ALP 14.7%
Incumbent MP
Jason Clare, since 2007.
Geography
South-western Sydney. Blaxland covers large parts of the former City of Bankstown. A majority of the seat lies in Bankstown council area, along with small parts of Fairfield, Holroyd, Parramatta and Auburn council areas. It covers the centre of Bankstown and the suburbs of Condell Park, Yagoona, Georges Hall, Bass Hill, Birrong, Chester Hill, Villawood, Yennora, Regents Park and parts of Fairfield and Granville.
History
Blaxland is a safe Labor seat, and has been held by the ALP continuously since 1949.
Blaxland was first won in 1949 by Labor candidate James Harrison. Harrison defeated former NSW Labor premier Jack Lang, who had won the seat of Reid as an independent in 1946.
Harrison held Blaxland as a Labor backbencher for twenty years, retiring in 1969. He was succeeded by 25-year-old Paul Keating. Keating quickly rose through the ranks of the ALP, joining Gough Whitlam’s ministry in 1975. Keating went on to serve as Treasurer in the Hawke government and after a period of turmoil was elected Labor leader in 1991, becoming Prime Minister.
Keating was re-elected as Prime Minister at the 1993 election, but lost the 1996 election. Following his defeat he resigned as Member for Blaxland.
The ensuing by-election was won by Labor candidate Michael Hatton. Hatton held the seat for the entirety of the Howard government, but was challenged for preselection in 2007 to Jason Clare, a former advisor to NSW Premier Bob Carr, who had the support of the NSW Labor Party executive, and Clare won the seat at the 2007 election. Clare has been re-elected four times.
Assessment
Blaxland is a safe Labor seat.
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Jason Clare | Labor | 46,689 | 57.8 | -5.5 |
Oz Guney | Liberal | 23,289 | 28.8 | +4.0 |
James Rooney | Greens | 4,329 | 5.4 | +0.7 |
Veronica Rowe | Christian Democratic Party | 4,173 | 5.2 | -0.9 |
Nadeem Ashraf | United Australia Party | 2,328 | 2.9 | +2.9 |
Informal | 12,401 | 13.3 | +1.8 |
2019 two-party-preferred result
Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
Jason Clare | Labor | 52,299 | 64.7 | -4.8 |
Oz Guney | Liberal | 28,509 | 35.3 | +4.8 |
Booths have been divided into three parts: central, north and south. The centre and the south covers those areas in the former Bankstown council area, while the north covers those in the new Cumberland council area.
Labor won a large majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas, ranging from 63.8% in the south to 68.8% in the north.
Voter group | ALP 2PP % | Total votes | % of votes |
South | 63.8 | 17,836 | 22.1 |
Central | 65.9 | 16,450 | 20.4 |
North | 68.8 | 15,851 | 19.6 |
Pre-poll | 64.3 | 21,392 | 26.5 |
Other votes | 58.4 | 9,279 | 11.5 |
Election results in Blaxland at the 2019 federal election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor and the Liberal Party.
“wanting to help Palestinians is not a bad thing”
@ Darth Vandar
I dont want to comment on who is morally right or wrong in the middle east conflict as i have friends in both communities. However, Libs are more Pro Israel than Labor and many on the right oppose any criticism of Israel. Ahmed Ouf wanting to help Palestinians is subjective. Does he support BDS, sanctions on Israel, support recognition of an unilateral Palestinian state, oppose the notion of Zionism, resolutions in the UN criticizing Israel, support South Africa’s case at the ICJ, support and implement the ICC warrants against Netanyahu , Arms embargo on Israel, state Israel is committing Genocide or is an Apartheid state if agrees to even one of those Liberal base will be furious. All of those are opposed by the Lib especially their rank and file and media base.
@nimalan i think thats what hes getting at we dont know how far his “support” goes.
@ John
Fair point we need to compare who different it is to what support Labor is offering the delta has to be very small for the Libs to consider it.
People don’t only vote on one issue…in any case the. Libs are more pro Israel than Labor Resources will always be greater in the marginal seats or seats like Fowler which could shift.
@Mick yes but it’s a case of forcing them to divert to resources to defend safe seats that could otherwise be used to win or defend marginal seats. With the exception of maybe Fowler and Sturt labor won’t gain any other seats albo has simply gone backwards elsewhere.