45,288 | 48.3 | -0.5 |
| Sam Crosby | Labor | 34,872 | 37.2 | +0.9 |
| Charles Jago | Greens | 7,575 | 8.1 | -0.4 |
| Keith Piper | Christian Democratic Party | 2,335 | 2.5 | -1.6 |
| Rohan Laxmanalal | Animal Justice | 1,861 | 2.0 | +2.0 |
| Young Lee | United Australia Party | 1,797 | 1.9 | +1.9 |
| Informal | 6,119 | 6.1 | +1.2 |
2019 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Fiona Martin | Liberal | 49,844 | 53.2 | -1.5 |
| Sam Crosby | Labor | 43,884 | 46.8 | +1.5 |
Booths in Reid have been split into three parts. “East” covers booths in the former Drummoyne council area. “South” covers booths in the Burwood, Strathfield, Cumberland and Inner West council areas. “North-West” covers booths in the former Concord council area and the Parramatta council area.
The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in the north-east (54.3%) and the north-west (54.4%) while Labor won 51.2% in the south.
| Voter group | GRN prim % | LIB 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
| North-West | 7.3 | 54.4 | 22,112 | 23.6 |
| South | 7.7 | 48.8 | 20,436 | 21.8 |
| North-East | 8.7 | 54.3 | 16,882 | 18.0 |
| Pre-poll | 7.8 | 54.8 | 22,153 | 23.6 |
| Other votes | 9.8 | 53.9 | 12,145 | 13.0 |
Election results in Reid at the 2019 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor.
A potential labor gain, however I find western Sydney has been improving for the liberal party so it could remain with the liberal party. Labor should target eastern Melbourne as Victoria as a whole is leaning more labor then liberal recently.
Reid is not really ‘Western Sydney’, politically, culturally or geographically. In reality, it is part of the gentrifying Inner West. Underlying demographics are typical of the wealthy voters who toyed with switching to Labor, hence the swing to them at the last election.
I still remember everyone predicting a Labor gain here at the last election. Again, the margin is simply too large for Labor to overcome.
Wreathy of Sydney
Not everyone mate !. And i was a Sam Crosby fan, & backer. Ben even put me into moderation for defending him. One of my predictions was that he would achieve “a credible swing of 2% ” dead on. We will find out just how influential he was . I’ll predict an underlying swing back to Fiona Martin of around 3-5%. i say underlying because it’s unclear how much, & permanently Morrison has damaged the libs.
The rest i agree with
cheers wd
There are seats like Reid which will be interesting to watch. We the current COVID outbreak who knows what will happen. People are not happy with the Commonwealth or State Governments regardless of polls. Possible Labor gain.
Apologies WD, you’re quite right – almost everyone!
As I recall, I think you were one of the only people to predict the overall Coalition win too.
It’s amazing how people think the outbreak will cause political damage to Gladys/Morrison when we had a similar situation in Victoria last year which did nothing of the sort. As I recall, Andrews didn’t really suffer any long-term damage from the constant outbreaks and lockdowns. Of course, it depends on how long this one lasts.
Even at the worst, I don’t rate Labor’s chances very highly here.
James
Sorry not even a toss up. A dark horse even if labor win. & that won’t happen.
Wreathy of Sydney
Sorry can’t take credit for coalition win prediction. I PREDICTED LABOR/INDEPENDENT GREEN minority govt IIRC 72-76 LABOR seats. However everyone else was saying 80-85. IIRC you did better
cheers WD
I can’t see the libs losing here although lockdown is having short term effects as stated above in Victoria the effects don’t last forever, still undecided whether it’ll be a small swing for or against the government but they should definitely hold their ground around concord and other areas near the water. As Albo himself said on election night on channel 9, high real estate near water is not you traditional labor voter.
This part of Sydney – especially the Canada Bay suburbs – has evidently changed a lot over the decades. The former Division of Lowe covered roughly the same area and was usually held by Labor.
It’s even more pronounced at the state level, with Drummoyne district having been held by Labor from 1962 to 2011, with a peak 2PP of Labor 73.8% in the 1981 “Wranslide”. Even in 2003 and 2007, it was “fairly safe” seat for Labor. Now it’s a Liberal seat safer than Epping, Lane Cove, or Manly!
I was busy on election night, but if Albo said that, and ALP are indeed limiting their successes to “traditional labor voters”, then it may well be a long time before ALP wins again. I just looked at AEC and all the Drummoyne booths swung to ALP in 2019 and so did Abbotsford. Swings varied across the seat of course, but is doesn’t look to me like it was lost “on the waterfront” – you don’t have to win every booth – just the ones you lose, don’t lose by too much.
Coming across the water – have a look at the Greenwich and Wollstonecraft 2019 results – have a look at McMahons point. Waterfront or water side suburbs doesn’t equal automatic Liberal big margins.
Indeed, Melbourne has a rather red waterfront!
Yes, It will be a long time. They will never win government again. The coalition will stay in power even longer than the record 23 years in power under Menzies.
The voters of Reid don’t care about the failures of this government. They want to know how the alternative (Labor) will be better for them and their families. And so far Labor has failed to prove themselves that they would be a better government let alone better at managing the pandemic. Glady’s can get her fair share of the blame for NSW but Morrison is Prime Minister. Not Premier.
Obviously the state area is much more Liberal leaning than the federal area but this seat and Banks will not flip at next years election. I don’t even think Plibersek could do it.
This seat will be called when polls close. It won’t even be a contest. The Liberals will probably be able to govern in their own right if they wanted to at this stage (even though they won’t they could) The 53-47 poll to Labor is bullcrap, these are the same polls that had them well up before the last election. People just don’t want to tell the pollsters that they prefer the coalition over Labor, The more Labor leads in the polls the less they will learn because Albo is likely looking at the polls and saying that because he’s ahead Labor is on the right track. Well I can’t wait to see your concession speech in May 2022.
Liberal retain 6-8% swing
Good luck with that Daniel – you will be “right” in your belief that it is legitimate to disbelieve the polls right up until you are wrong. Maybe you will be proved right again in 2022 – but if you know anything about polling error, you will appreciate that the any error in this coming election is not correlated with the error in the last.
The ALP’s candidate for Reid is Sally Sitou.
I was so certain that Labor’s Sam Crosby would snatch this seat in 2019, he certainly has the intellectual prowess and had a head start in the campaign. He looks so formidable at the polling booths. But what went wrong? Oh also does anyone know the background of the candidates? Who is Sally Sitou? Is she of Chinese ancestry?
Xu Liang Yi
Sally Sitou is of Chinese heritage, however her parent grew up in Laos.
A high-profile NSW Liberal woman Natalie Baini is quitting to run as an independent in this seat.
Unlike some of the other independents that are running in safe Liberal seats. Baini isn’t a strong progressive on climate change. Baini dissatisfaction comes from more the Liberals handling of a complaint she made. And the fact they won’t have a preselection to let her challenge the incumbent in this seat.
This can’t help the Liberals which will split the vote. But I suspect Baini will still prefernce the Liberals. But if this is happening here you have to presume Scott Morrison will be allowed his captain picks in other NSW marginals (Gilmore, Eden-Monaro etc).
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/nov/30/high-profile-liberal-woman-quits-party-to-run-as-independent-after-alleging-inappropriate-behaviour
Pessimistic Daniel is off-putting, it has thrown me off completely this election cycle.
Usually Daniel is very optimistic about Labor’s vote.
@LNP Insider – The fact you give any weight to anything Daniel says is worrying…
Reid will become more and more safe Liberal as time goes on. Labor hasn’t helped matters by picking another dud candidate.
The results of the Mayoral/Council election in Canada Bay will affirm this becoming a blue ribbon area- given the Council makes up the largest geographic area of the seat, along with the state seat of Drummoyne.
Fiona Martin outcampaigned Sam Crosby, who had a year and a half head start, and still blew it. Interesting to seat now Sam has moved too Barton, hoping to inherit the much safer seat from Linda Burney.
Also to note the local Labor branches are in disarray since Angelo Tsirekas was expelled from the party.
PhD Candidate Sally Sitou was rushed through as a candidate, even though the more qualified and actual Dr Frank Alafaci would’ve been able to fundraise more and tap into the large Korean community.
Labor panicked after the Tu Le situation in Fowler, and the perception that Labor uses ethnic communities to hand out and volunteer but never puts them forward as candidates, instead opting for Keneally.
Both Labor’s candidates in Reid and Banks are of Asian decent but have little to no chance of winning the seat, thus proving Tu Le’s point.
Interestingly, Sally Sitou herself moved into the area only 12 months ago- couldn’t actually vote for herself in preselection. And furthermore, wasn’t actually after Reid but wanted the state seat of Strathfield. Unbeknownst to her Jodi McKay pulled the pin early as a final farewell to her rival Chris Minns. This caused a by-election in the middle of a Local Government and Federal Government campaign.
Sally had also nominated to be on Strathfield Council but had to withdraw after local members said it was greedy for her to be both a Federal candidate and Council candidate.
No doubt she will be hoping for a protracted length of time for the writs to be written, so after the imminent failure of a Federal campaign, she can then run again for Strathfield.
Incumbency is also a powerful thing
Hawkeye_au can you stop attacking me for god sake? I didn’t do anything to you. I am entitled to my on opinions as much as you are. If you are going to mention me how about confronting me directly mate. I don’t appreciate it at all and I would appreciate if you could ask him to stop Ben.
Usually I am optimistic about Labors vote. and I said that back in JULY mate. Allot has changed since then. back then I was predicting an increased majority for the coalition but ever since. I say this is going to be very close.
Morrison looked as if he was winning the argument on COVID and Labor was lacking (they still are but the coalition look weak at this point compared to July. Not saying the polls are correct but it must be scary that Labor has the biggest lead nation wide 55-45 in 3 years. It must scare the coalition.
It also doesn’t help there was a primary challenge/preselection challenge to the sitting MP within her own party. But the person pulled back and is now not running for pre-selection perhaps because she doesn’t believe she has the numbers (Morrison will do anything he can to protect Martin from a challenge) because he see’s her as more electable and incumbency can help in bruising elections.
Kristina Keneally would be more suited here than Fowler but she probably doesn’t want to hold a marginal seat as she is PM material in my view. Tu Le could always give this seat a crack or run for senate or perhaps run for the state election in 2 years.
Reid will be very close and anyone would be daring to call it with recent events but I do agree with the consensus that the Liberals will narrowly be favoured due to demographics but if the election was held right here right now Labor would win on current polling. But it will almost certainly tighten.
I do not know what will happen here.. thought it was a certain alp win in 2019.. but obviously I was wrong .there was a dampened swing.Labor can win without this seat. At the moment Morrison is being portrayed as a liar. This makes it very hard to pick up ground in the election campaign..the boy who cried wolf.I this seat is won by Labor then Morrison can’t win
@Daniel – I do and it is because your record of posting on here is, frankly, ridiculous. You make the most blatantly biased comments, with no relevance whatsoever in the evidence you provide and have a track record of being straight out wrong. I’m just the most vocal about it but everyone here knows it. So try taking a hint for a chance.
@Mick – I think you are majorly under-estimating the demographic swing within Reid, especially with regards to the gentrification that has occured along the River side. The increasing in development along the River and through Rhodes is making this better for the Liberal Party. Dr Martin has also become a solid MP in the area and could well be positioning for her own Sophomore Surge.
Labor needs to throw everything at this seat to win it back because, if not, I think it is gone for another couple of election cycles
The electorate of Reid sits in an enviable position where you have a choice in what party will represent you. The electorate to your south doesn’t have that luxury and is a Labor Party stronghold.
The comments seem to be directed towards party loyalty and not based on the individual who will best represent you and the area you call your home.
That said, I don’t support Labor, nor the Liberals. I am a swing voter. A lot of people would count themselves lucky to have a choice of being pandered to living in a marginal seat or swinging seat.
If you genuinely vote on party lines, Those who vote Liberal never endured nor would never tolerate helicopters flying overhead at 2.00 am during our lockdown and 1 hour of “freedom” a day and really should move to an amalgamated mega council area to know what LNP policy looks like. Those of you who vote labor need to move out of Reid and live in the western end of Campsie to see what a very safe labor electorate looks like Both Locally, state and Federally. Vote for the person who would support you – party loyalty means nothing
Nice Monologue @CantWard but not entirely relevant to the discussion at hand
@ Hawkeye-au nothing is ever relevant when it comes to politics, but outright biased whining and complaints don’t get better candidates or discussions
Albanese held his first election rally in Reid, a good indication that Labor will put more heft into this seat than they did in 2019. I think Crosby did well to achieve a 1.5% swing, given that there was an overall swing against Labor, but of course it wasn’t enough.
Fiona Martin didn’t move into the electorate as promised but I’m not sure what impact she’s had as a local member. Her recent interventions suggest she’s worried about the government’s record on climate change. So she may not have as much personal following as could be expected for an incumbent. That said, it will be very hard for Sitou to get a 3.2% swing so Martin may hang on with a new margin of around 1%.
If Baini preferences the Liberals it would essentially defeat the purpose of her running as an independent against Fiona Martin. What I think she would do is preference the ALP in hopes of ousting Fiona Martin and then getting preselected as Liberal candidate for Reid at the following election but I don’t know if the Liberal party would let her back in after she quit.
Afaik the Libs have a policy of expelling members/preventing preselection for people who run against endorsed candidates – see Peter King vs Malcolm Turnbull in 2004.
Cassandra what overall ”swing” against Labor. there was no swing against Labor. It was just status quo to 2016. There was no swing whatsoever. If you are talking about this seat then Labor got a primary and TPP swing here albeit a very small one.
@John Smith
Your comments are very naïve if you think the Liberals would let her back in the party. If that’s Natalie Baini strategy (which I seriously doubt) then it’s a pretty dumb strategy. The Labor party is the same anyone in the party who runs as independent candidate against a Labor candidate faces instant expulsion from the party.
Natalie Baini, prior to quitting the party, was being suggested for the state seat of Strathfield after internal polling put her forward, along with other potential Liberal candidates, she polled near last.
Factionally, she is in the hard right, who have been stroppy since both the Member for Drummoyne and Member for Reid are both Moderates. Even though they have the numbers in the area, the Moderates across Greater Sydney lead by Matt Kean/Trent Zimmerman have been working more strategically with Alex Hawke’s Centre Right to squeeze the Hard Right faction out of winnable seats.
Noting of course, Reid is fairly middle of the road when it comes to social issues. Whilst you too have a progressive middle class element, along the water front, this is offset by socially conservative families in suburban Concord, Strathfield, Burwood and Auburn. It is a delicate balance for any candidate.
She’ll be lucky to crack 5%, as she is a virtual unknown. Has no real governing ideas or concepts to rally around.
Similarly Labor’s Sally Sitou will also struggle, as like the prior candidate Sam Crosby, she seems to be repeating the same mistake of not making enough inroads with both the Korean and Italian/Greek communities. The fact that Labor preselection was rushed and with only 1 other contender, shows you Labor has given up on this seat (Keneally definitely would’ve ran here if she thought it was winnable, rather than moving to Fowler)
I think the other factor is Fiona Martin is actually a very good candidate, and ticks a lot of boxes especially with voters in the area: she’s young, female, a professional, has good media presence (prior to elected, as a child psychologist on national morning tv), grew up in the area and is of Italian/Greek heritage.
She was also able to muster the very large Korean community in Strathfield and consolidate the Italian/Greek communities in Concord through to Drummoyne.
The feeling was regardless of any state or national swings, this electorate and area has changed. A lot more Audis and BMWs on the road, when there used to be Holdens and old Toyotas.
Lot more Duplexes going up and the main promenades of Majors Bay Road and Great North Road have gone through affluent gentrification, along with the establishment of more or less gated-communities like Breakfast Point and Liberty Grove.
When Laundy won the seat back in 2013, it was implicitly understood that whilst marginal due to areas like Silverwater, Auburn and Burwood the seat is more or less a Liberal lock for at least a decade, maybe 2.
A Labor candidate would need to really think about how to corral all these different groups, whilst still holding a socially equitable agenda- it’s near impossible. That’s why I think Dr Brian Owler or Dr Charlie Teoh would’ve been better candidates for this area rather than wasting Owler in Bennelong. You’d need a professional with a good social grounding so either a Doctor or successful Business owner or Engineer.
The Labor party really needs to stop putting forward hacks, who have little to no life experience and have only ever worked in Head Office or for MPs. They struggle on the hustings because of this real world experience. The old “I’ve got a family and I’m raising my kids in the area” will only get you so much of the vote, especially if you are anchored by luke-warm federal leader and an inoffensive/non-controversial incumbent member.
@Ben Raue
“Geography” section seems to be for the wrong article.
Disagree Sally is a good candidate
Thanks Nicholas, fixing now.
Can someone familiar with the area please tell me why Burwood leans Labor while their neighbours in Strathfield heavily support the Liberals?
@Wilson
Satellite imagery says it all. The area around the 70% Liberal booths is mansions and tennis courts galore. Burwood is mostly apartments (and largely inhabited by young people).
Ms Baini had some personal issues with Mr Laundy and the liberal party from a what I understand. State mp for Drummoyne facing icac investigation and is on the cross bench pending the outcome if he were forced to resign.. then this by-election would record a swing to Labor and damage the liberals. The pm and the premier are joined at the hip and both will sink or swim together. I don’t know what the result here will be but I would use a starting point as the 2019 result. The 3% needed here is possible.
An update: Charles Jago is the candidate for The Greens.
1) I personally think that Reid is the seat that will decide if Labor forms Majority or Minority Government.
2) I think Reid & Banks will only flip Labor together and I believe The ALP believes this also since Sally Sitou & Zhi Soon have been campaigning alot together.
3) The outcome of the Strathfield By-election will give a huge hint of the result in Reid.
WestSydPol
1/ agree
2/ disagree as neither will IMO
3/ How ? Where is there much connection ? How much crossover is there ? 35%?
I’ll stick with my prediction that like 2019 Reid will go in it own direction. Probably against, or counter to national, or statewide trend
Not a massively pro-Same Sex Marriage seat (only 53%) but sitting Lib MP felt it was in her interest to defy govt on Religious Discrimination Bill. Perhaps she knows something the commentariat doesn’t on politics of this issue?
Daniel
Re your comment back in December, the TPP 2019 swing was 1.17% for LNP, against Labor, small but there was a swing. As I said in my original post Crosby bucked the trend and achieved a small swing for Labor so we agree on that.
I still think this seat will be very close. LNP may retain with a margin of around 1% but Martin is clearly worried as can be seen by her various attempts to differentiate herself from the government. I expect more campaigning here by heavies from both parties than there was in 2019.
The Cossack is the wildcard here in this seat.
@ Cassandra- Labor may have won the seat if Crosby wasn’t the candidate.
His loss affirmed to me that the seat will always be on the wishlist for Labor but will be extremely difficult to win, if ever. Even if they squeak out a win, it would be flip back at the next election. Unless they nominate some really exceptional, who has broad based appeal- neither Crosby nor Sitou were/are those people.
This electorate, much like Banks, is purely aspirational: People voting their dreams not their realities.
@LJ Davidson
“This electorate, much like Banks, is purely aspirational: People voting their dreams not their realities.”
I couldn’t have thought of a better line.
I don’t understand any of the commentary here treating Reid and Banks as similar seats. They’ve got extremely different demographics and my perception is that they are heading on opposite trends, electorally speaking. Typical dynamic of inner suburbs of younger professionals vs established outer suburbs with homes paid off.
Reid and Banks are both gentrifying..in Reid the Canada bay council area. And for Banks the Revesby suburbs which are about 75% of East Hills.There was about a 2% swing in Reid to Labor and roughly 4% to the liberals in Banks.
Agree MQ, both areas have continued to drift towards the Libs and both state and federal levels due to being close to Water views a bit like how Carrum in Vic is showing a long term drift to the Libs. It will be interesting if the trend towards the Libs in the waterfront can offset any potential backlash from Chinese Australian voters in the more inland suburbs such as Hurstville, Strathfield-Burwood.
I agree with Daniel that the way in which Hawk-eye personally attacks people’s viewpoints is not in the spirit of fair mindedness. He has called numerous people stupid, irrelevant, asinine and ridiculous. Nasty stuff that should stop. While everyone is entitled to their own opinions, people are not entitled to their own biased facts.